Free MLB Picks For Today 6/4/2023
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St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Cardinals at Pirates—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in twelve starts posts an ERA of 3.75 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 19.4% with 5% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.4% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill has eleven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.76 and WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander fans 21.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Pirates have won four straight. Past ten games they are hitting .272 against righthanders. Cardinals are pounding lefthanders averaging 6 runs per game. Play St Louis and Pittsburgh over 9.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Phillies at Nationals—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in four starts carries an ERA of 7.13 and WHIP of 1.64. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 21% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.8% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.01 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has eleven starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP of 1.29. The righty has a K rate of 16.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.3% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.16 is an indicator of a possible rise in ERA based on his form. Team record behind Williams 11-1 at home facing a losing team and 14-3 overall at home. Phillies average only 3.8 runs per game on the road. Nationals hitting .288 against lefthanders. Play Washington +148.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Rays at Red Sox—Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley in six starts has an ERA of 3.60 and WHIP of 1.07. The righthander has an elite strikeout mark of 34.4% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.4% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Houck expected to start for Boston. Houck has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 5.30 and WHIP of 1.27. The righty fans 22.5% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Houck has struggled at home and Bradley form too good. Play Tampa Bay -113.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Blue Jays at Mets—Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in eleven starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.47 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander is striking out 21.5% with 7.9% walks. Grounders come in at 38.5% with 2.40 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.95 indicates a possible rise in ERA with his numbers. Kodai Senga to start for NYM. Senga has ten starts with an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP of 1.35. He may go on four days rest instead of his customary five days of rest. ERA of 1.20 and WHIP of 0.63 at home. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 29.8% with 13.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.9% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Senga has been dominant at home. NYM is 29-13 at home when favored by -100 to -150. Kikuchi road form poor. Play NY Mets -122.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Brewers at Reds—Adrian Houser will start for Milwaukee. Houser in five starts produces an ERA of 4.07 and WHIP of 1.60. The righthander fans only 15.5% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 54.1% with limited home run damage. Ben Lively to start for Cincinnati. Lively has five appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 1.99 and WHIP of 0.93. The righty fans 27.3% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.8% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Hot weather in Cincinnati favors runs in that hitter’s park. 18 runs scored on Saturday in the heat. Past ten games Reds bullpen an ERA of 6.29. Play Milwaukee and Cincinnati over 10.
Oakland Athletics vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Athletics at Marlins—Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn in his opener allowed one earned run with six strikeouts in four innings at home to Atlanta. The righthander had been sidelined with a finger injury. He had 21 starts in 2022 with an ERA of 4.28 and WHIP of 1.26 posting 19.1% strikeouts along with 6.4% walks. Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara has eleven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.93 and WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 20.5% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.8% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Athletics hitting only .155 against righthanders past ten games and averaging 1.97 runs per game against them in this span. Blackburn is backed by an Athletics bullpen with an ERA of 6.47 on the road. Play Miami on the run line -1.5 runs at -119.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Guardians at Twins—Tristin McKenzie to make his season debut for Cleveland. McKenzie was sidelined with a shoulder injury in spring training. The righthander in 2022 had an ERA of 2.96 and WHIP of 0.95. He struck out 25.6% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls sat at 32.7% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan has eleven starts on the campaign with an ERA of 2.77 and WHIP of 1.00. The righty is striking out 29.1% with 5% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.3% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Guardians 14-3 to the under in the AL Central. Both bullpens are performing well. Play Cleveland and Minnesota under 7.5.
LA Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Angels at Astros—Griffin Canning to start for LAA. Canning in eight starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.89 and WHIP of 1.30. The righthander fans 21.7% with 7.8% walks. Grounders served at 46.3% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. JP France to start for Houston. France has five starts posting an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.30. The righty fans 22.2% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.6% with 2.00 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.24 suggests a rise in ERA based on his form. Canning has struggled on the road this season. Astros have won seven of nine. Houston has won 16 of 22 at home against the Angels. Play Houston -143.
