Free MLB Picks For Today 5/20/2023
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Royals at White Sox—Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles has nine starts on the season with an ERA of 7.14 and WHIP 1.34. The veteran fans 16.8% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 29.2% with 2.44 home runs per nine innings.
Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in nine starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP 1.12. The righthander has a K rate of 25.1% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.8% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Lyles numbers on the road worse with 22 earned runs allowed in 18 2/3rd innings. Giolito form good at home. White Sox also with the better bats. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at +145.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Orioles at Blue Jays—Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in eight starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 6.57 and WHIP 1.73. The righthander is striking out 25.9% with 10% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.4% with 2.19 home runs per nine innings.
Alek Manoah will start for Toronto. Manoah has nine starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.40 plus WHIP of 1.80. The righty has seen his strikeout rate plummet to 16.4% with 15% walks. Ground ball rate of 38% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.45 suggests an ever higher ERA if form holds.
Orioles offense putting up 5.7 runs per game on the road. Rodriguez form past three games alarming. Manoa at home an ERA of 8.50 with WHIP 2.50. Play Baltimore and Toronto over 9.5 runs.
Colorado Rockies vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Rockies at Rangers—Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland in nine starts carries an ERA of 3.16 plus WHIP 1.11. The lefthander is striking out 18.8% with 5.9% walks. His ground balls sit at 43.3% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.54 indicates a possible rise in ERA with his numbers.
Jon Gray will start for Texas. Gray has eight starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.15 and WHIP of 1.14. The veteran fans 17.4% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.2% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 5.13 indicates a rising ERA if form holds.
Gray at home an ERA of 4.77 allowing five home runs and only 11 strikeouts in 17 innings. Play Colorado on run line +1.5 runs at -122.
Detroit Tigers vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Tigers at Nationals—Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo has two starts on the year allowing five earned runs with four homers and eight strikeouts in 10 2/3rd innings. He had 12 starts last year compiling an ERA of 5.53 and WHIP of 1.64 striking out 33 in 53 2/3rd innings.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in nine starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.65 and WHIP of 1.43. The lefthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 14% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.6% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals 18-9 to the under against righthanders. Corbin 17-4 to the under when his team is lined at +125 to -125. Nats struggling hitting and scoring against righthanders. Detroit is 29th in runs scored. Play Detroit and Washington under 9.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Diamondbacks at Pirates—Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt in three starts carries an ERA of 8.59 and WHIP of 1.57. The righthander deals 16.9% strikeouts with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 25% with 4.30 home runs per nine innings.
Roansy Contreras to start for Pittsburgh. Contreras has eight starts posting an ERA of 4.40 and WHIP of 1.44. The righty fans 16.6% with 10.4% walks. Grounders sit at 37.4% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Pfaadt form a concern and a Diamondbacks bullpen on the road with an ERA over five. Play Pittsburgh -120.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Cubs at Phillies—Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon in six starts has an ERA of 6.66 with WHIP of 1.52. The veteran has a K rate of 23.6% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.74 suggests a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has nine starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.53 and WHIP of 1.11. The veteran is striking out 19.2% with 5.4% walks. His ground balls sit at 38.3% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Nola 14-4 to the over with 5-6 days rest. Cubs bullpen struggling on the road. As this series opened the Cubs went over in eight straight. Play Chicago and Philadelphia over 8.5.
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Marlins at Giants—Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in eight appearances posts an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander deals 21.8% K’s and 4.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.7% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.19 suggests a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has nine starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.20 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 24.7% with 4.7% walks. Grounders sit at 60.5% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Webb on run line 14-6 when he faces an NL team hitting .250 or worse. As this series opened the Marlins 15-29 to the run line. Miami 28th in runs scored. Play San Francisco on run line -1.5 runs at -127.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/20/2023
New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Yankees at Reds—Jhony Brito to start for NYY. Brito has nine appearances with an ERA of 5.20 and WHIP of 1.43. The righthander is pitching to contact with 15.1% strikeouts and 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 47% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
Luke Weaver to start for Cincinnati. Weaver in five starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 6.26 and WHIP of 1.46. The righty has a K rate of 22.5% with 6.7% walks. Grounders served at 42.9% with 2.63 home runs per nine innings.
