Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks 6/18/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
The Cleveland Guardians will go against the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at Chase Field, AZ, on Sunday, June 18, 2023, at 4:10 PM ET.
Remember how, after losing in the ALDS, the 2022 Cleveland Guardians realized they wanted to up their home run total after finishing 29th? So far in 2023, the team has hit the fewest home runs, which led to a runs-per-game average that ranks 27th in the league.
Despite having MLB’s worst hard-hit rate, they may have the second-lowest strikeout rate.
The Guardians also have a 25th-ranked walk rate, which prevents them from completely weaponizing their speed without exposing a weakness in the defense. When they score at least five runs, Cleveland is 16-5.
With a bullpen that is second only to the Yankees in that measure, Cleveland is sixth in team ERA. Tanner Bibee will attempt to fulfill the starting pitcher’s usual duty of handing the ball to the big arms in a close game on Sunday.
His previous start was also on the road and wasn’t good. When facing San Diego on Tuesday, Bibee only pitched four innings and gave up six runs. That rarely works with Cleveland’s offensive scheme.
After nine starts, Bibee has a 3.81 FIP and a 105 ERA+, which is good for a solid rookie season. After faltering against another NL West squad, he is now up against a potent offense.
Bibee will face a challenging mental and physical test in this situation. The bullpen pitchers for the Guardians pitched 61 times with runners on base and 92 times in high-leverage situations.
The bullpen recorded 41 saves this season, ranking eighth in MLB. The Guardians’ bullpen pitchers entered the game in 80 save situations with a 63.2% save percentage.
They have made 24 saves this year, but 14 of their 38 chances to win the game were missed.
The relievers were handed 81 base runners, and 19.8% of those runners scored this season. During the year, the Guardians used 225 bullpen pitchers.
- The Cleveland Guardians are 2-3 in their last five matches against the spread.
- The Cleveland Guardians are 19-17 in their road matches against the spread.
- The totals went over in two of the Guardians’ last five matches.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions 6/18/2023
The Diamondbacks are experiencing that 2011 feeling once more as they sit atop the National League West and are not far from the league’s best record.
This squad is accomplished enough to be taken seriously, and it all starts with their offensive. There isn’t much Arizona isn’t doing well, with the exception of drawing walks (21st in walk rate).
They are third in strikeout rate, fifth in slugging percentage, fifth in runs per game, and fifth in stolen bases.
Corbin Carroll, a rookie, currently leads the majors in offensive WAR and offensive winning percentage. The Diamondbacks are challenging to keep off the board.
Their pitching was not as strong, with an ERA that ranks 18th, although it recently stabilized a little.
With the leads they get, this team frequently finds itself in high-leverage situations, where a number of bullpen pieces have earned trust.
Starting pitchers must perform well; Zach Davies did not do that at home. In 16.1 home innings this year, he gave up 16 runs, 14 of which were earned.
Davies’ start on Tuesday was likewise his worst of the year; in 3.0 innings, he gave up six runs, four of them earned. In that time, he allowed three walks and six hits.
The hits, walks, and runs are still flowing even though Davies keeps the ball in the park better than he ever has in his career.
The Diamondbacks have a team FIP of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.359 for the current season. THEY ACHIEVED a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (588 strikeouts vs. 243 walks).
With 605 total hits surrendered, their pitching staff is ranked 24th in the MLB. They rank 19th in the MLB for runs allowed per nine innings (4.74) and home runs allowed (81).
The Arizona pitching staff allowed 329 runs this season while compiling a 4.38 team ERA (304 earned runs allowed).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last five matches against the spread.
- The Arizona Diamondbacks are 22-9 against the spread in their road matches.
- The totals went over in two of the Diamondbacks’ last five matches.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Arizona Diamondbacks The MLB pick for this game is the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Diamondbacks are better prepared to capitalize on scoring opportunities in a game where the pitching might not be at its best.
Particularly considering the Guardians’ poor road record (16-20) and the fact that they scored eight of their 12 runs during one game on this road trip.
Before Saturday, they combined for four in the other three. Arizona was better at winning this year than Cleveland because of their unstoppable offensive.
At home, the Snakes attack the Guardians, another squad. The Diamondbacks will win by a predicted score of 6-3.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks 6/18/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
MLB Starting Time: 4:10 PM ET
Location: Chase Field, AZ
Date: Sunday, June 18, 2023
TV: BSAZ
MLB Odds: Cleveland Guardians -110
MLB Totals: 8