Free MLB Picks For Today 5/14/2023
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LA Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Angels at Guardians—Patrick Sandoval will start for LAA. Sandoval in seven starts has an ERA of 3.41 with WHIP 1.24. The lefthander is striking out 16.3% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.1% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.23 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds. Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has three starts on the campaign with an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP 1.43. The righty deals 23.8% strikeouts with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 25.6% with limited home run damage. Guardians 5-12 against lefthanded starters. Guardians weak offense makes them hard to take. Play LA Angels -105.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Rays at Yankees—Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin in six starts posts an ERA of 2.91 with WHIP 1.03. The veteran has a K rate of 25.9% with 3% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Clarke Schmidt to start for NYY. Schmidt has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA an ERA of 5.35 and WHIP 1.61. The righthander is striking out 26.2% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.9% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings. Both teams hitting and bullpens giving up runs. Play Tampa Bay and New York over 9.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Pirates at Orioles—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in eight starts produces an ERA of 2.72 with WHIP of 1.09. The righty has a strikeout mark of 27.6% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.4% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson has eight starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP 1.34. The veteran pitches to contact with 15.9% strikeouts and 6.7% walks. Grounders come in at 45.9% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Pirates offense continuing to struggle. Orioles bullpen has performed well. Play Baltimore -122.
Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Braves at Blue Jays—Collin McHugh to start for Atlanta. McHugh has nine appearances with an ERA of 3.38 plus WHIP 1.58. The righty pitches to contact with 13.8% strikeouts and 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.8% with no homers allowed. Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi has seven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP 1.19. The lefthander fans 21.6% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.7% with 1.91 home runs per nine innings. McHugh’s high contact a concern. Braves are pounding lefthanders. Play Atlanta and Toronto over 9.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Mariners at Tigers—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has seven starts posts an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP 0.99. The righthander has an elite strikeout rate of 31.4% with 5% walks. Ground balls come in at 45% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Joey Wentz to start for Detroit. Wentz has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 6.09 plus WHIP 1.35. The lefthander fans 18.8% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.5% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings. Tigers offense struggling. They sit 28th in runs scored. Play Seattle on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Reds at Marlins—Luke Weaver to start for Cincinnati. Weaver in four starts produces an ERA of 7.36 with WHIP 1.45. The righthander fans 21.9% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 3.27 home runs per nine innings. Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in seven appearances posts an ERA Of 5.97 with WHIP 1.64. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 19.3% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.3% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Reds bullpen outperformed the Marlins this season. Miami last in runs scored in the Majors. Play Cincinnati +141.
Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Cubs at Twins—Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman in eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.28 with WHIP of 1.06. The veteran has a career high 23.7% strikeouts with 9.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 57.3% with limited home run damage. Louie Varland to start for Minnesota. Varland has three starts on the season with an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP 1.38. The righty fans 28.2% with 7% walks. Grounders sit at 41.3% with 2.16 home runs per nine innings. Cubs hitting lineup, starter and bullpen get the check mark here. Play Chicago -105.
Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Royals at Brewers—Jordan Lyles to start for KC. Lyles in eight starts produces an ERA of 6.20 with WHIP 1.26. The veteran has a K rate of 17% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 28.9% with 2.37 home runs per nine innings. Collin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea has six appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.94 with WHIP 1.17. The righthander is striking out 19.8% with 9.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 50% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Brewers do a better job of scoring against and hitting righthanded starters. KC bullpen has struggled. Play Kansas City and Milwaukee over 9.5.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Astros at White Sox—Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown in seven starts produces an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP 1.31. The righthander is striking out 24.1% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.4% with minimal home run damage. Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.59 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander a strikeout mark of 25.1% with 5.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 33.1% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. White Sox lineup struggling to get runs on the board. Strikeout pitchers on the mound here. Play Houston and Chicago 7.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Phillies at Rockies—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in eight starts carries an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP 1.13. The veteran has seen his strikeouts plummet to 19.9% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.9% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Freeland is the starter for Colorado. Freeland in eight starts posts an ERA of 3.57 with WHIP 1.15. The lefthander has a K rate of 16.9% with 6.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 43% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.98 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds. Phillies bat have got hot. Both pitchers pitching to contact. Play Philadelphia and Colorado over 11.
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Rangers at Athletics—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney in seven starts has an ERA of 5.25 with WHIP 1.22. The lefthander is striking out 24.7% with 10.4% walks. Ground ball dealt at 38.5% with 2.00 home runs per nine innings. Drew Rucinski to start for Oakland. Rucinski in three starts produces an ERA of 8.16 with WHIP 2.09. The righthander pitches to high contact with 8.2% strikeouts and 12.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.6% with 1.88 home runs per nine innings. Rangers have won six of eight. Poor Rucinski form with extremely high contact and a bullpen with an ERA of 6.72 backing him. Rangers are hitting lefty’s. Athletics are 1-15 in day games this season. Play Texas -137.
San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Padres at Dodgers—Ryan Weathers to start for San Diego. Weathers in five appearances has an ERA of 2.50 with WHIP 1.11. The lefthander pitches to contact with 15.7% strikeouts and 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.5% with limited home run damage. Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin has three starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 1.93 and WHIP 1.07. The righthander is striking out 17.2% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls served at 42.9% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. He does have a FIP of 5.00 that suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Dodgers bullpen has performed better at home. Weathers high contact a massive concern. Padres hitting .174 against righthanders on the road. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Giants at Diamondbacks—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in eight starts posts an ERA of 3.46 and WHIP 1.15. The righthander has a K rate of 26.4% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls served at 59.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaddt was a fifth round pick in 2020 out of Bellarmine. He has pitched well the past two seasons in Triple A. In two starts this season the righty has allowed 13 earned runs with six homers in 9 2/3rd innings. Form difference between these two starters too great. Play San Francisco -141.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Mets at Nationals—Max Scherzer will start for the Mets following the conclusion of their suspended game. Scherzer in five starts posts an ERA of 5.56 with WHIP 1.41. The veteran has seen his strikeout mark plummet to 20.8% with walks at a career high of 10.4%. Ground balls at a career low 24.2% with 2.38 home runs per nine innings. Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin was a fourth round pick in 2018 out of Oklahoma. Poor numbers in Double A in 2022 and Triple A in 2023. He has two starts allowing one earned run with eight strikeouts but seven walks in 10 2/3rd innings. Mets offense has had their struggles along with Scherzer. Play Washington on run line +1.5 runs at +100.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/14/2023
Cardinals at Red Sox—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in eight starts carries an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP 1.66. The righthander fans 21% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls served at 35.5% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. Corey Kluber to start for Boston. Kluber has seven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 6.29 and WHIP 1.40. The veteran fans 18.2% with 7.8% walks. Grounders sit at 31.5% with 2.36 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals are hitting. Red Sox batting .292 at home putting up 6.2 runs per game. Starters in poor form. Play St Louis and Boston over 10.5.