Free MLB Picks For Today 5/19/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/19/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/19/2023

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Diamondbacks at Pirates—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in nine starts has an ERA of 2.35 with WHIP of 0.85. The righthander fans 32.1% with 3.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.8% with minimal home run damage. Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 5.14 and WHIP of 1.64. The righty has a K rate of 18.3% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 51.4% with limited home run damage. Past ten games Pirates are batting .181 against righthanders. In that period the Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA of 2.70. Play Arizona on run line -1.5 runs at +100.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Brewers at Rays—Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser has two starts in 2023 allowing five earned runs with seven strikeouts in 8 2/3rd innings. He worked in 22 games last season, starting 21, producing an ERA of 4.73 and WHIP of 1.46 striking out 69 in 102 2/3rd innings. His season was delayed by a month with a groin injury. Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in nine starts carries an ERA of 2.34 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander has a K rate of 29.6% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.4% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Brewers hitting just .214 against lefthanded starters and pushing across 2.9 runs per game against them. Rays putting up 6 runs per game and bullpen ERA of 2.58 at home. Play Tampa Bay -155.

New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Yankees at Reds—Clarke Schmidt to start for NYY. Schmidt in nine starts has an ERA of 6.30 with WHIP of 1.65. The righthander fans 25.7% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.1% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.70 suggests a drop in ERA if form holds. Ben Lively to start for Cincinnati. Lively in two appearances allowed one earned run with two strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings. Drafted in 2023 the righthander has 28 career appearances with 20 starts posting an ERA of 4.67 with WHIP 1.42 and 5.89 strikeouts per nine innings. He had five appearances in Triple A this season with an ERA of 2.33 and WHIP of 1.07 striking out 16 in 27 innings of work. Schmidt has been pounded on the road with an ERA of 8.76 and WHIP 2.10. Lively pitches to contact during his MLB career and Yankees bats will enjoy this hitters park. Play NYY and Cincinnati over 8.5 runs.

Detroit Tigers vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Tigers at Nationals—Matthew Boyd to start for Detroit. Boyd in seven starts posts an ERA of 6.47 and WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander is striking out 19.9% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.3% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Jake Irvin will start for Washington. Irvin has three starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP 1.30. The righthander a strikeout mark of 21.9% with 12.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.2% with no homers allowed. Nationals are pounding lefthanded pitching at .289. Tigers hitting only .223 and scoring 3.2 runs per game on the road. Play Washington at -107.

Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Cubs at Phillies—Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman in nine starts produces an ERA of 3.24 and WHIP 1.18. The veteran has a career high 23.2% strikeouts and 9.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 56.6% with limited home run damage. Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in his season opener allowed three earned runs with four strikeouts in four innings at Colorado. Last season the lefthander posted an ERA of 3.65 and WHIP 1.33 with 129 strikeouts in 155 1/3rd innings. His season was delayed by an elbow strain on his pitching arm. Cubs pitching staff has been hammered past five games. Team has lost eight of ten. Chicago has lost 13 of 21 on the road. Phillies an 11-7 home mark and hit righthanders well. Play Philadelphia -125.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Orioles at Blue Jays—Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson in nine starts has an ERA of 4.67 with WHIP 1.40. The veteran is striking out 16.4% with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.3% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi has eight starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.89 plus WHIP 1.30. The lefthander has a K rate of 22.9% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.1% with 2.38 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.46 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Orioles hit lefthanders and their bullpen ERA is 2.99. They are 13-8 on the road. Team record behind Kikuchi 9-15 when favored by -110 or greater. Play Baltimore +134.

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Guardians at Mets—Cal Quantrill will start for Cleveland. Quantrill in eight starts posts an ERA of 3.97 and WHIP 1.35. The righthander pitches to high contact with 11.7% strikeouts and 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Carrasco to start for NYM. Carrasco has three starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 8.56 and WHIP 1.61. The veteran is striking out 12.3% with 12.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.3% with 1.98 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Quantrill 13-4 as an underdog of +100 to +150. Carrasco for concerning. Mets bullpen an ERA of 5.37 on the road. Play Cleveland +133.

Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Mariners at Braves—Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller has three starts on the campaign with an ERA of 0.47 and WHIP of 0.42. The righthander is fanning 28.1% with 1.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 17.8% with no homers allowed. Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder in eight starts carries an ERA of 1.94 plus WHIP 1.12. The righty has a K rate of 20.7% with 7.4% walks. Grounders served at 56.8% with limited home run damage. Mariners bullpen an ERA of 2.95 this season. But offensively they bat just .221 against righthanders. Play Seattle and Atlanta under 8.5.

Colorado Rockies vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Rockies at Rangers—Karl Kauffman to start for Colorado. He makes his MLB debut on Friday and played at Michigan in college. The righthander has struggled the past two seasons in Triple A with an ERA of 6.05 in 2022 and 7.78 this season in eight starts. A total of 67 strikeouts in 111 Triple A innings the past two seasons. Walks were 57. Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez in eight starts posts an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.61. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 16.4% with 7.4% walks. Grounders served at 40.8% with 1.70 home runs per nine innings. Rockies do hit lefthanders and Rangers bullpen an ERA of 4.48. Rangers are pushing across 6.3 runs per game at home and Kauffman minor league form alarming. Play Colorado and Texas over 9.

Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Athletics at Astros—Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk in eight starts has an ERA of 7.02 with WHIP of 1.83. The lefty is striking out 18.3% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.3% with 2.63 home runs per nine innings. Brandon Bielak will start for Houston. Bielak in three appearances carries an ERA of 3.29 and WHIP of 1.83. The righthander is striking out 16.1% with 8.1% walks. Grounder served at 41.3% with 1.98 home runs per nine innings. In Oakland’s past ten losses each were by two runs or greater. Waldichuk’s poor form a concern as is a bullpen behind him with an ERA of 6.62. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -121.

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Royals at White Sox—Zack Greinke to start for Kansas City. Greinke in nine starts has an ERA of 5.01 with WHIP of 1.24. The veteran has a strike out mark of 16.5% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.8% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings. Michael Kopech to start for Chicago. Kopech has eight starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 5.74 and WHIP 1.56. The righty fans 21.4% with 14.6% walks. Grounders dished at 33.1% with 2.55 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Greinke 13-27 on the road. Greinke on the road an ERA of 7.71 in four starts. Kopech has pitched well past two starts at home. Play White Sox -126.

LA Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Dodgers at Cardinals—Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin has four starts in 2023 with an ERA of 1.42 and WHIP of 0.95. The righthander is striking out 21.1% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.09 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds. Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz in eight starts carries an ERA of 5.62 with WHIP of 1.61. The lefthander fans 20% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.3% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. Both teams hitting the ball well. Matz form poor and Gonsolin FIP also concerning. LAD 19-7 to the over against the NL Central. Play LA and St Louis over 8.5.

Minnesota Twins vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Twins at Angels—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in eight starts posts an ERA of 2.16 and WHIP 0.84. The righthander has a K rate of 29.7% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 40% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Reid Detmers to start for LAA. Detmers has seven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.89 plus WHIP of 1.51. The lefthander is striking out 26.3% with 9% walks. Grounders come in at 36.1% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. First home game for the Angels after a seven game road trip with no rest in between. Twins were able to hit Dodger pitching. Team record for LAA 27-55 against winning teams. Angels 7-21 when facing a good starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.90 or greater. Play Minnesota -125.

Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Red Sox at Padres—James Paxton to start for Boston. Sexton in his season debut allowed two earned runs with nine strikeouts in five innings at home to the Cardinals. The lefthander has 138 career starts compiling an ERA of 3.59 and WHIP of 1.71. He has been sidelined for two years with injuries. Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has eight starts posting an ERA of 4.61 and WHIP of 1.54. The lefty fans 23.5% with 13.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.4% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. Padres have lost eight of ten batting .200 in this period. Red Sox in this span hitting .308 against lefthanders. Boston 34-16 facing an NL team hitting .245 or worse. Team record behind Snell 1-7 also 1-13 in the first half of 2022 and 2023. Play Boston +124.

Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/19/2023

Marlins at Giants—Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara in eight starts has an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander is striking out 22.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.9% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Anthony Desclafani to start for San Francisco. DeSclafani in eight starts produces an ERA of 3.06 and WHIP of 0.96. The veteran a K rate of 17.9% with 2.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.7% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Giants a winning home mark. Alcantara an ERA of 6.50 on the road. Marlins 28th in MLB in runs scored. Play San Francisco -119.

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/19/2023

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