Free MLB Picks For Today 5/31/2023
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Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Rangers at Tigers—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in twelve appearances has an ERA of 1.67 and WHIP of 0.98. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 15.4% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.2% with no homers allowed. Joey Wentz to start for Detroit. Wentz has ten starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 7.80 and WHIP of 1.66. The lefthander fans 17.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.3% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings. Rangers have won six of seven. They are the top hitting and run producing team in baseball. Tigers near the bottom of the league in both categories. Rangers also have the check mark in starting pitching. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs.
LA Angels vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Angels at White Sox—Jaime Barria to start for LAA. Barria has twelve appearances posting an ERA of 1.55 and WHIP of 0.93. The righthander has a K rate of 24.6% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.7% with limited home run damage. Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn in eleven starts has an ERA of 5.83 and WHIP of 1.45. The veteran is striking out 25.7% with 8.6% walks. Grounders sit at 39.8% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Lynn has faced weak hitting teams past three starts in the Tigers, Royals and Guardians. He has an ERA of 6.21 at home. Play LA Angels +120.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Rays at Cubs—Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin in nine starts produces an ERA of 3.17 and WHIP of 1.02. The righthander fans 24.6% with 3.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 52% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele has eleven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.77 and WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander has a K rate of 21.8% with 6.1% walks. Grounders come in at 47.8% with minimal home run damage. Past ten games Cubs hitting .193 against righthanders. Pitching has dominated this series. Both starters don’t hurt themselves with walks and get ground balls. Play Tampa Bay and Chicago under 8.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Guardians at Orioles—Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in eleven starts posts an ERA of 3.04 and WHIP of 1.23. The righthander is dealing 16.8% strikeouts and 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 43.9% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Austin Voth to start for Baltimore. Voth has eighteen appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP of 1.25. The righty fans 21.9% with 6.1% walks. Grounders dealt at 39.2% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Guardians averaging just 3.4 runs per game plus hitting .218 all against righthanders. Past ten games Cleveland hitting only .204 against righthanders. Bieber’s high contact a concern against this Baltimore lineup that produces runs well. Play Baltimore.
Atlanta Braves vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Braves at Athletics—Jared Shuster to start for Atlanta. Shuster in five starts produces an ERA Of 5.33 and WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander fans 18.5% with 13.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 31.9% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. James Kaprielian to start for Oakland. Kaprielian has nine appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 8.45 and WHIP of 1.88. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 21.1% with 13% walks. Ground balls come in at 26% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. Braves produce 5.6 runs per game on the road. Now they face the worst pitching staff in the league. Kaprielian an ERA over eight and the bullpen backing him an ERA of 6.39. Braves bullpen performing well on the road. Shuster’s form has improved greatly past three games. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Pirates at Giants—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in eleven starts carries an ERA of 3.01 and WHIP of 1.02. The righthander has an elite 30.5% strikeout rate with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.9% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Alex Wood to start for San Francisco. Wood has seven appearances in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.51 and WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander has a K rate of 22.4% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.6% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.53 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Pirates pitching has been hammered on this road trip. Keller on the road an ERA of 3.78. Giants have been playing well in recent home stands. Past ten games SF bullpen an ERA of 0.45 and Pirates at 5.56. Play San Francisco -123.
Washington Nationals vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Nationals at Dodgers—Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin has eleven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.88 and WHIP of 1.42. The lefthander is striking out only 14.5% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.9% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Noah Syndergaard will start for LAD. Syndergaard in ten starts carries an ERA of 6.27 and WHIP of 1.35. The veteran fans 16.1% with 3.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.8% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.51 suggests a drop in ERA if form holds. Nationals 9-0 to the over when facing a staring pitcher with an ERA of 5.40 or worse. After winning the opener of this series the Dodgers have gone over in seven of nine. Past ten games Nationals batting .286 as a team. Both bullpens in this period an ERA of 4.46. Play Washington and LAD over 9.5.
