Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/30/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
The Cincinnati Reds will meet with the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action in Dodger Stadium, CA, on Sunday, July 30, 2023, at 4:10 PM ET.
Cincinnati is now focused on defeating everyone in their path like they were after finally finishing the Brewers, who stomped their butts and held a slim lead in the division.
It starts at the bat for the Reds, who have been generating over 5.00 runs per game since June 1. Cincinnati is the team that steals the most bases thanks to its fifth-place walk rate and eighth-place OBP.
Even with a mediocre home run total, strikeouts did not prevent the Reds from being among the top-10 scoring teams.
A weak pitching staff will most likely prevent the 2023 Reds from going on a rampage. The rotation is unreliable, while the bullpen ranks sixth as a group in WAR.
Step forward Graham Ashcraft, whose 5.64 ERA, 5.27 FIP, and 1.545 WHIP are as of Sunday’s start. His stats are better on the road, and in his last five starts, his ERA was 2.10, but a 9.7% walk rate will put him in a lot of trouble.
In a June game against the Dodgers, Ashcraft pitched just 2.2 innings while giving up three runs. Perhaps the current momentum will lead to greater outcomes.
The Reds’ bullpen pitchers entered games in 122 save situations with a 71.4% save percentage. The relievers took over 207 runners this season, and 27.5% reached base.
Reds pitchers started games with runners on base 146 times and in high-pressure situations 166 times. On the hill this year, the Reds sent out 388 relievers. The relieves are seventh in baseball with 64 holds this season.
They made 40 saves so far this year and missed 16 of their 56 chances to make saves. At this point in the season, the Cincinnati Reds recorded 2,809 putouts, 862 assists, and 46 mistakes.
They are seventh in MLB in fielding percentage (.988) and turned 85 double plays. The Reds are rated 21st in the majors with a 68.4% strikeout-to-walk ratio across their 8,427 innings.
- The Cincinnati Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 matches.
- Cincinnati is 4-1 in their last 5 matches against the spread.
- The Reds are 33-18 in their road matches against the spread.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions 7/30/2023
The Dodgers‘ pitching staff allowed 35 runs in the five games, continuing their dismal season. Although they just moved to boost the staff, Michael Grove will be the first player to take the field on Sunday.
For LA this season, Grove has a 6.19 ERA and 1.553 WHIP. He has a 30.9% line-drive percentage, which results in a H/9 of 11.3. His opponents bat .307 and have a .866 OPS against him.
He’s done better at home, so ideally, that will aid the Dodgers in stopping Cincinnati’s potentially deadly hitters.
The Dodgers can accomplish much at home, even if they cannot eliminate the Reds without suffering harm. Los Angeles hitters found comfort at Dodger Stadium, as shown by the team’s .808 home OPS entering Saturday’s game.
The Dodgers, scoring an MLB-best 6.19 runs per game in July, also had an outstanding month.
Pitchers must always be at their best against them since they have the second-highest walk rate and second-most home runs in the league. It makes sense that they score the most in the NL.
In 35 save opportunities, Los Angeles’ bullpen relievers entered the game, recording 24 saves. Their relievers entered the field 109 times with runners on base and 97 times in high-pressure situations.
Out of 145 inherited base runners, Los Angeles bullpen pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 27.6%.
With a save percentage of 68.6%, they are ranked seventh in the league and sent 368 bullpen relievers to the mound this season.
The Dodgers have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% during their 8,178 innings played, which ranks them 12th in the majors.
- The Los Angeles Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 matches.
- The LA Dodgers are 0-5 in their last 5 matches against the spread.
- The Dodgers are 28-25 in their road matches against the spread.
Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers. The MLB pick for this game is the Los Angeles Dodgers. The greatest bet in a match, when both pitchers are likely to underperform is on the Dodgers’ offense at home.
Despite their recent bad pitching, they generally hit just as well. Although less reliable offensively, the Reds are nonetheless threatening.
The Dodgers win a slugfest at home to win this series. The LA Dodgers will win to a predicted score of 8-2.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/30/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
MLB Starting Time: 4:10 PM ET
Location: Dodger Stadium, CA
Date: Sunday, July 30, 2023
TV: BSOH
MLB Odds: Cincinnati Reds +157
MLB Totals: 10.5