Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators 9/16/23

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators 9/16/23 NCAAF Week 3 Odds, Tips, and Predictions

Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) vs. Florida Gators (1-1)


Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators 9/16/23 – Week 3 of the college football season is here, and one of the most intriguing matchups pits the undefeated Tennessee Volunteers against the Florida Gators, who sit at 1-1. The clash is set to take place on Saturday, September 16, at Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. With both teams looking to make a statement, this SEC battle promises to be one for the books.


The Tennessee Volunteers have gotten off to a strong start, boasting key contributions from their running back Jaylen Wright and wide receiver Ramel Keyton. Wright has been phenomenal with 25 rushing attempts for 233 yards, averaging an astonishing 9.3 yards per carry. Keyton, on the other hand, has made the most of his opportunities with 8 receptions for 118 yards, including a touchdown. The Volunteers’ balanced attack could spell trouble for the Gators.


For the Florida Gators, their performance has been a bit of a mixed bag. Running back Montrell Johnson Jr. has shone bright with 18 attempts for 125 rushing yards, including 2 touchdowns. Ricky Pearsall has emerged as a reliable receiving option, hauling in 14 catches for 215 yards and a touchdown. The Gators will need consistent performances from these key players to challenge the Volunteers. If you’re looking for the free expert NCAAF picks, consider their matchups carefully.


Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators Game Info


When: Saturday, September 16, 2023, at 7:00 PM ET
Where: Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Stream: Sofascore


Joe Milton III QB vs. Graham Mertz QB


Joe Milton III has been quite effective as Tennessee’s quarterback. With a 66.7% completion rate, Milton has thrown for 429 yards and 4 touchdowns without a single interception. While he’s been sacked twice, his passer rating of 144.8 is commendable. Milton’s strengths lie in his decision-making and his ability to keep plays alive. However, the Florida defense could try to exploit his sack vulnerability to take him out of his comfort zone.


For Florida, Graham Mertz has been the standout with an impressive 73.8% completion rate. Mertz has thrown for 526 yards with 2 touchdowns and a single interception. His passer rating of 153.7 speaks volumes about his efficiency. The weakness here, however, is his vulnerability to sacks, having been taken down 5 times already this season. His poise and arm strength could be pivotal in this matchup, especially when the pocket starts to collapse.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Tennessee Volunteers -240, Total Odds: 58.5


The odds are slightly leaning towards Tennessee, with a spread of -6 and a moneyline of -240. The total over/under is set at 58.5. Given Tennessee’s recent form and the statistical efficiencies of their quarterback, the -6 spread seems plausible. However, Florida’s home advantage cannot be discounted, making the Gators a tempting pick at +200.


Tennessee Volunteers Betting Trends


Tennessee’s form speaks for itself; they are 11-4 Against The Spread (ATS) in their last 15 games and have a strong 13-2 Straight Up (SU) record. However, they’ve struggled against Florida in recent history, going 1-4 ATS and 2-16 SU. The total has also gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 road games, indicating a possibility for a low-scoring affair.


Florida Gators Betting Trends


The Gators have not been great in the betting arena recently, going 1-4 ATS and 1-4 SU in their last 5 games. However, they’ve been strong at home, with a 9-0 SU record in their last 9 home games against Tennessee. Also, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida’s last 6 games, which aligns well with Tennessee’s under trend on the road.


Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators 9/16/23 Betting Picks


Tennessee Volunteers seem to have the edge in this contest, especially given their recent form. However, Florida Gators home advantage and their historical upper hand in this rivalry cannot be ignored. Given both teams’ recent UNDER trends, taking the under on the 58.5 total might be a solid bet. As for the spread, Tennessee covering -6 is plausible, but it’s a risky proposition given Florida’s home advantage. For more insights and potential betting opportunities, you can also explore some free sports picks.


Free Pick and Prediction: Tennessee 27, Florida 24.



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