Free MLB Picks For Today 6/21/2023
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Orioles at Rays—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells in fourteen appearances has an ERA of 3.20 and WHIP of 0.86. The righthander has a K rate of 26.1% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.2% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.44 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds.
Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley has nine starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.19 and WHIP of 1.30. The righty fan 34.1% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.3% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.67 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Orioles 8-1 facing a starter wo averages less than five innings per start. Past seven games Orioles hitting .311. Bradley at home an ERA of 7.13 in four starts. Play Baltimore +130.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Blue Jays at Marlins—Kevin Gausman to start for Texas. Gausman in fifteen starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.01 and WHIP of 1.13. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.2% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.4% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara has fourteen appearances with an ERA of 4.97 and WHIP of 1.22. The righty fans 19.4% with 7.3% walks. Grounders come in at 48.5% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Gausman 16-5 on the road against a winning team. Marlins 4-22 against the AL East. Play Toronto -124.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Cubs at Pirates—Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks has five starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.18 and WHIP of 1.06. The righty is striking out 14% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 40% with limited home run damage.
Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill in fourteen starts has an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander deals 21.4% K’s with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.8% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Eight straight losses for the Pirates.
Past ten games they are hitting .201 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA of 9.51. Hendricks form outstanding and Cubs past seven games hitting .287 pushing across 7.4 runs per game. Play Chicago -104.
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Rockies at Reds—Connor Seabold to start for Colorado. Seabold in sixteen appearances has an ERA of 5.88 and WHIP of 1.48. The righthander fans 16.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.3% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings.
Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott in three starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 0.00 and WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander has allowed no runs in 17 2/3rd innings plus produces 16.9% strikeouts and 12.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 30.6% with no homers allowed.
Rockies pitching staff has been hammered on this trip. Reds bullpen at home an ERA of 2.71. Play Cincinnati on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Royals at Tigers—Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer has starts in fourteen games with an ERA of 6.33 and WHIP of 1.61. The righthander fans 20.4% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.1% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Matthew Boyd to start for Detroit. Boyd in thirteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 5.60 and WHIP of 1.35. The lefthander deals 23.1% K’s with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 38% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
Singer on the road an ERA of 7.20 and Boyd at home an ERA of 8.46. Tigers 21-10 to the over against losing teams and 22-13 to the over at home. Play Kansas City and Detroit over 8.5.
New York Mets vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Mets at Astros—Tylor Megill to start for NYM. Megill in fourteen starts in 2023 has an ERA of 4.83 and WHIP of 1.61. The righthander deals 17.9% strikeouts with 11.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.3% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Cristian Javier is the starter for Houston. Javier has fourteen starts with an ERA of 2.90 and WHIP of 1.04. The righty fans 23.8% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 26.8% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
NYM 13-23 facing a team with a good bullpen with a WHIP of 1.35 or lower. Megill on the road an ERA of 7.42 and WHIP of 2.14 in seven starts with team record 2-5 in those games. Play Houston -145.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Diamondbacks at Brewers—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen has fifteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.96 and WHIP of 1.13. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 27% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.7% with limited home run damage.
Julio Teheran to start for Milwaukee. Teheran in five starts has an ERA of 1.78 and WHIP of 0.82. The veteran strikes out 18.2% with 3.6% walks. His ground balls sit at 41.2% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. G
allen has not been as sharp on the road with an ERA of 5.78 and WHIP of 1.52. Teheran pitching like he wants to stay in the Majors. Brewers bullpen has performed well at home. Play Milwaukee +123.
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St Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Cardinals at Nationals—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in fifteen starts posts an ERA of 4.36 and WHIP of 1.36. The veteran fans 16.6% with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.5% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Trevor Williams is the starter for Washington. Williams has fourteen starts on the season with an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.41. The righty strikes out 17.5% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. Past four games Cardinals offense hitting stride on this trip.
Nationals bullpen at home an ERA near five. Mikolas has been pounded past two starts. Williams has struggled in his past two home starts allowing nine earned runs in ten innings walking seven. Play St Louis and Washington over nine.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Braves at Phillies—AJ Smith Shawver to start for Atlanta. Smith Shawver in three appearances produces an ERA of 2.03 and WHIP of 0.98. The rookie righthander fans 21.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.5% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.47 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds.
Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in fifteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.10. The veteran deals 24.4% K’s with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.3% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Braves win streak now seven games.
Atlanta is 26-7 facing teams allowing 4.5 runs per game or greater. Team record behind Nola is 14-29 against winning teams and 8-17 when lined between +125 and -125. Past seven games Braves hitting .322 and averaging 8.7 runs per contest. Play Atlanta +112.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Mariners at Yankees—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in fourteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 2.73 and WHIP of 1.02. The righthander deals 29.6% strikeouts with 6.9% walks. Grounders served at 41.7% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Jhony Brito the starter for NYY. Brito in ten appearances has an ERA of 5.58 and WHIP of 1.49. The righty has a K rate of 16.9% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.8% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners batting .219 against righthanders. Past seven games NYY hitting .194 and averaging 3.3 runs per game. Both bullpens performed well. Play New York and Seattle under 7.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Athletics at Guardians—Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn in four starts carries an ERA of 3.48 and WHIP of 1.35. The righthander deals 25.3% strikeouts with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.7% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Gavin Williams expected starter for Cleveland. Williams was drafted in 2021 as the 23rd overall out of East Carolina. He spent 2022 in Single and Double A. He posted three great starts in 2023 in Double A. Promoted in Triple A, he has posted an ERA of 2.85 and WHIP of 1.07 in 41 innings striking out 52 batters.
Guardians 13-3 to the under against losing teams. Blackburn 9-0 to the under when an underdog of +125 to +175. Cleveland bullpen an ERA of 2.21 at home. Blackburn good form past two games. Guardians average just 3.4 runs per game at home. Play Oakland and Cleveland under 8.5.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Red Sox at Twins—Garrett Whitlock to start for Boston. Whitlock in seven starts this season carries an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP of 1.23. The righthander has a K rate of 20.9% with 4.4% walks. Grounders served at 45.3% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has fourteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.37 and WHIP of 1.28. The veteran fans 24.8% with 9.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.1% with minimal home run damage. Twins have lost five of six. Red Sox have won six straight and have pounded Twins pitching in the first two of this series.
Boston 22-9 facing an AL team hitting .255 or worse. Past seven games Red Sox hitting .303 and pushing across 7 runs per game. Twins struggling at the plate. Red Sox bullpen has been good on the road. Play Boston +114.
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Rangers at White Sox—Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez in fourteen starts on the year has an ERA of 4.54 and WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander deals 15.9% K’s with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.9% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Kopech will start for Chicago. Kopech has fourteen starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 3.92 and WHIP of 1.27. The righthander fans 26.7% with 11.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.9% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.30 does suggest a rise in ERA if his form holds.
After winning the opener of this series the Rangers are 20-6 facing AL teams that average 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Team record behind Perez 16-3 facing a losing team. Texas best hitting and scoring team in baseball. Play Rangers -104.
LA Dodgers vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Dodgers at Angels—Michael Grove expected to start for LAD. Grove has seven appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 8.10 and WHIP of 1.60. The righthander is striking out 21.9% with 6.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.1% with 2.40 home runs per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani the starter for LAA. Ohtani in fourteen starts has an ERA of 3.29 and WHIP of 1.05. The righty has an elite K rate of 31.7% with 10.6% walks. Ground ball sits at 45.3% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Grove and Dodgers bullpen in massive struggle.
Past seven games LAD hitting .221 and pushing across 3.6 runs per game. LAA bullpen has performed well at home. Play LA Angels on run line -1.5 runs.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/21/2023
Padres at Giants—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has thirteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.74 and WHIP of 1.20. The veteran has a K rate of 25.9% with 7.5% walks. Grounders served at 41.6% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Sean Manaea to start for San Francisco. Manaea in fifteen appearances has an ERA of 5.84 and WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander deals 28.8% strikeouts with 9.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.1% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.
Darvish has been hammered on the road and Manea hammered at home. Giants have hit Darvish and Padres have hit Manaea. Play San Diego and San Francisco over.
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