Free MLB Picks For Today 7/1/2023
San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Padres at Reds—Michael Wacha to start for San Diego. Wacha in fourteen starts has an ERA of 2.90 with WHIP of 1.05. The eleven year veteran strikes out 21.4% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 32.9% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson in eight starts an ERA of 5.82 with WHIP of 1.47. The rookie lefthander fans 17% with 9.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.3% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings.
Reds win the opener of this series and finished June red hot. Padres -18 units as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Cincinnati past seven games hitting .271 and averaging 6.4 runs per game. Their bullpen an ERA of 3.04 at home. Wacha an ERA of 3.44 on the road. Play Cincinnati +140.
New York Yankees vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Yankees at Cardinals—In Game 1 Gerrit Cole to start for New York Cole in seventeen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 2.78 and WHIP of 1.13. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 26.8% with 7.3% walks. Grounders come in at 36.4% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Jack Flaherty to start for St Louis. Flaherty has fifteen starts on the season with an ERA of 4.95 and WHIP of 1.60. The righthander deals 22.4% strikeouts with 12.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.4% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings.
As this series began the Cardinals were 2-9 facing a team with a good bullpen that has a WHIP of 1.25 or better. New York bullpen an ERA of 2.60 on the road. Cardinals pen an ERA of 4.66 at home.
Flaherty has been hammered at home with an ERA of 7.06 and WHIP of 1.70. Flaherty past two starts allowed 12 earned runs in 10 2/3rd innings. Play New York Yankees -120. Not enough pitching information to give you a pick in Game 2 of this doubleheader.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford appeared in fifteen games this season posting an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander carries a strikeout rate of 23.7% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 40% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings.
Yusie Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi has sixteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander fans 24.4% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.1% with 2.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.27 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds.
Red Sox 27-16 facing an AL team hitting .265 or worse. Team record behind Kikuchi 7-17 against the AL East. Red Sox bullpen an ERA of 3.75 on the road. Blue Jays are averaging only 4.3 runs per game at home. Crawfords numbers have been good at home with an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP of 1.16. Play Boston +147.
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Astros at Rangers—Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown has fifteen starts on the year producing an ERA of 3.62 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander has a K rate of 27.4% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 57.2% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in sixteen starts has an ERA of 2.82 with WHIP of 1.00. The veteran righty fans 24.8% with 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 50.7% with limited home run damage.
As this series began the Rangers had lost four of six. Past seven games they average only 4.6 runs per game. Astros in this period hitting .287 and averaging 7.3 runs per game. Play Houston +117.
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Twins at Orioles—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in twelve starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 2.97 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander strikes out 24.2% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 30.7% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish has fourteen starts with an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.19. The righty in his second year fans 22.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.7% with 0.88 home run per nine innings. Team record behind Bradish 20-14 facing a team that averages seven or greater strikeouts per game.
As this series began the Twins were 6-18 as an underdog of +100 to +150 and Orioles 29-9 as a home favorite of -110 or higher. Minnesota past seven games hitting .225 and averaging 3 runs per game. Play Baltimore -133.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Nationals at Phillies—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore in sixteen starts carries an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander strikes out 28.5% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.2% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in sixteen starts produces an ERA of 3.76 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander fans 26.8% with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.6% with limited home run damage. Nationals have now won five of their past six on this trip.
Nationals are 11-11 as a road underdog of +175 to +250 with a +11.5 unit return. They do average 4.7 runs per game on the road and have a +12.9 unit return on the road.
Phillies average only 3.8 runs per game against lefthanded starters. Gore on the road an ERA of 3.26 and WHIP of 1.21. Wheeler was pounded in his last start at home to the Mets. Play Washington +185.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Brewers at Pirates—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has sixteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.10 with WHIP of 1.19. The sixth year veteran has a K rate of 22.6% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.4% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Johan Oviedo is the starter for Pittsburgh. Oviedo in sixteen starts has an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP of 1.38. The righty fans 20.3% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.7% with limited home run damage. Pirates have won four straight on this home stand.
Burnes has been hammered past two starts. Brewers hitting only .222 against the division averaging 3.8 runs per game. Pirates are now 12-2 at home against an NL team hitting .245 or worse on the season. Play Pittsburgh +127.
