Free MLB Picks For Today 9/20/2023
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Phillies at Braves—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in 30 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 4.62 and WHIP of 1.18. The veteran is striking out 24.9% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.7% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.50 and WHIP of 1.22. The second year righthander fans 18.2% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 50.4% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Nola in his past three starts allowed fourteen runs in 13 2/3rd innings. Elder past four starts allowed 11 earned runs in 24 innings. Braves bullpen in the past ten games has an ERA of 8.55. Nola 19-10 to the over this season. Past seven games Phillies putting up 5.6 runs per game. Atlanta hits .279 at home and is averaging 5.8 runs per game. Play Philadelphia and Atlanta over 9.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Twins at Reds—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has 23 starts in the year posting an ERA of 3.67 and WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 24.4% with 5% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.1% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene in 19 starts an ERA of 4.45 and WHIP of 1.40. The second year righty has an elite strikeout rate of 30.1% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.8% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Ober past three games allowed nine earned runs in fourteen innings. Greene past three starts allowed three earned runs with 21 strikeouts in 17 innings. Red’s bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.70. Twins are 31-45 with a -15-unit loss when lined at +125 to -125. Play Cincinnati -107.
Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
White Sox at Nationals—Jesse Sholtens to start for Chicago. Sholten in 25 appearances produces an ERA of 4.77 and WHIP of 1.47. The rookie righthander has a K rate of 15.7% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls served at 41.8% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray has 28 starts, dealing an ERA of 4.07 and WHIP of 1.47. The third-year righty is fanning 20.3% with 11.5% walks. Grounders dished at 38.6% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Sholtens past three starts allowed fourteen runs in 12 2/3rd innings. Gray in his past three starts allowed nine earned runs in 12 1/3rd innings. The team record behind Sholtens 1-10. The White Sox bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 4.70. Play Washington -119.
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Red Sox at Rangers—Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in 26 starts to the season posts an ERA of 3.71 and WHIP of 1.26. The second year righthander post a K rate of 20.5% with 6.3% walks. Grounders sit at 55.9% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray has 27 starts with an ERA of 4.05 and WHIP of 1.30. The veteran strikes out 21.5% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls are 40.8% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Bello past three starts allowed nine earned runs in 17 innings. Gray past five starts allowed 18 runs in 21 1/3rd innings. Team record behind Bello 11-5 against winning teams. Red Sox +13 units as an underdog of +125 to +175. Texas bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.97. Play Boston +125.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Orioles at Astros—Baltimore will start Kyle Bradish on Wednesday. Bradish has 27 starts to the year with an ERA of 3.12 and WHIP of 1.09. The second year righthander had a strikeout mark of 24.4% with 6.3% walks. Grounders come in at 48.3% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier has 28 starts with an ERA of 4.74 and WHIP of 1.29. The righty strikes out 22.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 26% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. The Orioles are 53-34 against winning teams with a +25.7-unit return. Bradish 13-5 against winning teams with a +12-unit return. Javier in his past three starts allowed ten runs in 15 innings. Past ten games Astros bullpen an ERA of 5.29. Play Baltimore +100.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Guardians at Royals—Lucas Giolito to start for Cleveland. Giolito in 30 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 4.69 and WHIP of 1.25. The veteran strikes out 26.1% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls served at 36.4% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings. Zack Greinke to start for Kansas City. Greinke has 27 appearances with an ERA of 5.39 and WHIP of 1.31. The righthander fans 15.7% with 3.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 44% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings. Giolito past five starts allowed 22 runs in 28 2/3rd innings. Greinke in his past three starts allowed seven earned runs in 10 2/3rd innings. Past ten games both bullpens an ERA near five. Royals 34-20 to the over as a home underdog of +125 to +175. Past seven games Guardians hitting .284. The Royals in this period averaging 5.9 runs per game. Play Cleveland and Kansas City over 9.
