Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals 6/11/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
The Cincinnati Reds will go against the St. Louis Cardinals in MLB action in Busch Stadium, MO, on Sunday, June 11, 2023, at 2:15 PM ET.
Streaks have dominated Cincinnati’s season thus far. The Reds have either won or lost three games in a row ten times, and Saturday’s matchup offers the chance for an additional run.
Given that they are still only 5.0 innings behind the Cubs in the NL Central, and if they are currently on a losing streak, it is unfortunate timing.
The Reds’ issue was their pitching; they are 28th in MLB with a 5.08 ERA. Only one starting lineup was worse than Cincinnati’s, despite the fact that Hunter Greene, the starter for this game, was a bright spot.
In seven starts on the road, Greene has a 3.11 ERA, with Denver accounting for most of his losses.
He is developing into the Reds’ ace of the future with a strikeout rate of 33.0%, which would rank fourth in the majors with enough innings to qualify.
The Reds’ offense ranks 11th in runs per game this season, which helps that they play in one of MLB’s friendlier venues for hitters.
This year, Cincinnati is sixth in OBP, fifth in walk rate, and third in stolen bases. They have trouble slugging, especially when hitting home runs, yet they still manage to get across the plate.
Elly De La Cruz, a highly anticipated rookie, recently made his MLB debut and might give the offense some pop. The Reds will be difficult to beat moving forward if they can start constantly clearing the fences.
The Reds’ relief pitchers entered the game in 57 save situations with a 69.2% save percentage. Of the 123 baserunners the relief pitchers inherited this season, 30.9% advanced to the plate.
Relief pitchers for the Reds entered games 85 times with runners on base and 82 times in high-leverage situations. The relievers are now ranked 25th in the league with 29 saves on the year.
They have made 18 saves so far this year but also missed 8 of their 26 chances to make saves.
- The total went over in four of Cincinnati’s last five matches.
- The Cincinnati Reds are 4-2 SU in their last six matches.
- The total went over in eight of Cincinnati’s last nine matches on the road.
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Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Predictions 6/11/2023
The Cardinals spent most of the season in the NL Central’s cellar despite possessing the current NL MVP, a 2022 division championship to defend, and a team that appeared to be as complete as any.
They reached new heights in May, but they have plummeted back to earth since then. Additionally, St. Louis struggled with pitching throughout 2023, and Adam Wainwright was not offered relief.
The veteran’s current WHIP, H/9, strikeout rate and ERA+ numbers are all career lows. In May, he had his worst performance of the year against the Reds, giving up five runs in 5.2 innings of work.
Waino continues to know how to keep pitches in the park but also takes a lot of hits.
This year, St. Louis is ninth in runs scored per game at the plate. They rank in the top 10 for both walk and strikeout rates and have the fifth-most home runs.
Paul Goldschmidt returned to his former self, Nolan Arenado finally rediscovered his bat, and Nolan Gorman perhaps outperformed both.
Typically, scoring isn’t a problem, and the offense can lead this squad to victory at any time. Particularly at home, where their numbers increase.
The pitching staff for St. Louis allowed 293 runs this season while having a collective ERA of 4.23 (264 earned runs allowed).
They gave up 63 home runs and rank 18th in the league in runs allowed per nine innings (4.69). The Cardinals’ pitching staff has a season-long FIP of 4.11 and a team WHIP of 1.440.
Their ratio of walks to strikeouts is 8.70 (544 against 220 free passes).
- The total went under in 10 of St. Louis’ last 14 matches.
- The St. Louis Cardinals are 2-6 SU in their last eight matches.
- The total went over in five of St. Louis’ last six matches against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals The MLB pick for this game is the Cincinnati Reds. The Reds are the superior bet with Hunter Greene in the circle in this game.
He made money on the road but needed running support to turn it into victories.
Fortunately, Adam Wainwright, who had a terrible season, will face the Reds at the plate. Cincinnati demonstrated their ability to get at Wainwright by tagging him for five runs once this season.
Greene can slow St. Louis’ offense down, and Cincinnati’s unexpectedly strong bullpen can stop it. The Reds triumphantly depart from St. Louis. The Cincinnati Reds will win by a predicted score of 6-4.
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Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals 6/11/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
MLB Starting Time: 2:15 PM ET
Location: Busch Stadium, MO
Date: Sunday, June 11, 2023
TV: BSMW
MLB Odds: Cincinnati Reds +114
MLB Totals: 8.5