UFC FIGHT NIGHT 227 Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell 9-16-23 Analysis, Odds, and Best Picks

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 227: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell 9/16/23 Analysis, Odds, and Best Picks

Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell 9/16/23 – Mark your calendars for September 16, 2023, as UFC Fight Night 227 promises an intense showdown between bantamweight stars Raul “El Nino Problema” Rosas Jr. and Terrence Mitchell at 10:00 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s delve deep into their strengths, weaknesses, and statistical benchmarks. For free winning UFC picks, keep reading our analysis.


Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell Game Info


When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Arena Las Vegas, Nevada, United States


Raul “El Nino Problema” Rosas Jr. Analysis


Raul Rosas Jr., also known by his moniker “El Nino Problema,” is a rising phenomenon in the MMA world, and for good reasons. One of the most compelling aspects of his fight game is his impeccable grappling expertise. His average of 3.67 takedowns per 15 minutes is a standout stat that should not be ignored. It speaks to his ability to control the tempo of the fight, pushing his opponents into corners where he can unleash his ground game, which is arguably his most potent weapon.


But let’s start with his striking game, which, by the numbers, seems mediocre at best. Averaging 0.76 significant strikes per minute with a 37% accuracy might make one think he’s not a striking threat. However, this perspective changes when considering the strategy that Rosas Jr. often employs. He uses his striking as a decoy, a bait to lead his opponents into thinking they are in a striking bout, only to find themselves slammed onto the mat. 


When we discuss grappling, Rosas Jr.’s statistics are indeed eye-popping. Averaging nearly four takedowns per quarter-hour of fight time and holding a submission rate of 1.8 per 15 minutes are more than just numbers; they are warnings to any opponent who might underestimate his ground game. In the realm of MMA, being able to transition from striking to grappling so seamlessly is a valuable skill, and Rosas Jr. has mastered it. His 33% takedown accuracy might seem like a point of weakness until you consider his audacity to keep going for it.


This relentlessness shows that he is not afraid of missing; he believes in his ability to control the fight on the ground, and that belief often manifests in the cage. Add to this a professional record of 7-1-0, and it’s evident that Rosas Jr. is on an upward trajectory. Coming off a loss to Rodriguez, he is hungry for redemption, and a win over a seasoned fighter like Mitchell could be the vindication he seeks.


Terrence Mitchell Analysis


Terrence Mitchell is a seasoned warrior, and his experience speaks volumes. With an overall record of 14-3-0, Mitchell has been in the Octagon more times than Rosas Jr., and with more varied opponents. This gives him a unique advantage; he’s seen multiple fighting styles and has had to adapt his game over time, making him a well-rounded fighter, albeit with noticeable flaws. Mitchell averages 0.95 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%, proving that he can stand and exchange punches and kicks with the best of them. His 74-inch reach, compared to Rosas Jr.’s 67 inches, provides him with a distinct advantage in striking range. Mitchell can use this to control the distance and keep Rosas Jr. at bay with jabs and straight punches, thereby effectively neutralizing Rosas Jr.’s plans for taking the fight to the ground.


But it’s not all sunshine and rainbows for Mitchell. One of his significant vulnerabilities lies in his defense, especially his striking absorption rate of 5.68 per minute. Such a high rate indicates that he can be hit and hit often, a red flag against a tactical striker and ground specialist like Rosas Jr. Although Mitchell’s grappling stats are impressive, with an average of 4.74 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 50% accuracy, his non-existent takedown defense is a gaping hole in his skill set.


If Mitchell finds himself on the ground against a submission expert like Rosas Jr., it could spell trouble, especially given Rosas Jr.’s tendency for seeking submissions. Experience can be both an asset and a drawback. Mitchell’s long history in the Octagon means he has seen multiple styles and adapted his game accordingly. It also means that he might have accrued damage over time, affecting his speed, stamina, and reaction time. This experience gap will be a significant factor in the fight, especially if it goes into the later rounds. 


Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell Stats


Rosas Jr. Mitchell
Wins/Losses/Draws 7-1-0 14-3-0
Average Fight Time 10:55 3:10
Height 5′ 9″ 5′ 10″
Weight 135 lbs. 135 lbs.
Reach 67″ 74″
Stance Switch Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 0.76 0.95
Striking Accuracy 37% 42%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 1.37 5.68
Defense 40% 43%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 3.67 4.74
Takedown Accuracy 33% 50%
Takedown Defense 0% 0%


Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell 9/16/23 Free Pick


Once the action begins, it is likely to be an exhilarating blend of striking, grappling and psychological warfare. Mitchell offers promise in both striking and takedowns; however his defensive holes and susceptibility to submission make him vulnerable against Rosas Jr.’s sophisticated ground game; coupled with Mitchell’s weak takedown defense this provides Rosas Jr. an almost tailor-made situation to take control and potentially end the fight on the floor.


Pick: Raul “El Nino Problema” Rosas Jr. -555


UFC Fight Night 227 will certainly deliver an exciting show, particularly for UFC betting enthusiasts. Rosas Jr. seems poised to capitalize on Mitchell’s weaknesses with his robust ground and submission tactics and take full advantage of Mitchell’s vulnerabilities. Stay tuned; this duel promises to thrill and satisfy fight aficionados everywhere! For free sports picks, keep an eye on our analysis.


Click Here For More UFC Video Free Picks