Free MLB Picks For Today 7/28/2023
Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Tigers at Marlins—Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson in ten appearances produces an ERA of 4.53 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander fans 25.1% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls served at 39.5% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett has twenty appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander strikes out 26.7% with 3.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Detroit hitting only .224 against lefthanders. Marlins past seven games averaging just three runs per games. Olseon on the road an ERA of 1.08. Play Detroit and Miami under 7.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Phillies at Pirates—Zack Wheeler is the starter for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 20 starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 3.88 plus WHIP of 1.14. The eleven year veteran strikes out 27.1% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls served at 39.6% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.87 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold.
Mitch Keller will start for Pittsburgh. Keller has 21 starts carrying an ERA of 4.01 plus WHIP of 1.20. The righthander fans 25.4% with 6.9% walks. Grounders sit at 44.8% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies are 15-2 as a road favorite of -125 or greater. Wheeler on the road a WHIP of 1.19. Keller has been pounded in his past two starts for fourteen runs and five homers in eleven innings. Play Philadelphia -160.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Yankees at Orioles—Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has 21 starts on the year delivering an ERA of 2.78 with WHIP of 1.08. The eleven year veteran a strikeout mark of 27.6% with 6.9% walks. Grounders dished at 37.7% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Grayson in 12 starts produces an ERA of 6.91 plus WHIP of 1.66. The rookie righthander a K rate of 26.1% with 9.9% walks. Grounders come in at 42.6% with 2.09 home runs per nine innings.
Orioles hit Cole for five runs with two homers in five innings back in May. Team record behind Cole on the road is 3-5. Orioles 28-14 facing an AL Team hitting .255 or worse this season. Play Baltimore -105.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Angels at Blue Jays—Lucas Giolito expected to start for Los Angeles. Giolito in 21 starts posts an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.22. The traded player is striking out 25.8% with 8.3% walks. Grounders served at 34.9% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has 20 starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 3.18 plus WHIP of 1.12. The eleven year righthander has an elite 32.9% strikeouts with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.6% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays return home after winning two of three at the Dodgers scoring a total of 21 runs. Gausman at home an ERA of 2.58 with WHIP of 0.99. Past ten games Angels bullpen an ERA of 5.21 with WHIP of 1.53. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Nationals at Mets—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has 20 starts this year with an ERA of 4.37 plus WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander fans 28% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.4% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
Max Scherzer to start for New York. Scherzer in eighteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.20 plus WHIP of 1.19. The veteran strikes out 27.4% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 31.2% with 1.97 home runs per nine innings. Scherzer past four starts allowed fourteen earned runs in 24 innings.
Gore in two starts against the Mets this year allowed one run with thirteen strikeouts in ten innings. Team record behind Gore 8-1 against an NL team hitting .255 or worse.
New York is 12-18 as a favorite of -150 or greater with a -19.5 unit loss. They hit just .211 against lefthanders hitting .211 and averaging 3.3 runs per game losing 24 of 34. Play Washington +165.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Guardians at White Sox—Noah Syndergaard expected to start for Cleveland. Syndergaard in twelve starts produces an ERA of 7.16 with WHIP of 1.45. The traded player has a career low 15.4% strikeouts with 3.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.6% with 1.95 home runs per nine innings.
Touki Toussaint expected to start for Chicago. Toussaint has eight appearances on the campaign carrying an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander has a K rate of 18.9% with 16.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 58.8% with limited home run damage.
Guardians averaging only 3.3 runs per game against the division. Their bullpen an ERA of 4.56 on the road. Syndergaard location with his pitches a massive concern as there was no movement. He could put Cleveland in a hole early. Play Chicago -110.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Brewers at Braves—Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser in thirteen appearances in 2023 has an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.51. The nine year righthander delivers 17.7% K’s with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.3% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
Yonny Chirinos to start for Atlanta. Chirinos appeared in fifteen games producing an ERA of 4.02 and WHIP of 1.24. The fifth year righty fans 11.8% and 7.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.2% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.51 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Brewers have been playing well. They are 20-15 as a road underdog of +100 or higher with a +11.7 unit return. Team record behind Houser is 11-5 as a road underdog of +100 or higher. Past seven games Braves hitting only .210. Chirinos at home an ERA of 6.61. Play Milwaukee on run line +1.5 runs at -120.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 7/28/2023
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Rays at Astros—Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in nineteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 2.89 with WHIP of 1.16. The third year lefthander strikes out 26.1% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.4% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.80 that does suggest a rising ERA should for hold.
Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier has nineteen starts delivering an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 22.2% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 26.3% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Rays are 4-12 against winning teams past sixteen in this spot. Past three starts McClanahan allowed eleven runs in thirteen innings. Javier faced the Rays twice last year allowing no runs with thirteen strikeouts in eleven innings. Play Houston -105.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Twins at Royals—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in twenty starts on the year produces an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 1.29. The eleven year veteran deals 23.4% strikeouts with 9.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 49% with minimal home run damage.
Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer has twenty starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.55 plus WHIP of 1.47. The righthander fans 18.8% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Twins have won nine of ten against the Royals with all wins by two runs or greater.
Team record behind Gray 9-1 to the run line facing a team that is outscored by one run or greater. Royals 1-14 to the run line facing a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 runs per nine innings of lower.
Kansas City past seven games averaging 2.9 runs per game. Their bullpen an ERA of 5.24 past ten games. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Cubs at Cardinals—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly in twenty appearances posts an ERA of 4.60 with WHIP of 1.38. The twelve year lefthander strikes out 20.1% with 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.3% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery has twenty starts on the year delivering an ERA of 3.37 plus WHIP of 1.23. The lefty is striking out 21.7% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Smyly past three starts allowed twelve earned runs with eight walks in 13 2/3rd innings. Cubs have pounded Montgomery this season for thirteen runs in eleven innings. Both teams hitting well. Play Chicago and St Louis under 8.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Athletics at Rockies—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears in twenty starts on the season carries an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.05. The second year lefthander has a K rate of 22.2% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls are 27.2% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.20 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his form.
Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland has nineteen starts posting an ERA of 4.72 with WHIP of 1.45. The lefty has a career low 14.2% strikeouts with 7.7% walks. Grounders served at 39% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. Athletics hitting only .210 against lefthanders. Their bullpen an ERA of 6.15 on the road.
Rockies hit at home and put up five runs per game. Freeland a respectable 4.13 ERA in ten starts in Coors Field this season. Oakland is 13-37 on the road. Play Colorado -110.
Texas Rangers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Rangers at Padres—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in 22 appearances in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander deals a career low 15.4% K’s with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.8% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.17 does indicate a possible rising ERA based on form.
Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove has sixteen starts with an ERA of 3.25 and WHIP of 1.15. The eight year veteran a strikeout mark of 24.5% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.5% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Past seven games Rangers hitting .280 and putting up 6.6 runs per game. Padres hitting only .225 against right handed starters. Dunning on the road an ERA of 2.90 with WHIP of 1.24. Padres have dropped three of four all to losing teams. Play Texas +152.
Seattle Mariners vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Mariners at Diamondbacks—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has twenty starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.88 plus WHIP of 1.04. The third year righthander fans 24.4% with 4.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.6% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Tommy Henry to start for Arizona. Henry in sixteen appearances carries an ERA of 4.01 plus WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander fans 16.3% with 9.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.8% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.13 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Diamondbacks bullpen has been hammered with an ERA of 9.37 in their past ten games. Team record behind Gilbert 12-4 against winning teams and 13-4 in road night games. Past seven games Mariners averaging 4.7 runs per game.
Gilbert on the road this season a WHIP of 0.93 with team record of 8-3. Henry past two starts allowed seven runs with five walks in 8 2/3rd innings. He averages just 5 1/3rd innings per start which exposes a Diamondbacks bullpen in horrid form. Play Seattle -132.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Reds at Dodgers—Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson in twelve starts on the year has an ERA of 4.60 with WHIP of 1.26. The rookie lefthander fans 18.8% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.5% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
Bobby Miller to start for Los Angeles. Miller has ten starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.28 and WHIP of 1.19. The rookie righthander strikes out 23.2% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.5% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Los Angeles 12-16 against starting left handers this year with a -13 unit return. Williamson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. At home Miller an ERA of 5.93. Play Cincinnati on run line +1.5 runs at +100.
Boston Red Sox vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/28/2023
Red Sox at Giants—Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford has nineteen appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.04 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.9% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.3% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 21 starts has an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.12. The fifth year righty fans 25.4% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 59.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have won six of eight.
Red Sox are 36-17 facing an National League team on the road hitting .245 or worse. They are 11-7 with a +9 unit return as an underdog of +125 to +175.
Webb was just hammered in Washington for six run in 1 1/3rd innings. Past ten games Red Sox bullpen an ERA of 2.42 and averaging 6 runs per game. Giants in this period hitting .184. Play Boston +132.
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