Houston Astros (75-58) vs. Boston Red Sox (69-63)
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox 8/30/2023 – The Astros are having a fantastic year and are in a tight competition to win the division for the third straight season. Framber Valdez underperformed on the mound, giving up 67 runs in 161.2 innings pitched despite recent success. Additionally, Valdez’s opponents are making contact and driving the ball to easily score runs with a .248 anticipated batting average, a .403 expected opponent slugging percentage, and a 4.19 predicted ERA.
In the final weeks of the season, the Red Sox, who are having a fantastic season, hope to make a push for the wild card. Kutter Crawford will start the following game for the squad, looking to continue a great season in which he only allowed 42 runs in 101 innings pitched while striking out 101 batters. In addition, Crawford’s opponents are making little contact against him and finding it difficult to score runs due to his 3.43 anticipated ERA, .212 expected opponent batting average, and 6.1 walk rate. For free baseball picks and predictions, consider these statistics.
Astros vs. Red Sox Game Info
When: | Wednesday, August 30, 2023 3:45 PM ET |
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Where: | Fenway Park, MA |
TV: | NESN |
Stream: | MLB.TV |
Framber Valdez (9-9, ERA: 3.40) vs Kutter Crawford (6-6, ERA: 3.65)
The Astros’ lineup carried the team despite Valdez’s difficult season on the mound, scoring 5.04 runs per game. However, the remainder of the lineup was excellent as well. Yordan Alvarez is slashing .288/.394/.560 with 22 home runs and 173 total bases, while Jose Altuve is slashing .322/.415/.529 with 10 home runs and 128 total bases. The Astros are difficult to stop at the plate because of Kyle Tucker’s slashing line of .293/.374/.521, which includes 26 home runs and 247 total bases. Alex Bregman and Chas McCormick contributed 40 home runs and 260 total bases to fill the lineup.
Although Crawford improved, the Red Sox were led this season by their lineup, which scores 4.99 runs per game. The entire lineup was excellent this year, with Justin Turner hitting .290/.361/.495 with 22 home runs and 225 total bases and Adam Duvall hitting .272/.335/.582 with 17 home runs and 139 total bases. Triston Casas and Alex Verdugo contributed 33 home runs and 386 total bases to the order, giving the Red Sox a depth that makes them difficult to stop. Rafael Devers is slashing .269/.345/.512 with 29 home runs and 243 total bases.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Houston Astros -139, Total Odds: 10.5
The match between two of the top clubs in the American League is going to be fantastic. The Red Sox want to step up at home and take charge from the first inning while the Astros want to win the decisive game. With Adam Duvall, Justin Turner, and the rest of the lineup making contact and hitting the ball hard against Framber Valdez and the other Astros pitchers, the Red Sox, who score 4.99 runs per game on average, should be able to score runs at will.
With Kutter Crawford stepping up and pitching several quality innings, the Red Sox should be able to contain the Astros’ offense and allow the bullpen to finish the game with the advantage. As home underdogs, the Red Sox should prevail and provide appealing odds.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The total went OVER in 9 of Houston’s last 11 matches. The Houston Astros are 4-1 SU in their last 5 matches. Houston Astros are 5-2 SU in their last 7 matches against Boston. The Houston Astros are 6-1 SU in their last 7 matches on the road.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The total went OVER in 12 of Boston’s last 13 matches. The Boston Red Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 matches. The total went OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 6 matches against Houston. The total went OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 matches at home.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox 8/30/2023 Betting Picks
The Houston Astros are 5-2 SU in their last 7 matches when playing on the road against Boston. The total went OVER in 8 of Houston’s last 10 matches against an opponent in the American League. The total went OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 6 matches against an American League East Division opponent. The Boston Red Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 matches when playing at home against Houston. The total went OVER in 8 of Boston’s last 9 matches against an opponent in the American League. The Boston Red Sox are 3-8 SU in their last 11 matches against an American League West Division opponent. For free 2023 picks and predictions, take into account these recent trends and statistics.
Free Pick and Prediction: Houston Astros will win 8-4.