Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs 5/28/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
The Cincinnati Reds will go against the Chicago Cubs in MLB action at Wrigley Field, Chicago, on Sunday, May 28, 2023, at 2:20 PM ET.
Graham Ashcraft will start for the Reds on Sunday. Ashcraft is having trouble, as his previous outing against the Cardinals saw him blow seven runs in five innings, earning him a second loss.
The young pitcher, who entered with a 5.57 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP along with a 2-3 record in 53.1 innings worked this season, had a decent April but was terrible in May, giving up 27 runs in 23.1 innings pitched this month.
He took a beating from the Cubs, giving up 24 runs (22 earned) in 16.2 innings, and has a record of 0-4. The Cincinnati Reds rank fourth in the NL Central.
In their last seven away games, Cincinnati improved their level of competition, finishing 4-3 as of Saturday. They defeated the Cardinals twice at home this week, winning both games.
The offense is on fire, with 22 runs scored in the series against the Cards and nine runs scored in a resounding road victory in Friday’s series opener.
Matt McLain, one of the Reds’ best prospects, was promoted after recording two home runs and five RBIs in his previous five games.
The 23-year-old shortstop played in 10 games this season and now has six RBIs and a brilliant 1.00 OPS. He had three hits in the victory on Friday.
The Reds are currently averaging 4.43 runs per game, which places them in 16th place. The pitching staff’s 4.90 team ERA ranks them 28th overall.
Their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.46 and a K/BB ratio of 2.52. Pitchers for the Reds allowed 63 home runs and 256 total runs, which ranks 25th in MLB.
Cincinnati gave up 244 earned runs and 468 hits (9.4 per 9 innings). The Reds’ staff fanned 464 batters this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.90, ranking 27th in MLB.
Their pitching staff walked 184 opponents this season, and as a team, they have a 4.44 FIP.
- The Cincinnati Reds are 4-1 in their last five matches against the spread.
- The Cincinnati Reds are 13-10 in their road matches against the spread.
- The totals went OVER in 4 of the Reds’ last five games.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Predictions 5/28/2023
Drew Smyly will start on the mound in the series’ penultimate game. In his most recent appearance, Smyly continued to play well, limiting the Mets to just two runs on four hits over five innings to earn the victory.
The seasoned left-hander is pitching brilliantly this season, allowing two runs or fewer in eight of his ten appearances and boasting a 2.93 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 5-1 record, and 55.1 innings pitched.
Smyly has a respectable 3.89 ERA and a 5-1 record in 41.2 career innings against the Reds, but he gave up seven runs (six earned) in 4.2 innings against them in his first start of the year. The Chicago Cubs rank fifth in the NL Central.
Chicago is currently playing nine games at home. Before this series, they won twice in three decisions against the Mets, snapping a run of four straight series losses.
The Cubs were inconsistent, particularly on the mound, and are 3-7 in their last ten games, despite having a winning record at one time in April.
Christopher Morel was outstanding at the plate this season, hitting a fantastic nine home runs with 15 RBIs and a 1 OPS in 15 matches. The 23-year-old showed his talent last season, playing 113 games and posting an OPS of .741.
Last year, he had a .961 OPS and 11 RBIs versus the Reds. Due to an injury, Cody Bellinger is on the sidelines. The Cubs are currently ranked 10th in baseball with a 4.60 run average.
The pitching staff’s 4.24 collective ERA places them 16th overall. With a combined ERA of 4.24 (208 earned runs conceded), the Chicago pitching staff allowed 222 runs this season.
They gave up 48 long balls, and their 4.52 runs per nine innings rank them 13th in MLB. As of this point in the season, the Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.265 and a FIP of 3.92.
They have an 8.60 strikeout-to-walk ratio (422 strikeouts to 149 free passes). With 410 total hits allowed, they rank 9th as a staff in baseball.
- The Chicago Cubs are 3-2 in their last five matches against the spread.
- The Chicago Cubs are 13-11 in their road matches against the spread.
- The totals went OVER in 3 of the Cubs’ last five games.
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs. The MLB pick for this game is the Cincinnati Reds. In this game, the Cincinnati Reds will be fiercely competitive.
They have a firm 4-2 record over their last six games, including a resounding 9-0 victory on Friday to start the series and an 8-5 win on Saturday.
The Chicago Cubs lost seven of their previous ten games and needed to be a solid team to back recently.
Furthermore, the Reds scored seven runs in 4.2 innings to defeat the Cubs in the lone encounter this season, 7-6. The Reds are dangerous against left-handed starters, and Smyly is one of them.
They have a great .818 OPS against them instead of just .655 versus right-handed starters. The Cincinnati Reds will win to a predicted score of 6-3.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs 5/28/2023 Picks Predictions Previews
MLB Starting Time: 2:20 PM ET
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Date: Sunday, May 28, 2023
TV: MARQ
MLB Odds: Cincinnati Reds +138
MLB Totals: 8