New York Mets (58-67) vs Atlanta Braves (80-43)
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves 8/22/2023 – The Mets will not surrender easily. The Amazins defeated Pittsburgh and St. Louis in back-to-back series, displaying a spark that was scarce in the first half of the season. NY hits .238 (25th), scores 4.42 runs per game (17th), and has a .721 OPS (19th). This year, it ranks 10th in home runs (161) and 16th in base stealers (88). The pitching staff’s 4.49 ERA and 1.38 WHIP rank 20th and 17th, respectively, with 41 quality starts.
Atlanta is cruising and currently leads Philadelphia by 13.5 games in the NL East. Are the World Series in Atlanta? Atlanta bats .274 with a .843 OPS and averages 5.81 runs per game. It stole 101 bases, ranking seventh, and hit 235 home runs, which leads the league. The pitching staff’s 46 quality starts resulted in a 3.80 ERA, ranking fourth, and a 1.27 WHIP, ranking twelfth. For the most accurate insights and predictions, consider checking out the best baseball picks before making your betting decisions.
Mets vs. Braves Game Info
When: | August 22, 2023 7:20 PM ET |
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Where: | Truist Park, GA |
TV: | Bally Sports South |
Stream: | MLB.TV |
Tylor Megill (7-6, ERA: 5.53) vs Bryce Elder (9-4, ERA: 3.46)
On Tuesday, Megill will start for the guests. In his most recent start against the Pirates, he allowed two runs and five hits across five innings to win. On August 11, when he last faced the Braves, he allowed six runs (five earned) and 9 hits over 5.1 innings. His previous appearance against them on May 1 (three runs on four hits in 5.2 innings) showed improvement.
Tuesday at Truist Park, Elder will start on the pitcher’s mound for the home team. On June 6, the rookie right-hander defeated the Mets, limiting them to four runs, four hits, two HRs, and 8 strikeouts over 6 innings. In his most recent start, he improved upon a couple of subpar performances, limiting New York (AL) to one run and zero runs over the course of seven innings.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta Braves -230, Total Odds: 10.5
Atlanta has the best run line record, 23-9, versus NL East opponents, and the third-highest run line winning percentage (50.8%) as home favorites. As a road underdog this year, New York has the lowest run-line winning percentage (35.3%). Put your money on the Braves to beat the suddenly hot Mets on Tuesday and cover the run line. Megill is a below-average starter who has had trouble regularly since late May, giving up four or more runs in six of his previous nine appearances.
He’s also struggled with command, as evidenced by the four-plus walks he’s allowed in each of his last seven starts. He was beaten up by the Braves less than two weeks ago, and I anticipate that will happen again tomorrow. Elder’s recent start (one hit in seven innings) may also signal a turning point. He should be able to outpitch Megill and then pass the ball to the Braves’ superior bullpen (second-lowest ERA and lowest WHIP in MLB) if he can keep the Mets off the basepaths.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 matches. The NY Mets are 3-12 SU in their last 15 matches against Atlanta. The NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 matches on the road. The NY Mets are 1-7 SU in their last 8 matches when playing on the road against Atlanta.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The total went UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 matches. The Atlanta Braves are 8-3 SU in their last 11 matches. The total went OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 matches against the NY Mets. The Atlanta Braves are 11-3 SU in their last 14 matches at home.
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves 8/22/2023 Betting Picks
The total went OVER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 6 matches played on a Tuesday. The total went UNDER in 7 of NY Mets’ last 10 matches when playing as the underdog. The Atlanta Braves are 7-1 SU in their last 8 matches when playing at home against NY Mets. The total went OVER in 13 of Atlanta’s last 18 matches against an opponent in the National League. The total went OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 matches against an opponent in the National League East Division. For the most accurate predictions and insights, consider checking out the best premium sports picks before placing your bets.
Free Pick and Prediction: Atlanta Braves will win 6-3.