Free MLB Picks For Today 7/5/2023
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Rockies at Astros—Chase Anderson to start for Colorado. Anderson in eleven appearances posts an ERA of 6.50 with WHIP of 1.51. The ten year veteran righthander strikes out 16.7% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.4% with 2.17 home runs per nine innings.
J.P. France to start for Houston. France has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 1.21. The rookie righty fans 17.7% with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.2% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.81 does indicate a possible rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Anderson now playing for his high contact. He pas been pounded in his past four starts for 25 earned runs in 13 2/3rd innings. As this series began the Rockies were 5-14 on the road to the run line against a winning team and 1-10 to the run line on the road against a team outscored opponents to .5 runs per game or greater.
Astros 18-7 to the run line at home facing a starter who averages less than five innings per start. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Phillies at Rays—Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in seventeen starts produces an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 20.8% with 8.9% walks. Grounders come in at 46.7% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Yonny Chirinos to start or see bulk innings for Tampa Bay. Chirinos has twelve appearances on the campaign with an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.20. The righty pitches to high contact with 12% strikeouts with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.8% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP of 5.00 does indicate a possible rise in ERA should form hold. Walker’s form outstanding allowing one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. Chirinos form and high contact a concern facing this Phillies lineup.
Past seven games Philadelphia averaging 6.7 runs per game and hitting .283. Phillies have won six of eight after winning the opener of this series. Play Philadelphia.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Cardinals at Marlins—Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz in seventeen appearances this season posts an ERA of 4.92 with WHIP of 1.59. The lefthander strikes out 20.1% with 8.3% walks. Grounders sit at 45.5% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Bryan Hoeing will start for Miami. Hoeing has nineteen appearances with an ERA of 3.72 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander fans 18.4% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 47% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals now 16-29 facing winning teams after their loss on Tuesday.
Team record behind Matz in nine games is 0-7. Matz in his five road starts an ERA of 7.77 and WHIP of 1.97 with team record of 1-4. Hoeing at home an ERA of 1.29 with WHIP of 0.86 and team record of 3-0. Play Miami -113.
Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Athletics at Tigers—Hogan Harris to start for Oakland. Harris appeared in eight games in 2023 carrying an ERA of 5.17 with WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander has a K rate of 17.9% with 9.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.7% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez has eleven starts on the year posting an ERA of 2.13 with WHIP of 0.98. The veteran lefty fans 25.5% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.4% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Rodriguez at home an ERA of 1.65 and WHIP of 0.85 in five starts.
Tigers bullpen at home has been effective. Tigers bat only .214 against lefthanders and Oakland is at .211 against lefty’s. These are two poor offensive teams. Play Oakland and Detroit under 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Reds at Nationals—Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in fifteen starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 6.66 with WHIP of 1.59. The second year righthander is striking out 17.1% with 9.2% walks. Grounders come in at 48% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
Josiah Gray will start for Washington. Gray has seventeen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.30 plus WHIP of 1.38. The righty a strikeout mark of 21% with 10.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.6% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Nationals now 4-18 at home facing a winning team after their loss on Tuesday.
Washington averaging only 3.6 runs per game at home. Their bullpen ERA is near five. Ashcraft does produce better numbers on the road. Gray an ERA at home of 5.17 and WHIP of 1.60. Play Cincinnati -113.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Orioles at Yankees—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has seventeen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 5.04 and WHIP of 1.42. The righthander deals 20.9% strikeouts with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.3% with 1.88 home runs per nine innings.
Randy Vasquez to start for New York. Vasquez in his two starts allowed two earned runs with nine strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings. The 2018 draft pick spent 2022 in Double A with good numbers. The righthander has 13 starts in Triple A this year with an ERA of 5.11 with WHIP of 1.62 striking out 69 batters in 61 2/3rd innings.
Past ten games Orioles hitting .218 averaging 3.5 runs per game. Yankees bullpen is outperforming Baltimore. New York has won five of seven against the Orioles. Baltimore has lost six of seven. Play NY Yankees+110.
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Rangers at Red Sox—Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray has fifteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 1.08. The nine year veteran fans 21.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.6% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.39 does indicate a possible rise in ERA based on form.
Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in thirteen starts an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 21.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 57.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Gray has been hit hard in recent starts against the Blue Jays and Astros. Bello form outstanding allowing two earned runs or fewer in ten of eleven starts. Red Sox hitting .286 at home. Play Boston -105.
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Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Braves at Guardians—Michael Soroka to start for Atlanta. Soroka has three starts in 2023 with an ERA of 6.89 with WHIP of 1.53. The righthander fans 16.7% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 54.9% with 2.87 home runs per nine innings.
