Free MLB Picks For Today 9/5/2023
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Twins at Guardians—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has 27 starts in the year with an ERA of 2.92 and WHIP of 1.17. The eleven-year veteran strikes out 24.2% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 48% with minimal home run damage.
Tanner Bibee will start for Cleveland. Bibee in 22 starts an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP of 1.21. The rookie righthander fans 24.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.2% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Gray and Gray have allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Bibee at home has an ERA of 2.02 and WHIP of 1.00. Twins on the road hitting .229. Play Cleveland -101.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Brewers at Pirates—Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in seven starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 2.70 and WHIP of 0.82. The seventh year righthander has an elite 32.2% strikeout rate with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 36% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP of 4.05 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Andre Jackson to start for Pittsburgh. Jackson appeared in thirteen games with an ERA of 4.46 and WHIP of 1.16. The righty deals 24.4% K’s with 5.7% walks.
Grounders dealt at 35.2% with 1.70 home runs per nine innings. Woodruff has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Brewers batting only .230 on the road. Pirates hitting just .221 in divisional games. Play Milwaukee and Pittsburgh under 8.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Dodgers at Marlins—Clayton Kershaw will start for Los Angeles. Kershaw has 20 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.48 and WHIP of 1.02. The veteran deals 27% strikeouts with 6.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.9% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.83 implies a rising ERA based on form.
Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in 27 starts delivers an ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.22. The fifth year lefthander fans 28.3% with 7.1% walks. Grounders dished at 40.8% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Marlins averaging just 3.5 runs per game against lefthanded starters.
Miami 5-19 facing teams averaging 1.5 home runs per game or greater the past two seasons with a -13.3 unit loss. Dodger bullpen past ten games an ERA of 1.77. Play Los Angeles -142.
Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Mariners at Reds—Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller in 20 starts this season has an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP of 1.05. The rookie righthander was fanning 23.1% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.4% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Connor Phillips is the starter for Cincinnati. Phillips was drafted in 2020 out of McLennan City College. He spent 2023 in two levels of the minors with good numbers and 154 strikeouts in 105 innings. Reds are 16-8 facing an American League team hitting .255 or lower this year with a +10 unit return.
Cincinnati is 23-13 against the National League this year with +14 unit return. Miller in his past two starts allowed six earned runs in ten innings. Reds bullpen has performed well at home this year. Miller on the road with an ERA of 4.40. Play Cincinnati +153.
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Red Sox at Rays—Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford appeared in 26 games this season posting an ERA of 4.08 and WHIP of 1.14. The righthander strikes out 24% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.4% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has 26 starts delivering an ERA of 3.40 and WHIP of 1.02. The veteran righty has a K rate of 25.4% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 51.3% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Eflin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts.
Crawford was hammered in his past start for six earned runs in 2 2/3rd innings against the Astros. Boston bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.35. Rays 41-9 at home facing a starting pitcher that averages less than five innings per start with a +26.6 unit return. Rays 39-20 at home in divisional games. Play Tampa Bay -154.
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Tigers at Yankees—Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo has appeared in twelve games posting an ERA of 4.89 and WHIP of 1.07. The second year righthander is striking out 20.6% with 7.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 36.1% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has 28 starts with an ERA of 2.95 and WHIP of 1.04. The veteran fans 27.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.9% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Cole has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts.
New York is 21-14 to the run line facing teams that are outscored by 0.5 runs or greater this season. Cole 16-1 to the run line facing the AL Central the past two seasons with a +15.7 unit return. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Mets at Nationals—Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana has eight starts in the season delivering an ERA of 3.26 and WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander strikes out 17.9% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.4% with minimal home run damage.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in 27 starts carries an ERA of 4.90 and WHIP of 1.50. The twelve year lefty strikes out 16% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 44.1% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. Nationals have lost five straight. Quintana has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts.
Corbin was hammered in his last start for six earned runs and ten hits in five innings against the Blue Jays. Mets are 36-21 when lined between -100 and -150 this year. Team record behind Corbin 5-23 when an underdog of +100 to +150 with a -17.2 unit loss. Past seven games Washington hitting .217. Play New York -138.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 9/5/2023
St Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Cardinals at Braves—Miles Mikolas will start for St Louis. Mikolas in 29 starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.31. The veteran fans 16% with 4.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 38.7% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Soroka to start for Atlanta. Soroka appeared in six games posting an ERA of 5.52 and WHIP of 1.47. The righthander is striking out 17.6% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.7% with 2.15 home runs per nine innings.
Mikolas has allowed nineteen earned runs in his past four starts, working 23 innings. Past seven games Atlanta hitting .302. Soroka since coming back from injury has had trouble staying on the big league roster. Play St Louis and Atlanta over the total.