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Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
White Sox at Athletics—Dylan Cease the starter for Chicago. Cease in seventeen starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.04 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander deals 27.8% strikeouts with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 40% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Muller to start for Oakland. Muller in ten appearances in 2023 carries an ERA of 8.04 with WHIP of 1.96. The lefthander strikes out only 14.3% with 10% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.2% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
Past ten games White Sox generating more offense. Athletics bullpen in this period an ERA of 6.75. Cease on the road an ERA of 4.54. Over is 7-3 in Muller’s starts. Play Chicago and Oakland over 8.5.
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Giants at Mets—Anthony DeSclafani to start for San Francisco. DeSclafani in sixteen starts this season carries an ERA of 4.28 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran fans 18.4% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls served at 43.4% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Justin Verlander to start for New York. Verlander has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander strikes out 20.6% with 6.3% walks. Grounders come in at 41.6% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Mets have dropped eight of ten hitting just .222 with a bullpen ERA of 4.98.
New York is 10-24 against winning teams this year with a -19 unit return. Giants are 13-5 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 returning +11 units. San Francisco averages 5.4 runs per game on the road. DeSclafani has put up good numbers on the road. Play San Francisco +131.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Marlins at Braves—Eury Perez to start for Miami. Perez has nine starts this season producing an ERA of 1.34 with WHIP of 0.98. The rookie righthander has a strikeout mark of 29.2% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 29.6% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 3.03 is an indicator of a rising ERA if form holds.
Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton at fifteen starts an ERA of 3.81 and WHIP of 1.48. The 39 year old delivers 26.3% strikeouts with 10.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.3% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Braves past ten games hitting .318 against righthanders and averaging nearly nine runs per game against them. Atlanta has won seven of eight against Miami this season covering run line in all seven wins. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Guardians at Cubs—Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee in eleven starts carries an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander strikes out 22.9% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.5% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman has seventeen starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 2.47 with WHIP of 1.08. The ten year veteran fans 20.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 59.3% with limited home run damage.
Bibee has struggled on the road with an ERA of 5.68 with WHIP of 1.66. Stroman form great at home with an ERA of 2.25 and WHIP of 0.84. Guardians averaging only 3.7 runs per game against righthanders. Play Chicago -134.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Rays at Mariners—Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow in six starts on the season has an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander has an elite strikeout rate of 35.2% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls served at 44.9% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has fifteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.07. The second year righthander has a strikeout mark of 21% with 1.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.3% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners now 18-31 against winning teams after losing the opener of this series. Mariners hitting just .221 against righthanded starters. Glasnow has better numbers on the road. Prefer the Rays offense here. Play Tampa Bay -116.
LA Dodgers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Dodgers at Royals—Julio Urias to start for Los Angeles. Urias in ten starts posts an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP of 1.16. The lefthander fans 23.3% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 38% with 2.28 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.29 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Daniel Lynch to start for Kansas City. Lynch has six starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.18. The third year righthander deals 15.9% strikeouts with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 34.8% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.00 does suggest a rising ERA based on form.
Royals 17-5 to the over facing teams that outscored their opponents by 0.5 runs per game or greater. Los Angeles 16-6 to the over when favored by -125 or greater and 26-14 to the over on the road. Dodger bullpen on the road an ERA of 5.33 and the Royals 5.56 at home. Play Los Angeles and Kansas City over 9.
Detroit Tigers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Tigers at Rockies—Tyler Alexander to start for Detroit. Alexander appeared in 24 games in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander fans 23.6% with 2.9% walks. Ground balls served at 32.3% with 2.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.3% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Jeff Criswell to start for Colorado. Criswell is expected to make his MLB debut. He spent 2022 in three levels of the minors with good results. The righthander in fifteen appearances in Triple A this season has an ERA of 9.00 with WHIP of 1.86. Criswell struck out 57 in 58 innings with 32 walks.
Rockies offense upgraded at home. Tigers 29th in runs scored and home runs. They are last in hitting, OPS and in striking out which is worst in the Major Leagues. Play Colorado.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/1/2023
Diamondbacks at Angels—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson has sixteen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 4.97 and WHIP of 1.45. The righty deals 16.1% strikeouts with 7.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.9% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson in fourteen starts produces an ERA of 5.54 plus WHIP of 1.54. The lefthander delivers a 17.9% strikeout rate with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.8% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
As this series began the Diamondbacks were 24-14 as a road underdog. Arizona is scoring 5.6 runs per game on the road. Nelson has been sharp on the road with an ERA of 3.07 and WHIP of 1.11. At home Anderson an ERA of 5.88 with WHIP of 1.58. Play Arizona +107.
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