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Mariners at Athletics—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has 28 starts on the year dealing with an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 1.05. The second year righthander is striking out 23% with 2.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.9% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Joey Estes will start for Oakland. Estes makes his MLB debut. The righthander is a 16th round draft pick in 2019 with no college. He spent 2023 in two levels of the minors with struggles in Triple A with an ERA of 5.23 and WHIP of 1.37. Kirby in his past five starts allowed 19 runs in 27 innings. Mariners bullpen the past ten games has an ERA of 4.23. Seattle 3-14 to the run line in September with a -14 unit loss. Play Oakland on run line +1.5 runs at +110.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Giants at Diamondbacks—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 31 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 3.31 and WHIP of 1.05. The righthander strikes out 23.2% with 3.7% walks. Ground balls delivered at 61.1% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly has 27 starts with an ERA of 3.45 and WHIP of 1.21. The righty fans 26.5% with 9.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 45.7% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Kelly past four starts allowed sixteen earned runs in 22 2/3rd innings. Webb has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Past ten games Giants hitting .287 and Diamondbacks at .219. Play San Francisco -109.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Rockies at Padres—Chase Anderson to start for Colorado. Anderson has seventeen starts posting an ERA of 6.00 and WHIP of 1.45. The veteran righthander is striking out 17.3% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.6% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings. Seth Lugo to start for San Diego. Lugo in 24 starts this season posts an ERA of 3.83 and WHIP of 1.22. The righty has a K rate of 23.1% with 5.7% walks. Grounders dished at 46.4% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Lugo in his past two starts allowed nine earned runs in 10 1/3rd innings. Anderson has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Team record behind Lugo 10-14 in his starts with a -10 unit loss. Play Colorado +230.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Mets at Marlins—Kodai Senga to start for New York. Senga has 27 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.95 and WHIP of 1.21. The righthander strikes out 29.5% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.3% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Eury Perez to start for Miami. Perez at eighteen starts carrying an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP of 1.10. The rookie righty is striking out 29.5% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls delivered at 26.1% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Senga has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five starts. Past seven games New York hitting .280. Perez, past three starts allowed eight earned runs in 14 1/3rd innings. Past ten games Miami bullpen an ERA of 4.30. Play New York +107.
Los Angles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Angels at Rays—Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers has 26 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.77 and WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander is striking out 25.8% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls served at 35.8% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale in 21 starts an ERA of 3.06 and WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 22.2% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.6% with limited home run damage. Rays have won eight of nine against the Angels winning by two runs or greater in six of those wins. Civale past three starts allowed ten earned runs with seven walks in 15 1/3rd innings. Tampa Bay bullpen past ten games an ERA of 0.99. Past seven games Angels hitting .183. Rays hitting .277 against lefthanded starters and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Blue Jays at Yankees—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in 29 starts delivers an ERA of 3.40 and WHIP of 1.20. The veteran has an elite strikeout rate of 31.1% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 42.3% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Michael King to start for New York. King has six starts with an ERA of 2.77 and WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 29.8% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.7% with limited home run damage. Kings in his past five starts allowed three earned runs in 21 1/3rd innings. Gausman in his past four starts surrendered 11 earned runs in 21 2/3rd innings. Blue Jays bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 4.98. The team record behind Gausman 1-6 against the Al East with a -9.3 unit loss. Past seven games Toronto hitting .183. Play New York +106.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Pirates at Cubs—Quinn Priester to start for Pittsburgh. Priester appeared in seven games producing an ERA of 9.09 and WHIP of 1.84. The rookie righthander fans 17.2% with 12.1% walks. Grounders sit at 49.1% with 2.48 home runs per nine innings. Justin Steele will start for Chicago. Steele has 28 starts with an ERA of 2.73 and WHIP of 1.14. The third year lefthander fans 24.2% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls are at 49.4% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Cubs have won nine of ten against the Pirates with eight wins by two runs or greater. Pirates’ bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 6.27. Steele has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Brewers at Cardinals—Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser has 20 appearances delivering an ERA of 4.53 and WHIP of 1.46. The seventh year righthander strikes out 19.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls are 46.1% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Zack Thompson to start for St Louis. Thompson in 23 appearances has an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander strikes out 25.9% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Thompson past three starts allowed ten earned runs in 17 innings. Past ten games Brewers bullpen an ERA of 0.98. Houser has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five. Play Milwaukee +100.
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/20/2023
Tigers at Dodgers—Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson in 19 appearances on the campaign an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP of 1.14. The rookie righthander fans 24.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.6% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Bobby Miller to start for Los Angeles. Miller has nineteen starts produces an ERA of 4.02 and WHIP of 1.16. The rookie righty strikes out 22.4% with 6.8% walks. Grounders come in at 47% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Dodgers 19-10 to the over in their past 26 starts. Los Angles 33-16 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse. Play Detroit and Los Angeles over 8.5.