San Diego Padres (67-77) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (87-55)
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 9/11/2023 – As we approach the end of another MLB season, the Los Angeles Dodgers (87-55) find themselves in an ideal position as they make a run at making the postseason. Meanwhile, San Diego Padres (67-77) are struggling with an inconsistent campaign which hasn’t gone as expected; these California rivals will resume play at Dodger Stadium on September 11, 2023 at 10:10 PM ET.
San Diego Padres have struggled mightily this season, boasting a record of 67-77 with only 655 runs scored thus far. Although their pitching staff boasts an admirable 3.86 ERA and 1.29 WHIP rating, it hasn’t done enough to compensate for an underwhelming offense output.
The Dodgers have been one of the premier teams this season, boasting an 87-55 record and boasting impressive offensive stats that include an astounding.258 batting average with a higher OBP (.342) than their closest competition; scoring over 800 runs while leading in homers at 222. The pitching staff holds down 4.18 ERA/WHIP which indicates their potent offense often makes up for any runs they give up. For free 2023 baseball picks, their performance is concerning.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Game Info
| When: | Monday, September 11, 2023 at 10:10 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Dodger Stadium |
| TV: | MLBN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Starting Pitcher 1 (3-5, 4.95 ERA) vs. Starting Pitcher 2 (10-6, 3.31 ERA)
Pedro Avila stands as one of the Padres’ few hope for success against Los Angeles with a solid 1-2 record and 2.19 ERA over 37 innings pitched, which shows promise. Although his WHIP stands at 1.35, which may not be ideal, but at least indicates his ability to limit damage; Avila boasts 38 strikeouts against 19 walks while only permitting one home run over 37 innings played; even with limited innings played under him, Avila may limit an offensively powerful Dodgers lineup.
On the other side, Gavin Stone appears to be one of the weaker links among Dodgers starting pitchers despite their superior record. He only holds one win but sports an alarming 10.5 ERA across 18 innings pitched; more alarming still is his 2.28 WHIP which indicates an abundance of hits and walks allowed (33 hits and 8 walks total in that short span of time on the mound). Such vulnerabilities give Padres teams an opening to score early runs that set the pace for games ahead.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -165, Total Odds: 9.5
The Dodgers are favorites here with a spread of -1.5 (+111) and moneyline of -165. On the other side are the Padres with an over/under total run total set at 9.5 with over being at -117 and under being at -103.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
San Diego has had a troubling stretch, going 2-4 in their last 6 games on an official basis and 2-9 SU on the road in that same span. Their record against Los Angeles stands at an unimpressive 1-8 but their totals have gone over four of those nine times!
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Dodgers have been in incredible form lately, particularly at home where they’ve posted an impressive 16-4 record against the Padres over their last 20 games – 6-1 straight up (SU) as well as seeing five out of six totals go OVER, four times against them specifically!
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 9/11/2023 Betting Picks
Looking at recent trends, team stats and starting pitcher matchups, the Dodgers appear to be the safer pick. While Avila may offer promise for the Padres, Gavin Stone should receive ample run support from Los Angeles’ potency offensively. Nonetheless, Stone’s high ERA suggests that Padres could put up runs, making an over on 9.5 an appealing bet.
Though the Padres could make things interesting with their desperation and Stone’s pitching flaws, we believe the Dodgers should prevail due to their offense and home field advantage. Therefore, our pick is for them on the moneyline with an OVER in terms of total runs scored. For premium sports picks, these strategies are worth considering.
Free Pick and Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 7, San Diego Padres 4.