Free MLB Picks For Today 6/20/2023
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Braves at Phillies—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider in fourteen starts posts an ERA of 4.12 and WHIP of 1.13. The righthander has an elite K rate of 39.2% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 30.1% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.32 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in seven starts in 2023 has an ERA of 3.82 and WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander deals 22% K’s with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.2% with limited home run damage.
Braves 20-9 to the over against teams with bad bullpens with ERA’s at 4.20 or worse. Strider 11-3 to the over this season. Braves averaging 8.7 runs per game past seven games and Phillies at 6.3. Play Atlanta and Philadelphia over 8.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Blue Jays at Marlins—Yusie Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in fourteen starts on the campaign an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander fans 23.3% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.8% with 2.41 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.76 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds.
Eury Perez to start for Miami. Perez has seven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 1.80 and WHIP of 1.09. The righthander a strikeout mark of 25.4% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 26.4% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
As this series began the Marlins were 15-5 facing an AL team hitting .265 or lower. Marlins bullpen has performed well at home. Kikuchi an ERA near five on the road. Perez past three starts allowed one earned run in 16 innings. Play Miami +190.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Royals at Tigers—Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch has four starts on the season with an ERA of 5.79 and WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander is striking out 19.4% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.1% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Lorenzen to start for Detroit. Lorenzen in eleven starts posts an ERA of 4.23 and WHIP of 1.09. The righty fans 17.9% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.8% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers hitting only .211 against lefthanders and averaging 3.8 runs per game against them. Lynch does put up better numbers on the road. Lorenzen has been pounded in his past two starts. Play Kansas City +134.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Orioles at Rays—Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish has twelve starts this season producing an ERA of 3.90 and WHIP of 1.27. The righthander deals 20.7% strikeouts with 6.4% walks. Grounders served at 43.3% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow in four starts posts an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.29. The righty has a K rate of 29.5% with 12.5% walks. Grounders sit at 43.1% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.22 does suggest his ERA rising based on his numbers.
Orioles 20-13 to the over on the road. Rays 24-13 to the over at home. Tampa Bay putting up nearly six runs per game at home. Their bullpen has not been dominant at home as in recent years. Play Tampa Bay and Baltimore over 8.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Mariners at Yankees—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in thirteen starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 3.24 and WHIP of 1.07. The righthander fans 22% with 1.9% walks. Grounders sit at 45.2% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole has fifteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.75 and WHIP of 1.11. The veteran strikes out 26.4% with 7.8% walks. Grounders served at 37.7% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners 16-26 against winning teams this season. Mariners hit just .219 against righthanded starters. Yankees bullpen has been outstanding. Seattle pen an ERA of 4.15 on the road. Play New York -128.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Cubs at Pirates—Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman in fifteen starts has an ERA of 2.45 and WHIP of 1.04. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 21.6% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 60.5% with limited home run damage.
Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo has fourteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.40 and WHIP of 1.47. The righthander fans 20.6% with 10.2% walks. Grounders sit at 47.8% with limited home run damage.
Cubs have won six of seven after taking the opener of this series. They are showing improvement at the plate. Pirates past ten games hitting .201 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA of 9.51. Play Chicago -125.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Cardinals at Nationals—Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery has fourteen starts on the season producing an ERA of 3.91 and WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander strikes out 21.6% with 6.2% walks. Grounders served at 45% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Mackenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore in fourteen starts has an ERA of 3.74 and WHIP of 1.38. The lefty a K rate of 27.5% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.5% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
Both lineups hit lefthanded starters well. Cardinals bullpen struggling over their past ten games with an ERA approaching six. Play St Louis and Washington over 9.5.
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Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Athletics at Guardians—Luis Medina to be primary starter for Oakland. Medina has eight appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 7.55 and WHIP of 1.60. The righthander is striking out 21% with 10.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.3% with 2.29 home runs per nine innings.
Aaron Civale to start for Cleveland. Civale in five starts produces an ERA of 2.67 and WHIP of 1.26. The righty deals 19.5% strikeouts with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.2% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.19 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
Medina an ERA of 11.68 on the road and the Athletics bullpen an ERA of 6.12 away. Guardians bullpen has been outstanding at home. They have shown offensive improvement past seven games hitting .289. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Rockies at Reds—Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland has fifteen starts this season posting an ERA of 4.48 and WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander fans 14.9% with 6.5% walks. Grounders sit at 42.1% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
Ben Lively to start for Cincinnati. Lively in eight appearances in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.07 and WHIP of 1.21. The righthander is striking out 23.3% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.7% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Reds pound lefthanded starters. Rockies have their struggles scoring on the road. Play Cincinnati -165.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Red Sox at Twins—Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford in thirteen 2023 appearances carries an ERA of 4.20 and WHIP of 1.13. The righthander has a K rate of 24.6% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.6% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has ten starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 2.65 and WHIP of 0.99. The righty has a strikeout mark of 24.2% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 31.4% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox 21-9 facing an AL team hitting .255 or worse this season. Past seven games Red Sox hitting .295 and pushing across 6.1 runs per game. Twins have dropped four of five. Prefer the Red Sox hitting here. Play Boston +122.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Diamondbacks at Brewers—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in fourteen starts produces an ERA of 5.30 and WHIP of 1.54. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 14.7% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.6% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea has twelve appearances posting an ERA of 4.71 and WHIP of 1.26. The righty deals 21.6% with 9.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.9% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Nelson has performed well on the road and the Diamondbacks are the better hitting team. Diamondbacks are 11-7 as a road underdog of +100 or higher on the season. Play Arizona +107.
New York Mets vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Mets at Astros—Justin Verlander to start for NYM. Verlander in eight starts this season has an ERA of 4.40 and WHIP of 1.22. The veteran deals 21% strikeouts with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in fourteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 2.27 and WHIP of 1.03. The lefthander fans 26.2% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 57.7% with limited home run damage.
Wheels falling off this Astros team with five straight losses. Astros 4-12 when lined as a -100 to -150 favorite at home. Houston averages only 4.2 runs per game against righthanded starters. Play New York +125.
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Rangers at White Sox—Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in fourteen starts produces an ERA of 2.59 and WHIP of 0.98. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 25.5% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 51% with limited home run damage.
Dylan Cease to start for CWS. Cease has fifteen starts posting an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.34. The righty fans 26.2% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.8% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Texas is 23-8 facing an AL team hitting .255 or worse this season.
Team record versus Cease 0-9 when facing an AL team averaging 5.4 runs per game or greater. White Sox batting only .224 against righthanders averaging 3.8 runs per game. Rangers best scoring and hitting team in baseball. Play Texas -126.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Padres at Giants—Seth Lugo to start for San Diego. Lugo has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP of 1.37. The righthander fans 21.3% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.5% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Anthony DeSclafani to start for SF. DeSclafani in fourteen starts posts an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.18. The veteran deals 18.2% K’s with 5.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.7% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
SF win streak at eight games. Past ten games Giants putting up 7.2 runs per game with a bullpen ERA of 2.40. Prefer the Giants form here. Play San Francisco -105.
LA Dodgers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 6/20/2023
Dodgers at Angels—Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in fourteen starts has an ERA of 2.95 and WHIP of 1.11. The veteran has a strikeout rate of 29.3% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 47.4% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Reid Detmers to start for LAA. Detmers has twelve starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.48 and WHIP of 1.46. The lefthander fans 27.7% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.3% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Kershaw form is strong. LAD pounded Detmers past two seasons. Team record behind Kershaw 12-3 against the Angels. Play LA Dodgers -139.
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