Free MLB Picks For Today 6/9/2023
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Diamondbacks at Tigers—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly has twelve starts on the season with an ERA of 2.80 and WHIP of 1.08. The righthander has a K rate of 27.6% with 10% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.2% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Michael Lorenzen to start for Detroit. Lorenzen in nine starts produced an ERA of 3.21 and WHIP of 0.99. The righty is striking out 19.6% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.1% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Kelly 11-2 facing teams getting outscored by 0.5 runs or greater and 19-6 when lined at -100 and -150. Tigers hitting only .225 against righthanders averaging 3.5 runs per game. Diamondbacks putting up 5.4 runs per game on the road. Play Arizona -135.
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Rangers at Rays—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney in eleven starts posts an ERA of 4.03 and WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander fans 24.5% with 10.2% walks. Grounders dished at 41.2% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay as he moves from Thursday to Friday’s game. Glasnow in two starts allowed four earned runs with fourteen strikeouts in 9 2/3rd innings. The righthander was dealing with an oblique injury to start the year. He has a career ERA of 3.99 and WHIP of 1.24 in 108 appearances striking out 530 in 419 1/3rd innings. Rangers past seven games hitting .317 and pushing across 6 runs per game. Rays bullpen no longer dominant. Play Texas on run line +1.5 runs at -135.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Royals at Orioles—Daniel Lynch to start for Kansas City. Lynch has two starts in 2023 allowing five earned runs with thirteen strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings. He strained his shoulder in spring training. The lefthander in 2022 carried an ERA of 5.13 and WHIP of 1.57 striking out 122 in 131 2/3rd innings. Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells in twelve appearances has an ERA of 3.29 and WHIP of 0.85. The righthander has a K rate of 26.6% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.1% with 1.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.55 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds. KC struggled to score runs averaging 2.4 runs per game the past seven games and hitting .200. Better hitting, starter and bullpen on the Orioles side. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Red Sox at Yankees—Garrett Whitlock to start for Boston. Whitlock in five starts has an ERA of 5.61 and WHIP of 1.29. The righty has a strikeout mark of 18.9% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.5% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings. Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole in thirteen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 2.82 and WHIP of 1.13. The veteran is striking out 25.9% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.4% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Past ten games Yankees hitting only .229. Cole has had recent struggles at home allowing ten earned runs with four homers in 11 innings. Red Sox 18-9 facing teams hitting .260 or worse. Play Boston +159.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Mets at Pirates—Tylor Megill to start for NYM. Megill has twelve starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.40 and WHIP of 1.62. The righthander fans 17.9% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.5% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill in twelve starts an ERA of 4.41 and WHIP of 1.38. The veteran has a K rate of 21.6% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 31.7% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Megill an ERA of 6.23 on the road and Mets hit just .222 against lefty starters pushing across 3.4 runs per game. Play Pittsburgh +114.
LA Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Dodgers at Phillies—Michael Grove to start for LAD. Grove in five starts has an ERA of 8.14 and WHIP of 1.52. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 22.3% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.5% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez has five starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 5.47 and WHIP of 1.54. The lefthander fans 18.3% with 7.3% walks. Grounders served at 52.5% with limited home run damage. LAD 22-10 to the over on the road. Suarez 9-1 to the over as a -110 favorite or higher. Dodgers bullpen on the road an ERA of 5.85. Past ten games LAD is hitting .330 against lefthanders. Play Los Angeles and Philadelphia over 9.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Twins at Blue Jays—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in twelve starts has an ERA of 2.15 and WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 25.4% with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.5% with minimal home run damage. Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi has twelve starts this season posting an ERA of 4.40 and WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander is striking out 22.9% with 7.6% walks. Grounders served at 36.7% with 2.49 home runs per nine innings. Twins offense continues their massive struggles held to seven runs past six games. Minnesota 4-15 as an underdog of +100 to +150. Twins hitting .224 against lefthanders averaging 3.5 runs per game. Kikuchi has pitched well at home. Play Toronto -121.