Cal Quantrill will start for Cleveland. Quantrill in twelve starts posts an ERA of 6.18 with WHIP of 1.50. The righty deals only 12.3% strikeouts with 7.7% walks. Grounders sit at 38.9% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
After winning the opener of this series the Braves were 52-21 as a road favorite of -125 to -175. Past seven games they are hitting .281 and averaging 6.6 runs per game. Hard to back Cleveland with an offense that produces just 3.5 runs per game at home. Play Atlanta -161.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Royals at Twins—Alec Marsh to start for Kansas City. Marsh in his MLB debut allowed five earned runs with four walks in four innings at home to the Dodgers. The 2019 draft pick out of Arizona St spent 2022 in two levels of the
Minor Leagues with poor results in Double The righthander had poor results in eleven starts in Double A this year. He posted an ERA of 5.32 with WHIP of 1.59 working 47 1/3rd innings and striking out 56 batters. Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota.
Lopez has seventeen starts on the year with an ERA of 4.24 and WHIP of 1.15. The sixth year righty delivers 29.8% K’s with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.4% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Team behind Lopez is 17-6 to the over at home.
Royals offense showed some improvement in that Dodger series. Marsh minor league form a massive concern as is the Kansas City bullpen behind him with an ERA of 5.02. Lopez at home an ERA of 5.93. Play Kansas City and Minnesota over 9.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Cubs at Brewers—Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in fifteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 2.43 with WHIP of 1.03. The lefthander produces a strikeout rate of 22.3% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.3% with minimal home run damage.
Adrian Houser will start for Milwaukee. Houser has ten appearances with an ERA of 3.88 and WHIP of 1.51. The nine year righthander fans 14.8% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 50% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Brewers 34-20 to the under facing an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.25 or better.
Milwaukee hits just .206 against lefthanders. Steele has allowed three earned runs total in his past four starts with the under coming in three times. In his past three starts against Milwaukee he allowed on earned run in 17 1/3rd innings. Brewers bullpen has performed well at home. Play Chicago and Milwaukee under 9.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Blue Jays at White Sox—Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has seventeen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander is striking out 22.7% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.1% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn in seventeen starts produces an ERA of 6.47 with WHIP of 1.50. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 26.9% with 8.3% walks. Grounders sit at 38.8% with 2.06 home runs per nine innings. White Sox are 11-22 facing a staring pitcher who strikes out five or greater batters per game.
At home Lynn has an ERA of 7.22 and WHIP of 1.55 and getting hurt by the home run. Berrios in his lone meeting against the White Sox this season allowed no runs in seven. Lynn gave up four earned runs with three walks in five innings against the Blue Jays this season. Play Toronto -118.
LA Angels vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Angels at Padres—Patrick Sandoval to start for Los Angels. Sandoval in fifteen appearances carries an ERA of 4.57 with WHIP of 1.49. The lefthander deals 17.9% K’s with 8.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.6% with limited home run damage.
Seth Lugo to start for San Diego. Lugo has eleven starts this season producing an ERA of 3.59 and WHIP of 1.27. The righthander delivers 21.9% strikeouts with 5% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.6% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
At home Lugo has an ERA of 4.94 and WHIP of 1.48. Past seven games Padres averaging 5.6 runs per game. Sandoval has allowed 20 earned runs in his past five starts working 25 1/3rd innings. San Diego does a better job hitting and scoring runs on left handed starters. Play Angels and Padres OVER 8.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Mariners at Giants—Darren McCaughan expected starter for Seattle. McCaughan in two appearances allowed three earned runs with seven strikeouts in four innings. A 12th round pick out of Long Beach St in 2017 spent 2022 in Triple A with an ERA of 4.55 and WHIP of 1.18.
The righthander has fourteen appearances, 13 starts, in Triple A in 2023 carrying an ERA of 6.56 with WHIP of 1.49 striking out 52 in 71 1/3rd innings. Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in fifteen starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 1.36.
The thirteen year veteran fans 21.9% with 5.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 57.6% with limited home run damage. Cobb has been outstanding at home with an ERA of 1.43 and WHIP of 1.19. Mariners are hitting only .226 against righthanders. Play San Francisco.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Mets at Diamondbacks—Kodai Senga to start for New York. Senga has fifteen starts on the campaign providing an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander deals 28.5% K’s with 13% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.8% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Tommy Henry to start for Arizona. Henry in thirteen appearances in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.35. The second year lefthander fans 17% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.9% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.32 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
As this series began the Mets were 12-24 against winning teams. Arizona does a great job hitting righthanders. Henry past three starts allowed four earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. New York 9-19 against lefthanded starters hitting .224 and averaging 3.6 runs per game. Play Arizona +105.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. LA Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2023
Pirates at Dodgers—Osvaldo Bido to start for Pittsburgh. Bido in four starts posts an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP of 1.47. The righthander delivers 20.2% strikeouts with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.7% with limited home run damage.
Bobby Miller to start for Los Angels. Miller has seven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.23 with WHIP of 1.25. The rookie righty is striking out 21.7% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball dished at 49.5% with limited home run damage. After dropping the opener of this series the
Pirates were 43-61 to the run line on the road against a winning team losing -29 units. LAD 70-42 to the run line with +28.3 units facing an NL team hitting .245 or worse. Past seven games Los Angeles hitting .281 and averaging 6.6 runs per game. Play Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
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