New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 6/17/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
The New York Yankees will go against the Boston Red Sox in MLB action in Fenway Park, MA, on Saturday, June 17, 2023, at 7:15 PM ET.
Aaron Judge was placed back on the injured list after his spectacular catch against the Dodgers that helped his team win.
That’s bad news for the Yankees, who, without him in the lineup, came into Boston averaging just 3.50 runs per game. The lowest average in the majors is 3.62 per game for the A’s, for context.
There were speculations that Harrison Bader would also return, improving this team’s lineup and defense, but the most recent reports say he will return on Tuesday.
Because their other big bats are also having trouble, this team must find alternative ways to score runs. Giancarlo Stanton is slashing, and Anthony Rizzo just snapped his MLB career’s longest hitless stretch.
Josh Donaldson has a career-worst batting line of 138/.265/.379 since fully recovering from his injury, while LeMahieu is a shell of his former self. If they want to score, they must take advantage of every chance.
This team’s success is still due to its pitching, especially its league-best bullpen. The Yankees continue locating relievers who succeed in most of their opportunities.
In a tight game, Clarke Schmidt is charged with passing them the ball, which he is successful at frequently.
Even if his last four starts for New York were losses, in his last five starts, Schmidt has a 2.33 ERA and pitched 5.1 innings of one-run ball against Boston.
The Yankees only scored five runs in total throughout those four losses, with two of those runs coming in one game as their high.
Even though Schmidt was unexpectedly put into a more significant role due to injuries, he appeared to turn the corner.
During the season, the Yankees used 218 bullpen pitchers. Of the 116 base runners the bullpen pitchers inherited this season, 36.2% scored a run for their side.
They have made 20 saves so far this campaign but missed 10 of their 30 chances to make saves.
The Yankees’ relief pitchers entered the game in 67 save situations with a 66.7% save percentage. The relievers’ 37 holds this season rank 13th in MLB.
- The total went under in five of the NY Yankees’ last seven matches.
- The NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last nine matches.
- The New York Yankees are 7-3 SU in their last 10 matches against Boston.
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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Predictions 6/17/2023
The Red Sox produced 25 runs in 10 games between the second game of a doubleheader on June 3 and their game on June 12. That average of 2.5 runs per game is far lower than their eighth-ranked 4.9 average.
They did, however, end their series with the Rockies with two nights of six runs or more. This Boston club is driven by offense, so they will need it if they want to win these games easily.
The Red Sox rank in the top 10 in average, OBP, slugging, and MLB’s sixth-best strikeout rate. Rafael Devers leads the league in RBIs, so this batting order can cause pitchers problems, particularly at home.
On the mound, though, a different story unfolds. Despite having a far superior bullpen than in 2022, Boston’s team ERA this season ranks 22nd.
Despite the turmoil of the rotation, Brayan Bello is starting to show signs of being a rock. Bello’s last start was at Yankee Stadium, and he has a 2.93 ERA since the month of May started.
On Sunday night, he pitched 7.0 innings, surrendering just two runs in the Red Sox’s final victory after extra innings.
His percentage of home runs is substantially higher than the previous season, but aside from that, he has improved since his first season in 2022.
Boston’s relievers entered the game with 25 chances for saves and recorded 18. They now boast the fourth-best save percentage in the league (72.0%) and have used 212 relievers this season.
They used their bullpen relievers 40 times with runners on base and 58 times in high-leverage situations. Out of their 64 inherited base runners, Boston bullpen pitchers have an acquired score rate of 31.3%.
The Red Sox now have 58 save opportunities, with 33 holds and seven missed saves.
- The total went under in five of Boston’s last seven matches.
- The total went under in four of Boston’s last five matches against the New York Yankees.
- The Boston Red Sox are 2-5 SU in their last seven matches at home.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox The MLB pick for this game is the New York Yankees.
The Yankees remained competitive despite Judge’s lengthy absence thanks to their powerful pitching staff, which can typically contain opponents. New York should always be favored in a low-scoring matchup between these clubs.
Their pitching staff is stronger and boasts higher scores across the board. Their offense isn’t particularly threatening without Judge, but there are enough runners in the lineup to accumulate runs.
This time, the Yankees prevailed in a closely contested matchup between these starters. The New York Yankees will win by a predicted score of 5-3.
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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 6/17/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
MLB Starting Time: 7:15 PM ET
Location: Fenway Park, MA
Date: Saturday, June 17, 2023
TV: NESN
MLB Odds: New York Yankees +117
MLB Totals: 9