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Giants at Cubs—Sean Manaea will start for San Francisco. Manaea in 32 appearances deals an ERA of 4.96 and WHIP of 1.32. The lefthander fans 27.8% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls served at 38.3% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks has nineteen starts, producing an ERA of 3.59 and WHIP of 1.13. The ten-year veteran had a strikeout mark of 16.2% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls served at 47.8% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Giants have lost five of six with struggles to score runs.
Past seven games San Francisco hitting .208. Hendricks has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Manaea past three starts allowed seventeen runs in 9 2/3rd innings. Play Chicago -138.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
White Sox at Royals—Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has 28 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.91 and WHIP of 1.46. The fifth year righthander strikes out 26.5% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls served at 36.6% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.81 does suggest a dropping ERA should form hold.
Brady Singer is the starter for Kansas City. Singer has 26 starts delivering an ERA of 5.15 and WHIP of 1.40. The righty a K rate of 19.9% with 7% walks. Grounders sit at 48.5% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.05 implies a possible drop in ERA based on form.
White Sox have lost six of seven with run production a struggle. Cease in his past three starts allowed nineteen runs in 15 innings. He faced the Royals in early May and was pounded for seven earned runs in five innings.
White Sox are 8-18 facing losing teams with a -12.3 unit loss. Team record behind Singer 5-0 facing a team that averages seven strikeouts per game with a +7.5 unit return. Singer at home a WHIP of 1.22. Play Kansas City -107.
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Astros at Rangers—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in 26 starts on the year deals an ERA of 3.38 and WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander has a K rate of 24.2% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 54.6% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi has nineteen starts with an ERA of 2.69 and WHIP of 1.01. The thirteen year righthander fans 23.2% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 51.8% with limited home run damage. Astros have won five of six against the Rangers.
Past two starts Valdez allowed two earned runs in thirteen innings. Past ten games Rangers bullpen an ERA of 5.57. Past seven games Houston hitting .322 and putting up 7.1 runs per game. Play Houston -115.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Orioles at Angels—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has 27 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.20 and WHIP of 1.28. The fourth year righthander strikes out 21.2% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 38.7% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers in 24 starts deals an ERA of 5.01 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander is striking out 26.2% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.8% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Kremer has allowed one earned run in his past two starts working twelve innings.
Team record behind Kremer 19-6 facing teams that average seven strikeouts per game or greater. As this series began the Orioles were 13-1 as a road favorite of -125 or greater. Past seven games Baltimore hitting .293 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. At home Detmers an ERA of 4.56. Play Baltimore -145.
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Rockies at Diamondbacks—Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland in 26 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 5.18 and WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander strikes out 14.5% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.7% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Pfaadt will start for Arizona. Pfaadt has fourteen starts with an ERA of 6.21 and WHIP of 1.42. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 20.6% with 7.1% walks. Grounders served at 31.1% with 2.15 home runs per nine innings. Pfaadt in his past two starts allowed eight runs in 9 1/3rd innings.
Freeland in his past four starts allowed eighteen runs in 21 2/3rd innings. The Rockies bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 9.26 and Diamondbacks at 5.59. Pfaadt at home an ERA of 7.30 and WHIP of 1.68. Play Colorado and Arizona over 9.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Blue Jays at Athletics—Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has 28 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.81 and WHIP of 1.19. The ten year veteran fans 21.9% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.6% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Ken Waldichuk will start for Oakland. Waldichuk appeared in 30 games with an ERA of 5.92 and WHIP of 1.67. The lefthander is striking out 21.6% with 12.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 39% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
Bassitt on the road an ERA of 5.02 with WHIP of 1.47. Waldichuk at home an ERA of 5.14 with WHIP of 1.58. Past seven games Toronto hitting .319 and averaging 7.3 runs per game. Play Toronto and Oakland over 8.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/5/2023
Phillies at Padres—Michael Lorenzen to start for Philadelphia. Lorenzen in 23 starts this season deals an ERA of 3.73 and WHIP of 1.14. The ninth year righthander posts a K rate of 18.7% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 41% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Pedro Avila to start for San Diego. Avila has nine appearances with an ERA of 2.67 and WHIP of 1.38. The righty fans 27.2% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 58.2% with minimal home run damage. Phillies have won seven of eight against the Padres.
San Diego 9-21 facing a National League starter with a WHIP of 1.25 or better with a -15 unit loss. San Diego -29.6 unit loss this year against righthanded starters. Past seven games Philadelphia putting up 6.1 runs per game. Play Philadelphia -111.
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