Free MLB Picks For Today 9/21/2023
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/21/2023
Angels at Rays—Griffin Canning to start for Los Angeles. Canning appeared in 22 games in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.42 and WHIP of 1.24. The righthander is striking out 26% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 43.4% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP of 1.01. The righty fans 26% with 3.5% walks. Ground balls served at 50.3% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Canning in his past two starts allowed seven earned runs in 11 1/3rd innings.
Eflin, past three starts allowed seven earned runs in 17 innings. Past ten games Angel’s bullpen an ERA of 4.50. Tampa Bay is 37-24 to the over against losing teams. Los Angeles 16-7 to the over when lined at +150 or higher. Play Los Angeles and Tampa Bay over 7.5.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/21/2023
Brewers at Cardinals—Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley has 21 starts on the year with an ERA of 3.38 and WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander is striking out 15.7% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.92 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in 32 starts has an ERA of 4.84 and WHIP of 1.32. The righthander has a K rate of 15.1% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.1% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Mikolas, past two starts allowed ten earned runs with four strikeouts in 11 1/3rd innings.
Miley has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Past ten games Brewer’s bullpen an ERA of 1.24. Brewers +10.1 unit return as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.
The team record behind Miley 9-4 when an underdog of +100 or higher with a +7.7-unit return. Past seven games Cardinals hitting .218. Play Milwaukee +100.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/21/2023
Braves at Nationals—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried has 13 starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 2.64 and WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander strikes out 25.3% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 56.7% with limited home run damage.
Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin at 23 starts an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.37. The rookie righthander is fanning 19.1% with 10% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.2% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.29 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Fried has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Irvin in his past five starts allowed nine earned runs in 27 2/3rd innings. Braves bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 7.75. Braves -14 units on the run line on the road facing right-handed starters this season. Play Washington on run line +1.5 runs at +136.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/21/2023
Blue Jays at Yankees—Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios in 30 starts to the season puts up an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP of 1.18. The veteran deals 22.9% K’s with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.7% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has 31 starts with an ERA of 2.81 and WHIP of 1.05. The righthander fans 27.2% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.7% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Blue Jays have won five straight behind great work from their pitching staff.
Past three starts Berrios allowed four earned runs in 20 innings. Cole is in great form as well. Team record behind Berrios 21-4 facing American League teams averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Blue Jays 21-12 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this year with a +12-unit return. New York hit just .222 in night games. Play Toronto +120.
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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/21/2023
Mets at Phillies—David Peterson to start for New York. Peterson in 25 appearances carries an ERA of 5.22 and WHIP of 1.59. The fourth year lefthander strikes out 25.3% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.4% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez has 20 starts produces an ERA of 3.80 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefty is striking out 22.4% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.9% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Suarez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts.
Peterson in his past three starts allowed ten earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings. New York 14-32 against left handed starters with a -26 unit loss. Peterson on the road an ERA of 7.42. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at +114.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/21/2023
Orioles at Guardians—Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in 21 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.53 and WHIP of 1.34. The rookie righthander is striking out 24.8% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.1% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Hunter Gaddis to start for Cleveland. Gaddis appeared in ten games with an ERA of 4.85 and WHIP of 1.33. The righthander has a K rate of only 13.5% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 26.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians just swept in a three-game series at Kansas City. Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Gaddis at home an ERA of 5.75 allowing 2.2 runs per nine innings. Play Baltimore.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/21/2023
Pirates at Cubs—Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo has 30 starts on the season and deals an ERA of 4.27 and WHIP of 1.37. The righthander strikes out 20.2% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.6% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks in 22 starts delivers an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 1.17. The veteran fans 16.3% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 45% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Oviedo past three starts allowed nine runs in 12 1/3rd innings.
Hendricks past three starts allowed ten runs in 16 1/3rd innings. Past ten games Pittsburgh bullpen an ERA of 6.35 and Cubs at 4.28. Past seven games Chicago hitting .282. Hendricks at home an ERA of 4.41. Play Pittsburgh and Chicago over 8.5.
Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/21/2023
Tigers at Athletics—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal in thirteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 3.25 and WHIP of 0.97. The lefthander had an elite strikeout mark of 30.7% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls are 52% with limited home run damage.
Luis Medina to start for Oakland. Medina appeared in 21 games with an ERA of 5.56 and WHIP of 1.55. The rookie righthander is fanning 21.7% with 11.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.5% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts.
Medina has put better numbers at home. Tigers 22-9 to the under in their past 31 against losing teams. They are 19-5 to the under facing American League teams averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Athletics past seven games hitting .194. Play Detroit and Oakland under 7.5.
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/21/2023
Giants at Dodgers—Kyle Harrison to start for San Francisco. Harrison has five starts in the year and carries an ERA of 5.18 and WHIP of 1.40. The rookie lefthander strikes out 27.1% with 7.5% walks. Grounders sit at 30.4% with 2.59 home runs per nine innings.
Ryan Yarbrough will be primary pitcher for Los Angeles. Yarbrough in 23 appearances deals an ERA of 3.73 and WHIP of 1.12. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 17.8% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls delivered at 37.9% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
The Giants have lost five of six in this road trip with their pitching staff getting hammered. Harrison, past three starts allowed fifteen runs in 14 2/3rd innings. Past ten games San Francisco bullpen an ERA of 4.43. Play San Francisco and Los Angeles over 9.
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