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Padres at Marlins—Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell in ten starts has an ERA of 5.04 and WHIP of 1.56. The lefty fans 23.6% with 13.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.4% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Braxton Garrett will start for Miami. Garrett has ten appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander is striking out 22.6% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.9% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Padres offense looking to get on track with run production. Their bullpen has held up despite an underachieving offense. Marlins average just 3.3 runs per game at home. Snell’s past two road starts have been good. Play San Diego -122.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Brewers at Blue Jays—Julio Teheran to start for Milwaukee. Teheran in his season opener allowed one earned run with four hits and five strikeouts in five innings at home to San Francisco. The righthander has 237 career starts and 4 bullpen appearances with an ERA of 3.80 plus WHIP of 1.22. He strikes out nearly a batter per inning in his career. He did struggle Triple A this year with an ERA of 5.63 and WHIP of 1.67 in 40 innings of work with 45 strikeouts. Alek Manoah will start for Milwaukee. Manoah has eleven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 5.53 and WHIP of 1.79. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate drop to 18% with 14.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 40% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. Brewers bullpen struggled and so did Teheran in Triple A. This is a bigger test for the veteran facing this good Blue Jays hitting lineup. Past ten game Toronto hitting .294 and Brewers at .201. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Reds at Red Sox—Luke Weaver will start for Cincinnati. Weaver has seven starts on the season with an ERA of 5.45 and WHIP of 1.37. The righthander has a K rate of 22.6% with 5.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.5% with 2.13 home runs per nine innings. James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton has three starts producing an ERA of 5.14 and WHIP of 1.36. The lefthander has an elite K rate of 31.7% with 10% walks. Ground balls dished at 20% with 2.57 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox over in 14 of 17 against a righthanded starter at home. Reds hitting .303 against lefthanders and pushing across 5.9 runs per game against them. Play Cincinnati and Boston over 10.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Phillies at Mets—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has eleven starts with an ERA of 4.59 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander fans 21.7% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.5% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Carrasco to start for NYM. Carrasco in five starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 6.75 and WHIP of 1.42. The righty pitches to contact with 13.3% K’s and 10.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.2% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. Carrasco’s high contact the concern here as is his control. NYM bullpen an ERA of 5.35 at home. Team record behind Carrasco 2-16 as a home underdog of +100 or higher. Play Philadelphia -123.
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Twins at Astros—Louie Varland to start for Minnesota. Varland in six starts carries an ERA of 4.24 and WHIP of 1.24. The righthander fans 23.8% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.6% with 2.38 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.43 an indicator of a rising ERA based on his numbers. Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown has ten starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.12 and WHIP of 1.20. The righty has a K rate of 28.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 54.4% with limited home run damage. Astros 50-31 to the under when favored by -125 to -175. Astros bullpen in good form and the Twins unit has performed well. The K rate from both starters are good. Play Minnesota and Houston under 8.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Rockies at Diamondbacks—Dinelson Lamet to start for Colorado. Lamet has twelve appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 12.66 and WHIP of 2.44. The righthander is striking out 22.8% with 21.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.9% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. Tommy Henry to start for Arizona. Henry in seven appearances carries an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander fans only 12.6% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.9% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.84 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Henry’s high contact and control concerning. Lamet’s control a massive concern. After the first game of this series the Diamondbacks were 31-18 to the over against bad teams with a .380 to .460 win rate. Arizona is a good hitting team at home. Play Colorado and Arizona over 10.
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/31/2023
Yankees at Mariners—Clarke Schmidt to start for NYY. Schmidt in eleven stars posts an ERA of 5.58 and WHIP of 1.60. The righty has a K rate of 25.3% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 44% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.24 is an indicator of a drop in ERA based on his form. George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in ten starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP of 1.10. The righthander fans 20.1% with 2.4% walks. Grounders served at 42.3% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Yankees bats continue to be hot and scoring against good pitching. Mariners 12-20 when facing winning teams this season. Seattle 7-13 when favored by -125 to -175 this season. Play NY Yankees +120.