Free MLB Picks For Today 5/27/2023
San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Padres at Yankees—Michael Wacha to start for San Diego. Wacha in nine starts has an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander is striking out 21.7% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.2% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino in his season debut allowed one earned run with five strikeouts in 4 2/3rd innings at Cincinnati. He missed the early season with a lat injury. In 2022 the righthander posted an ERA of 3.18 and WHIP of 1.00 striking out 112 in 102 innings.
Past ten games Padres batting .199 as a team and .191 against the American League as this series opened. Yankees bullpen has been outstanding on the season. Play New York -135.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
White Sox at Tigers—Jesse Sholtens to start for Chicago. Sholtens has three appearances with an ERA of 2.25 and WHIP 1.25. The righthander fans 15.6% with 12.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.5% with no homers allowed Michael Lorenzen to start for Detroit.
Lorenzen in seven starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.21. The righty deals 19% strikeouts with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.4% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. Michael Lorenzen to start for Detroit. Lorenzen in seven starts posts an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.21.
The veteran is striking out 19% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.4% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. White Sox have won six of eight with the bullpen showing much improvement. Lorenzen was just pounded at KC for five runs in 5 1/3rd innings. Play Chicago -110.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Blue Jays at Twins—Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has ten starts posting an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP of 1.04. The righthander has a K rate of 20.6% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.7% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
Pablo Lopez will start for Minnesota. Lopez in ten starts on the campaign has an ERA of 3.90 with WHIP of 1.10. The righty an elite strikeout mark of 30.5% with 6.9% walks. Grounders dished at 41.9% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Twins 8-0 to the under and in this low range of 8 to 8.5 at home. Bassitt is 21-8 to the under in this range home and away. Twins bullpen has performed well at home. Play Toronto and Minnesota under eight.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Rangers at Orioles—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney has nine starts on the season posting an ERA of 4.13 and WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander fans 25.7% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.9% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Dean Kremer will start for Baltimore. Kremer in ten starts has an ERA of 4.61 and WHIP of 1.48. The righthander posts a strikeout mark of 18.9% with 6.6% walks. Grounders dished at 38.3% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. Heaney 17-5 to the over.
Texas putting up 5.9 runs per game on the road with a bullpen of 5.32 on the highway. Orioles averaging 5.7 runs per game against lefthanded starters. Play Texas and Baltimore over nine.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Astros at Athletics—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in ten starts produces an ERA of 2.45 and WHIP of 1.03. The lefthander fans 27.6% with 4.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 61% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Hogan Harris to start for Oakland. Harris in his first MLB appearance allowed six earned runs with five walks in 1/3rd inning. He was a third round pick out of Louisiana. He pitched in three levels of the minors in 2022 but had an ERA of 6.45 and WHIP of 1.42 in eight starts in Triple A.
This season in Triple A the lefthander carried an ERA of 3.83 with WHIP of 1.42 striking out 30 in 30 2/3rd innings. Thirteen of past sixteen losses by the Athletics have been by two runs or greater. As this series began the Athletics had been held to two runs or fewer in seven straight. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs.
Washington Nationals vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Nationals at Royals—Josiah Gray will start for Washington. Gray in ten starts has an ERA of 2.65 and WHIP of 1.39. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 19% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.4% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 7.48 and WHIP of 1.64. The righty has a fan rate of 18.9% with 8.8% walks. Grounders sit at 42.5% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.
As this series began the Royals were 7-19 at home and past seven games were averaging just .29 runs per game. Checkmark on Nationals starter and bats. Play Washington -104.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Pirates at Mariners—Roansy Contreras to start for Pittsburgh. Contreras in nine starts produces an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.42. The righthander has a K rate of 16.4% with 10.8% walks. Grounders served at 35.5% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Castillo will start for Seattle. Castillo has ten starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.97 plus WHIP of 1.04. The righty deals 28.3% strikeouts with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.1% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Both bullpens in good form.
Mariners were held to three runs in two of their four at home to the Athletics in prior home stand. Pirates averaging 3.2 runs and hitting .231 against the American League. Play Pittsburgh and Seattle under 7.5.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/27/2023
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Giants at Brewers—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has ten starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.91 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 25.3% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 61.1% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in ten starts carries an ERA of 3.97 and WHIP of 1.22. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 21.5% with 8.9% walks. Grounders sit at 44.4% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Well 25-8 when facing a team batting .245 or worse.