Colorado Rockies vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Rockies at Royals—Kyle Freeland the starter for Colorado. Freeland in twelve starts has an ERA of 4.22 and WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander has a K rate of 16.1% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 42% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in eleven starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 7.12 and WHIP of 1.62. The righthander has a K rate of 19.5% with 9.2% walks. Grounders served at 42.8% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. KC is 1-9 at home as a favorite of -110 or greater. Rockies 14-6 as an underdog of +100 to +150 on the season. Kansas City bullpen ERA 6.08 at home. Play Colorado +122.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Tigers at White Sox—Matthew Boyd to start for Detroit. Boyd in ten starts carries an ERA of 5.96 and WHIP of 1.43. The lefthander is striking out 20.7% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.1% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Michael Kopech to start for CWS. Kopech has eleven starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.52 and WHIP of 1.25. The righthander a K rate of 26.7% with 11.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.1% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.75 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds. Tigers offense continues their struggles and has scored a total of one run in the two games of this series. Kopech has good recent form and Boyd an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP of 1.01 on the road. Play Detroit and Chicago under 9.
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Mariners at Rangers—Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller in six starts produces an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 0.75. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 23% with 2.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 29.6% with limited home run damage. Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in eleven starts carries an ERA of 2.42 and WHIP of 1.00. The veteran fans 24.6% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 52% with limited home run damage. Texas top scoring and hitting team in the major leagues. Mariners now 13-22 facing winning teams. Texas is 12-3 facing teams averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Past seven games Mariners hitting .206. Play Texas -143.
Baltimore Orioles vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Orioles at Giants—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells has appeared in eleven games producing an ERA of 3.29 and WHIP of 0.83. The righthander has a K rate of 25.3% with 5% walks. Ground balls served at 32.3% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.64 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Anthony DeSclafani to start for SF. DeSclafani in eleven starts produces an ERA of 3.48 and WHIP of 1.05. The righthander fans 18% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.5% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Orioles 17-4 to the under facing NL teams hitting .255 or worse. Orioles bullpen has been outstanding this season. Past ten games SF bullpen an ERA of 0.69. Play Baltimore and San Francisco under 8.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Braves at Diamondbacks—Michael Soroka to start for ATL. Soroka in his season opener allowed four earned runs with three strikeouts in six innings at Oakland. The righthander last saw action in the 2020 season starting three games until behind hit with multiple injuries. A career ERA of 2.95 and WHIP of 1.16 in 38 career starts. Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in twelve starts has an ERA of 2.72 and WHIP of 1.03. The righty has a K rate of 28.4% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.3% with minimal home run damage. Team record behind Gallen 17-4 at home. Soroka struggles against the Athletics a massive concern. Diamondbacks hit well against righthanders and their bullpen is performing well at home. Play Arizona -132.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Cubs at Padres—Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman has twelve starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.59 and WHIP of 0.99. The veteran is striking out 21.9% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 59.5% with limited home run damage. Ryan Weathers to start for San Diego. Weathers in eight appearances posts an ERA of 4.28 and WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander fans 15.8% with 10.1% walks. Grounders served at 40.6% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Cubs past ten games hitting .197 against lefthanders and a bullpen ERA of 4.85. Chicago just 10-15 on the road. Cubs past seven games averaging 2.6 runs. Play San Diego -104.
New York Yankees vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 6/4/2023
Yankees at Dodgers—Domingo German to start for NYY. German has ten starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.98 and WHIP of 0.98. The righthander strikes out 24.4% with 8.3% walks. Grounders served at 39.4% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Bobby Miller to start for LAD. Miller in two starts allowed two earned runs with nine strikeouts in 11 innings. A first round pick in 2020 out of Louisville pitched in two levels of the minors last season with good results and high strikeouts. In four Triple A starts this year an ERA of 5.65 and WHIP of 1.21 striking out 12 in 14 1/3rd innings. Millers minor league numbers this season a concern. Yankees bats have gotten healthy and their bullpen greatly outperforming the Dodgers. Play New York Yankees +137.