Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9-12-23 MLB Prediction, Odds, and Picks

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/12/23 MLB Prediction, Odds, and Picks

Atlanta Braves (94-49) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (78-65)

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/12/23In an important National League showdown, the high-flying Atlanta Braves (94-49) will square off against the Philadelphia Phillies (78-65) on September 12, 2023, at Citizens Bank Park. The game is set to start at 6:40 PM ET and will be televised on NBCS-PH. The Braves, with their dominant win-loss record, are the betting favorites, but the Phillies are not a team to be overlooked. This article aims to dissect both teams, their starting pitchers, and recent betting trends to guide your betting choices.


The Atlanta Braves have been a force to reckon with this season, boasting a .276 batting average and a whopping 826 runs from 1344 hits. Their power at the plate is evident with 273 home runs and a solid .344 on-base percentage coupled with a .501 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has maintained a 3.86 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and has amassed 1335 strikeouts against 452 walks.


The Phillies, on the other hand, have a respectable but lesser batting average of .259 with 692 runs from 1261 hits. They have managed to hit 188 home runs, hold a .33 on-base percentage, and a .44 slugging percentage. Their pitchers carry a 4 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, garnering 1274 strikeouts against 411 walks this season. For the best free MLB picks, continue reading our analysis.


Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Game Info

When: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park
Stream: MLB.TV

Max Fried (7-1, 2.70 ERA) vs. Zack Wheeler (11-6, 3.49 ERA)

Max Fried will be the starting pitcher for Atlanta. His record appears to be an anomaly (44933 W-L seems to be a typographical error), but his 2.7 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 66.2 innings pitched are exceptional. He has allowed 63 hits, 67 strikeouts, and just 5 home runs this season.


For the Phillies, Zack Wheeler will be on the mound. He holds a 45088 W-L record (also seemingly incorrect), but with a respectable 3.49 ERA and 1.05 WHIP across 170 innings. He has allowed 146 hits and 16 home runs while striking out 192 batters.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta Braves -113, Total Odds: 8.5

The Braves are favored with a spread of -1.5 (+117) and a moneyline of -113, while the Phillies are at +1.5 (-145) and a moneyline of +103. The total runs are set at 8.5 with a slight tilt towards the over at -115.


Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been on fire lately with the total going OVER in 6 of their last 7 games. They have won 4 of their last 5 games, including those against Philadelphia. Atlanta also has an impressive 7-1 SU record in their last 8 road games and have seen the total go OVER in 6 of their last 8 games on the road against Philadelphia. Moreover, they are 4-1 SU against opponents in the National League.


Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies, conversely, are struggling. They are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games and have lost 4 of their last 5 home games. While the total has gone OVER in 6 of their last 8 home games against Atlanta, they are just 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against National League East Division opponents. Notably, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 6 games.


Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/12/23 Betting Picks

Considering the recent trends, stats, and starting pitchers, the Braves have a clear edge. While both teams have strong starting pitchers, Max Fried’s stellar ERA and WHIP offer a significant advantage. In light of Atlanta’s dominant offensive and pitching stats and their excellent betting trends, it would be reasonable to place bets on the Braves to cover the spread at -1.5 (+117) and take them on the moneyline at -113. Given both teams’ recent trends, the total seems inclined to go OVER 8.5, so that could also be a viable pick at -115. Overall, the Atlanta Braves are poised to continue their remarkable run this season with another win against the Philadelphia Phillies. If you’re contemplating making a bet, the Braves seem sensible. For the best free sports picks, continue reading our analysis.

Free Pick and Prediction: Atlanta Braves will win 6-3.


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