Miami Marlins (64-62) vs San Diego Padres (60-66)
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres 8/23/2023 – The Marlins are falling behind despite trade deadline additions Jake Burger and Josh Bell both raking with their new teams. After losing on Monday, they started August with a 7-12 record, having had a 9-15 month in July. On Monday, the club suffered its third straight defeat, during which time it scored four runs in total. Miami’s runs-per-game ranking this season is only 26, so slumps like these are nothing new. Although the Marlins have a top-10 batting average and strikeout rate, they aren’t doing much else well.
This loaded Padres club started this series with a bang, even though they are still more than five matches out of a playoff berth. Can they overtake four teams with less than 40 games remaining and an offense averaging more than five runs per game since July 1? A lineup that leads the league in walk rate will aim for that. San Diego ranks 11th in strikeout rate and eighth in stolen bases. Considering the names on the roster, the team’s batting average is still astonishingly low (.238; 23rd). For insights and recommendations, explore free expert baseball picks today.
Marlins vs. Padres Game Info
| When: | Wednesday, August 23, 2023 4:10 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Petco Park, CA |
| TV: | Bally Sports San Diego |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Sandy Alcantara (6-10, ERA: 4.16) vs Seth Lugo (36-30, ERA: 3.55)
Additionally, August is expected to be Miami’s weakest pitching month. Well, for practically every pitcher for the Marlins, who aren’t Sandy Alcantara, who seems to be regaining his Cy Young form from 2022? He only walked four times and struck out 28 batters in his four starts this month. His 29.0 innings pitched this month resulted in a 2.48 ERA. Earlier this season, the Padres tagged Alcantara for four runs over 5.1 innings. Additionally, in his last two appearances as a visitor, he surrendered three home runs.
The pitching staff’s ability to keep up its outstanding season-long numbers will also be crucial for a push into October. Seth Lugo will start this game and aims to build on his six scoreless innings from last Friday. In a year where he usually struggled at Petco Park to the tune of a 4.70 ERA, this was perhaps his greatest home performance of the year. When Lugo starts for San Diego, that game also ended a four-game losing streak for them.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Miami Marlins +107, Total Odds: 7.5
Sandy Alcantara gave up just three runs (two earned) across 11.2 innings pitched in his two career starts at Petco Park. Alcantara was not throwing like his former self lately, which is bad news for the 29 other teams he needs to face. Seth Lugo spent most of the season putting the Padres in peril at home. That probably won’t go well because the Marlins lineup is in need of a victory and improved since the trade deadline. Be prepared for the Marlins to leave California with a victory.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The total went UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 matches. The Miami Marlins are 2-5 SU in their last 7 matches. The Miami Marlins are 2-4 SU in their last 6 matches against San Diego. The total went UNDER in 8 of Miami’s last 9 matches on the road. The total went UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 7 matches when playing on the road against San Diego.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The total went UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 matches. The San Diego Padres are 5-11 SU in their last 16 matches. The San Diego Padres are 2-4 SU in their last 6 matches at home. The total went UNDER in 6 of San Diego’s last 7 matches when playing at home against Miami.
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres 8/23/2023 Betting Picks
The Miami Marlins are 6-12 SU in their last 18 matches against an opponent in the National League. The Miami Marlins are 3-6 SU in their last 9 matches against an opponent in the National League West Division. The San Diego Padres are 2-6 SU in their last 8 matches against an opponent in the National League. The total went OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 6 matches against an opponent in the National League East Division. For the most accurate free sports picks, consider exploring various sources for insights.
Free Pick and Prediction: Miami Marlins will win 6-2.