Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/9/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
The Cincinnati Reds will go against the Milwaukee Brewers in MLB action at American Family Field, WI, on Sunday, July 9, 2023, at 2:10 PM ET.
Before being defeated in the first match of this series on Friday night, Cincinnati had won five straight games and eight of its previous nine.
The Reds were 49-40 on Saturday and had a one-game lead over the Brewers in the NL Central standings. Joey Votto (run, three RBI) had two of Cincinnati’s four hits in the opening game on Friday.
After two innings, the Reds were behind 4-0 and never recovered throughout the game. Votto blasted his sixth home run of the year in Cincinnati’s defeat.
On the mound, Andrew Abbott (4-1) lost after tossing 4.1 innings and giving up six runs on nine hits, one walk, and six strikeouts.
In this game, Ben Lively, who will be making his 10th appearance and eighth start of the year for the Reds, is anticipated to return off the injured list and take the mound.
He enters the game 4-4 this year with 46 innings pitched, a 4.11 ERA, a 1.261 WHIP, 13 walks, and 45 strikeouts. Lively’s most recent start, against the Rockies at home on June 20, didn’t affect the outcome.
He pitched four innings in a game the Reds eventually won 8-6, giving up two runs on three hits while also walking four and striking out four.
Lively is 1-1 with a 6.06 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, five walks, and 16 strikeouts in 16.1 innings pitched across his previous three starts. On June 4, 2023, Lively made his lone career start at home against the Brewers and ended up losing.
In a game the Reds lost 5-1, he pitched seven innings, giving up five runs on six hits, three walks, and five strikeouts. Lively pitched at American Family Field for the first time in his 36th big league game and 28th start overall.
- The total went OVER in four of Cincinnati’s last five matches.
- The Cincinnati Reds are 6-1 SU in their previous seven matches.
- The Cincinnati Reds are 3-9 SU in their last 12 matches against Milwaukee.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions 7/9/2023
Milwaukee won the first game of this series on Friday night, marking their second consecutive victory and fifth in the previous seven games.
The Brewers had a season record of 48-41 on Saturday and were one match behind the Reds for first place in the NL Central.
On Friday, Milwaukee had three hits from Owen Miller (RBI) and won thanks to additional runs from Willy Adames (two runs, three RBI), William Contreras (two runs), and Joey Wiemer (run, two RBI).
Wiemer scored his 12th and 14th runs to help the team win. In six innings of work, Corbin Burnes (7-5) won the victory after giving up two runs on three hits, four walks, and six strikeouts.
With his 19th save, Devin Williams recorded the last two outs while giving up zero runs on zero hits, one walk, and two strikeouts.
Wade For the Brewers, Miley will start this game, making it his 13th of the year. He enters the game with a record of 5-2, a season’s total of 61.2 innings pitched, a 3.36 ERA, a 1.151 WHIP, 16 walks, and 38 strikeouts.
Miley was not considered in his most recent start against the Cubs on Tuesday afternoon at home.
In five innings, he gave up four runs on nine hits, two walks, and four strikeouts in a game that the Brewers ultimately lost 7-6 after extra innings.
Miley has a 1-0 record, a 3.60 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, five walks, and ten strikeouts in 15 innings of work across his previous three starts. In this game against the Reds, Miley makes his 14th appearance and 13th career start.
In 72.2 innings pitched versus them, he is 6-3 with a 3.10 ERA, 1.156 WHIP, 21 walks, and 67 strikeouts.
In 18 career starts at American Family Field, Miley is 7-3 with a 4.10 ERA, a 1.366 WHIP, 23 walks, and 58 strikeouts in 85.2 innings of work.
- The total went OVER in eight of Milwaukee’s last nine matches.
- The total went OVER in five of Milwaukee’s last six matches at home.
- The total went OVER in four of Milwaukee’s last five matches at home against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers The MLB pick for this game is the Cincinnati Reds. Lively’s first start back from the IL will have its limits, so the Reds will rely on their bullpen in this one.
He didn’t have any minor league rehab starts and is recovering rapidly from a strained pectoral he suffered in his previous start against the Rockies.
Cincinnati’s batters can step up and produce their fair share of runs, but one has to question whether their pitching will hold up in this situation.
Then again, Miley’s FIP ERA is 4.62, an entire run and a quarter higher than his current mark, so he is due for some negative regression.
Trusting the Brewers in this game is difficult because they struggled to score runs for most of the season. Take the Reds, who are still in first place in their division going into the break.
The Cincinnati Reds will win by a predicted score of 8-3.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/9/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
MLB Starting Time: 2:10 PM ET
Location: American Family Field, WI
Date: Sunday, July 9, 2023
TV: BSOH
MLB Odds: Cincinnati Reds +105
MLB Totals: 9.5