Free MLB Picks For Today 7/3/2023
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Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Astros at Rangers—Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in sixteen starts posts an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander strikes out 21.8% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 26.3% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez has sixteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.28 and WHIP of 1.42. The twelve year veteran fans 15.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.7% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Perez at home an ERA of 1.91 with WHIP of 1.06. Javier has been hammered in his past two starts. Past seven games Rangers hitting .311. Play Texas -113.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Cubs at Brewers—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly in sixteen starts on the season has an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander has a K rate of 19.3% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 34% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. Julio Teheran to start for Milwaukee. Teheran in seven starts carries an ERA of 2.85 with WHIP of 0.93. The righthander strikes out 16% with 5.1% walks. Grounders served at 41.7% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.08 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds. Brewers hit only .202 against lefthanders and average only 2.8 runs per game. Team record behind Smyly on the road is 22-14 and 15-7 when he faces a team hitting .250 or worse. Smyly has put up good numbers on the road. Play Chicago -105.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Reds at Nationals—Luke Weaver to start for Cincinnati. Weaver in thirteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 6.96 with WHIP of 1.61. The righthander strikes out 18.6% with 6.8% walks. Grounders come in at 35.8% with 1.95 home runs per nine innings. Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin has ten starts on the campaign with an ERA of 4.72 and WHIP of 1.49. The rookie righthander fans 17.4% with 11.7% walks. Grounders served at 41.7% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Reds 26-16 facing losing teams and 20-11 facing teams with bad bullpen ERA’s of 4.20 or worse. Past seven games Cincinnati averaging 5.9 runs per game. Nationals at home pushing across only 3.6 runs per game. Play Cincinnati -122.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Cardinals at Marlins—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas has seventeen starts on the year with an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.38. The veteran strikes out 16.1% with 5.1% walks. Grounders come in at 37.6% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Braxton Garrett to start form Miami. Garrett in sixteen appearances in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander deals 27.7% strikeouts with 4.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.1% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals is 16-27 against winning teams. Team record behind Garrett 13-3 against losing teams. Mikolas past three starts an ERA of 6.27 with WHIP of 1.50. Garrett has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of six starts. Play Miami -126.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Orioles at Yankees—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells in sixteen appearances on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 0.88. The righthander fans 26.5% with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.5% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.57 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds. Domingo German to start for NYY. German has fifteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.54 with WHIP of 1.05. The sixth year veteran has a K rate of 23.5% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 39% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. Orioles 14-1 as a road favorite of -110 or higher. German prior to his perfect game at Oakland had been pounded for 17 runs, 15 earned in 5 1/3rd innings. Yankees have pounded Wells past two starts but no Judge in the lineup for New York in this spot. Play Baltimore -115.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Braves at Guardians—Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder in sixteen starts has an ERA of 2.44 with WHIP of 1.13. The second year righthander fans 20.5% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 55.7% with limited home run damage. Gavin Williams to start for Cleveland. Williams in his two starts this season allowed four earned runs with ten strikeouts in 12 2/3rd innings. A first round pick in 2021 out of East Carolina. He posted great numbers in two levels of the minors in 2022. In 2023 he posted good numbers in Double and Triple A striking out a total of 72 batters in 55 1/3rd innings. Braves are 51-21 when favored by -125 to -175. Past seven games Atlanta hitting .298 and averaging 7.1 runs per game. Guardians at home average only 3.5 runs per game. Elder an ERA of 1.43 on the road with WHIP of 0.98. Braves too hot. Play Atlanta -155.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Royals at Twins—Austin Cox to start for Kansas City. Cox in seven appearances has an ERA of 2.25 with WHIP of 0.88. The rookie lefthander fans 24.6% with 13.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.6% with limited home run damage. Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan has sixteen starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 3.44 with WHIP of 0.97. The righthander deals 27.3% strikeouts with 3.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.2% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Twins 17-22 facing losing teams. Past seven games Minnesota averaging only 2.9 per games. They hit just .208 against lefthanders. Ryan has been hammered in two of his past three starts. Tough spot for Minnesota playing their first home game after a nine game road trip. Play Kansas City +197.
LA Angels vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Angels at Padres—Jaime Barria to start for LAA. Barria in seventeen 2023 appearances producing an ERA of 2.92 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 19.6% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.59 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has sixteen starts with an ERA of 3.21 and WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander an elite 31.5% strikeout rate with 11.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.2% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. At home Padres averaging only 3.8 runs per game. Padres have lost seven of eight. Barria has put up good numbers on the road. San Diego hits only .221 against righthanders this season with a -16.3 unit loss. Play LA Angels +158.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Mariners at Giants—Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in five starts carries an ERA of 4.37 with WHIP of 1.24. The rookie righthander is striking out 33.3% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.2% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.97 does suggest a drop in ERA if form holds. Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has seventeen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.12. The fifth year righty deals 24% with 4.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 61% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Woo has been hammered in his road games. Webb at home an ERA of 2.89 with WHIP of 1.05. Mariners 16-22 on the road with a -7.3 unit loss. Play San Francisco -131.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. LA Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2023
Pirates at Dodgers—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has seventeen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander has a K rate of 27.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.7% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Clayton Kershaw to start for Los Angeles. Kershaw in sixteen starts produces an ERA of 2.55 with WHIP of 1.05. The veteran fans 27.7% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Dodgers could be looking at a bullpen game as Kershaw is dealing with inflammation and could be headed to the injured list. Hot weather in Los Angeles. Keller an ERA of 4.02 on the road with the bullpen ERA of 4.44 on the highway. Dodgers bullpen struggling. Play Pittsburgh and LA Dodgers over 8.