Roman Kopylov vs. Josh Fremd 9-16-23 Picks, Analysis, and Odds

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 227: Roman Kopylov vs. Josh Fremd 9/16/23 Picks, Analysis, and Odds

Roman Kopylov vs. Josh Fremd 9/16/23 – MMA fans are in for a treat on September 16, 2023, as UFC Fight Night 227 offers an enticing Middleweight bout between Roman Kopylov and Josh Fremd. Although the venue and main card time are still undisclosed, the buzz around this fight is already palpable. In a contest where styles make fights, let’s dive deep into the statistics and recent performances to make our pick for this exciting event. For free accurate MMA picks, continue reading our analysis.


Roman Kopylov vs. Josh Fremd Game Info


When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Arena Las Vegas, Nevada, United States


Roman Kopylov Analysis


Roman Kopylov brings an excellent 11-2-0 record into the fight, with an average fight time of 10:48. Standing 6′ 0″ tall with a 75-inch reach, Kopylov fights out of a Southpaw stance, which could give him a unique angle against Fremd’s Orthodox style. His striking statistics are exceptional; he lands 4.66 significant strikes per minute with a 52% accuracy. Although he absorbs 4.15 strikes per minute, his defense stands solid at 59%.


Kopylov’s grappling game is less dominant but still robust, with an average of 0.56 takedowns per 15 minutes and a takedown accuracy of 50%. His real strength lies in his takedown defense, which is an astounding 90%. This suggests that if Fremd aims to take the fight to the ground, he might struggle against Kopylov’s exceptional takedown defense.


Kopylov’s most recent win against Ribeiro showcased his striking prowess, as well as his ability to neutralize ground attacks.


Josh Fremd Analysis


Josh Fremd, while the underdog with a moneyline of +250, is not to be overlooked. With an 11-4-0 record and an average fight time nearly identical to Kopylov’s at 10:57, Fremd has displayed his durability and stamina. He stands at 6′ 4″ with a 76-inch reach, potentially giving him a slight advantage in the reach department.


When it comes to striking, Fremd averages fewer significant strikes per minute at 2.72 with a 47% accuracy rate. He also absorbs fewer strikes at 2.10 per minute, but his defense is only at 50%, which could be a point of vulnerability against a potent striker like Kopylov.


In the grappling department, Fremd averages more takedowns at 1.03 per 15 minutes but has a lower takedown accuracy at 42%. His takedown defense is a major concern, coming in at just 31%. However, Fremd has a remarkable submission average of 1.7 per 15 minutes, indicating that if he does get the fight to the ground, he poses a real submission threat.


Fremd’s most recent win over Pickett confirmed his potential, as he demonstrated both striking and grappling skills, although his defensive weaknesses were evident.


Roman Kopylov vs. Josh Fremd Stats


Kopylov Fremd
Wins/Losses/Draws 11-2-0 11-4-0
Average Fight Time 10:48 10:57
Height 6′ 0″ 6′ 4″
Weight 185 lbs. 185 lbs.
Reach 75″ 76″
Stance Southpaw Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 4.66 2.72
Striking Accuracy 52% 47%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 4.15 2.10
Defense 59% 50%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 0.56 1.03
Takedown Accuracy 50% 42%
Takedown Defense 90% 31%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.0 1.7


Roman Kopylov vs. Josh Fremd 9/16/23 Free Pick


Given the statistics and recent performances, Roman Kopylov seems to have a clear advantage in both striking and grappling defense. While Fremd has a chance, especially if he can get the fight to the ground, his weak takedown defense and lower striking statistics put him at a distinct disadvantage. For those looking to bet on this fight, Roman Kopylov at -300 is the more logical and safer pick. His striking, as well as his impeccable takedown defense, will likely serve as critical factors in determining the outcome of this bout.


Free Pick and Prediction: Roman Kopylov -300.


The Middleweight bout between Roman Kopylov and Josh Fremd at UFC Fight Night 227 is shaping up to be an electrifying clash. While Fremd’s submission skills could make the bout interesting, the overall skill set, statistics, and recent performances favor Kopylov. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a fight fan, this is a bout you won’t want to miss, with Kopylov expected to emerge victorious. For the exclusive sports picks, look no further.


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