After taking the opener of this series the Giants had won eight of ten with a bullpen ERA of 0.94. Brewers in this period hitting .215 with a bullpen ERA of 6.75. Burnes strike out mark down significantly over the past four seasons. He has been more hittable. Play San Francisco +103.
LA Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Dodgers at Rays—Clayton Kershaw will start for LAD. Kershaw has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.98 and WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander is striking out 29.7% with 6% walks. Grounders dealt at 44.8% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow makes his 2023 debut missing action due to an oblique injury. He did go through Tommy John surgery.
The righthander had only two appearances last year allowing one run with ten strikeouts in 6 2/3rd innings. He has 106 career appearances with an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.25 striking out 516 in 409 2/3rd innings. Tampa Bay has been pounding lefthanders averaging 6.9 runs per game and hitting .305.
LAD bullpen on the road an ERA of 5.70. Kershaw on the road an ERA of 4.32 giving up six homers in 33 1/3rd innings. Rays averaging nearly two home runs per game.
Dodgers likely to see a lot of the Rays bullpen and this unit has not been as dominant as in seasons past. LAD averaging 5.9 runs per game against righthanded starters. Play Los Angeles and Tampa Bay over 8.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Phillies at Braves—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP of 1.23. The veteran has a K rate of 26.1% with 5.7% walks. Grounders sit at 40.7% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.88 does suggest a drop in ERA if form holds.
Charlie Morton in nine starts on the campaign has an ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.41. The righthander is striking out 23.5% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.7% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Phillies are 2-10 against teams averaging 1.5 home runs per game.
Philadelphia bullpen an ERA of 5.88 on the road. They have lost four of five against the division allowing nearly six runs per game and .295 hitting. Play Atlanta -135.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Reds at Cubs—Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson in two starts allowed four earned runs with nine strikeouts but six walks in ten innings.
A 2019 second round draft pick that spent last season in two minor league levels putting up above average numbers. The lefthander had eight starts in Triple A in 2023 posting an ERA of 6.62 and WHIP of 1.88 striking out 27 batters in 34 innings.
Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has seven starts with an ERA of 8.10 and WHIP of 1.73. The righty fans 21.3% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.6% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs pound lefthanders hitting .303 and averaging 6.3 runs per game. Taillon form concerning. Play Cincinnati and Chicago over 9.
Boston Red Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Red Sox at Diamondbacks—Garrett Whitlock to start for Boston. Whitlock in three starts has an ERA of 6.19 and WHIP of 1.38. The righthander strikes out 16.9% with 4.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 40% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings.
Tommy Henry to start for Arizona. Henry has six starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.68 and WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander has a K rate of 13% with 10.1% walks. Grounders served at 39.4% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.93 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Henry’s high contact a concern against a Red Sox team averaging 5.7 runs per game against lefthanded starters. Diamondbacks hit .284 at home making Whitlock’s high contact concerning. Play Boston and Arizona over 9.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Cardinals at Guardians—Jack Flaherty to start for St Louis. Flaherty has ten starts posting an ERA of 5.29 and WHIP of 1.59. The veteran has a K rate of 24.2% with 14.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Tanner Bibee will start for Cleveland. Bibee in five starts in 2023 has an ERA of 3.18 and WHIP of 1.20. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 21.7% with 7% walks.
Grounders come in at 29.1% with minimal home run damage. Tough to back a starter walking nearly 15%. Guardians bullpen an ERA of 2.28 at home to back Bibee. Play Cleveland -107.
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Mets at Rockies—Justin Verlander to start for NYM. Verlander in four starts posts an ERA of 3.60 and WHIP of 0.92. The veteran has a strikeout rate of 20.8% with 5.2% walks. Grounders sit at 38% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.87 suggests a rise in ERA based on his form.
Chase Anderson to start for Colorado. Anderson in four appearances in 2023 has an ERA of 1.15 and WHIP of 0.96. The righthander fans 10% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.7% with no homers allowed.
NYM have won seven of nine. Mets bullpen has performed well on the road this season. Anderson’s high contact a massive concern here. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Miami Marlins vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/27/2023
Marlins at Angels—Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera in ten starts posts an ERA of 5.05 and WHIP of 1.51. The righthander is striking out 29.5% with 15% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.9% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani to start for LAA. Ohtani has ten starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.05 and WHIP of 0.90. The veteran an elite K rate of 34.6% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 47% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Marlins 28th in MLB in run production. Team is 14-4 to the under at home with Ohtani on the mound as a -110 or higher favorite. Cabrera on the edge of elite strikeout category. Play Miami and LAA under eight.
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