Hitters park and two starts in poor form. Yankees bats have been hot with Judge back in the lineup. Play New York and Cincinnati over the total.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Brewers at Rays—Eric Lauer will start for Milwaukee. Lauer in eight appearances has an ERA of 4.54 and WHIP 1.44. The lefthander is striking out 22.9% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 24.8% with 2.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.96 suggests a rise in ERA based on his form.
Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has seven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.38 plus WHIP 1.08. The righthander has a K rate of 27.7% with 3.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.9% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers struggle on the road with 3.8 runs per game and a bullpen ERA of 5.43. Rays hitting .300 against lefthanded starters and putting up 6.7 runs per game. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs.
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Guardians at Mets—Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has four starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.22 and WHIP of 1.03. The righthander fans 25% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 27.1% with limited home run damage.
Max Scherzer will start for NYM. Scherzer in six starts carries an ERA of 4.88 and WHIP of 1.30. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 22.4% with 10.3% walks. Grounders served at 26% with 1.95 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians bullpen has kept them in games. Mets just 20th in runs scored in MLB. Scherzer strikeouts way down and walks way up. Play Cleveland on run line +1.5 runs at -138.
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Athletics at Astros—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears in eight starts posts an ERA of 5.27 and WHIP of 1.17. The lefty deals 24.6% strikeouts and 5% walks. Ground balls come in at 27.9% with 2.32 home runs per nine innings.
Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP 1.32. The righthander has a K rate of 25.1% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.9% with limited home run damage. As this series opened the past ten losses by the Athletics all were by two runs or greater.
Altuve healthy for the Astros. Houston does a better job of hitting and scoring against lefthanders. Sears an ERA of 7.84 on the road and is backed by an Athletics bullpen with an ERA of 6.62. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -133.
Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Mariners at Braves—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert in eight starts in 2023 has an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander a strikeout mark of 29.5% with 4.9% walks. Grounders come in at 42.4% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Tonkin to start for Atlanta. Tonkin in eleven appearances carries an ERA of 2.01 and WHIP of 0.63. The reliever is making his career first ever start. The righthander is striking out 21.5% with 3.8% walks.
Ground balls sit at 36.8% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.92 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Mariners have struggles hitting and scoring against righthanders. Gilbert on the road has an ERA of 4.28. Prefer Braves hitters. Play Atlanta -145.
LA Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Dodgers at Cardinals—Noah Syndergaard to start for LAD. Syndergaard has eight starts on the campaign with an ERA of 5.94 and WHIP 1.38. The veteran is striking out 16.5% with 3.2% walks. Grounders served at 39.8% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
Miles Mikolas will start for St Louis. Mikolas in nine starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.91 and WHIP 1.57. The righthander fans 18.8% with 6.4% walks. Grounders dished at 37.1% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Both offenses producing runs and each starter in questionable form.
LAD after the opening game of this series is 19-7 to the over against the NL Central and is trending over this season against righthanders. St Louis averaging 5.9 runs per game at home. Play LAD and St Louis over 9.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Twins at Angels—Louis Varland will start for Minnesota. Varland has four starts on the season with an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP 1.22. The righthander has a K rate of 28.4% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.3% with 2.35 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 5.12 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Patrick Sandoval to start for LAA. Sandoval in eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.22 plus WHIP 1.16. The lefthander fans 16.3% with 8.4% walks. Grounders dealt at 53.2% with limited home run damage.
As this series opened the Twins were 12-29 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. They struggle to hit .217 and scoring 3.6 runs per game against lefthanded starters. Play Angels -120.
Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/20/2023
Red Sox at Padres—Chris Sale to start for Boston. Sale in eight starts carries an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP 1.27. The lefty is striking out 28.7% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.9% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove has four starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 6.63 and WHIP of 1.63. The veteran has a K rate of 21.6% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 35% with 2.37 home runs per nine innings.
Padres have lost seven of eight as this series opened and Red Sox 19-9 in interleague road games. San Diego are also batting -200 past ten games. Red Sox 34-16 against an NL team batting .245 or worse as this series opened. Padres 3-11 against an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or better. Play Boston +114.
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