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Astros at Guardians—Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in twelve starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 2.84 and WHIP of 0.99. The righthander has a K rate of 26.4% with 5.9% walks. Grounders dished at 27.2% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen has eight starts posting an ERA of 2.76 and WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander fans 23.9% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.5% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Astros hit lefthanders well and are 54-18 against them. Tough to trust this Guardians hitting lineup against this quality pitching staff. Play Houston -123.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Nationals at Braves–Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in twelve starts posts an ERA of 3.09 and WHIP of 1.42. The righty strikes out 19% with 11.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 43% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.75 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his form. Aj Smith-Shawver to start for Atlanta. Smith-Shawver has one relief appearance allowing no runs and three strikeouts in 2 1/3rd innings at Arizona. The righthander is a seventh round draft pick in 2021 with no college. He spent 2023 in three levels of the minors. In 2023 in Single A an ERA of 5.11 and WHIP of 1.36 striking out 103 in 68 2/3rd innings. Solid numbers in the minors this season. Braves 15-5 to the under facing a starter with an ERA of 3.20 or lower. Gray’s improvement key here. Play Washington and Atlanta under 10.
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Marlins at White Sox—Eury Perez to start for Miami. Perez in five starts posts an ERA of 2.25 and WHIP of 1.17. The righthander has a K rate of 24.2% with 11.1% walks. Grounders served at 28.6% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.28 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Dylan Cease to start for CWS. Cease has thirteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.63 and WHIP of 1.37. The righty strikes out 24.6% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.8% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Marlins 11-1 facing an American League team hitting .260 or worse. Past seven games Marlins hitting .284 and scoring 6.4 runs per game. White Sox bullpen an ERA of 5.01 at home. Play Miami +125.
Oakland Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Athletics at Brewers—Luis Medina is primary pitcher for Oakland. Medina in six appearances has an ERA of 8.19 and WHIP of 1.62. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 19.1% with 10.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.7% with 3.03 home runs per nine innings. Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser has six starts carries an ERA of 3.45 and WHIP of 1.44. The righty fans 14.1% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 53.7% with limited home run damage. Bullpen behind Medina an ERA of 6.40 on the road. Houser numbers have been good at home. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Reds at Cardinals—Ben Lively to start for Cincinnati. Lively in six appearances posts an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP of 1.01. The righthander deals 24.8% K’s with 6.8% walks. Grounders sit at 43.8% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.32 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds. Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery has twelve starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.23 and WHIP of 1.39. The lefthander fans 20.8% with 6.2% walks. Grounders dished at 44.9% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Montgomery 0-5 against losing teams and 2-10 this season. Reds 13-7 against lefthanders this year hitting .295 and averaging 5.7 runs per game. Cardinals past ten games hitting .181. Play Cincinnati +165.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Padres at Rockies—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in eleven starts posts an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP of 1.12. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 26.4% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 44% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in 12 starts produces an ERA of 6.99 and WHIP of 1.64. The lefthander strikeouts only 15% with 9.9% walks. Grounders dealt at 41.2% with 2.06 home runs per nine innings. Rockies struggled against the good pitching and improved bullpen by the Giants. Padres have performed well. Rockies pen an ERA of 5.51 at home. Gomber at home an ERA of 8.64. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -126.
Seattle Mariners vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Mariners at Angels—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in twelve starts posts an ERA of 2.55 and WHIP of 0.98. The veteran fans 29.2% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.2% with limited home run damage. Shohei Ohtani to start for LAA. Ohtani has twelve starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.30 and WHIP of 1.01. The righthander has an elite strikeout rate of 33.85 with 10.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.7% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Past ten games Mariners batting .197 against righthanders. Team record behind Castillo 11-24 on the road. Seattle is 13-23 against winning teams and 3-12 against good power teams averaging 1.25 home runs per game. Play LA Angels -123.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 6/9/2023
Cubs at Giants—Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman in thirteen starts posts an ERA of 2.39 and WHIP of 1.00. The veteran fans 22% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 59.9% with limited home run damage. Anthony DeSclafani to start for San Francisco. DeSclafani has twelve starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.97 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander strikes out 17.6% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.3% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Past ten games Cubs hitting .172 against righthanders. SF 12-4 when lined at +125 to -125 at home. Play San Francisco -115.