Free MLB Picks For Today 5/13/2023
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Rays at Yankees—Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in eight starts has an ERA of 1.76 with WHIP 1.13. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 31.4% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.6% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Nestor Cortes to start for NYY. Cortes has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.74 plus WHIP 1.24. The lefty deals 24.2% strikeouts with 6.8% walks. Grounders come in at 20.4% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Rays are hitting .298 against lefthanders. Prefer McClanahan and the Rays hitters. Play Tampa Bay -128.
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Mariners at Tigers—Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller is a fourth round draft pick in 2021 out of Texas A&M. Ge spent 2022 in three levels of the minors with great numbers and strikeouts. He struggled in Triple A this season with an ERA of 6.41 and WHIP 1.35 in four starts. He has two starts on the campaign allowing one earned run with fifteen strikeouts in 12 innings. Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo had twelve starts last season with an ERA of 5.53 and WHIP 1.64. He has five starts in Triple A this season posting an ERA of 2.50 and WHIP 0.89 striking out 18 in eighteen innings. In his 2023 debut he allowed two earned runs with one strikeout in 4 2/3rd innings at St Louis. Mariners batting only .221 but getting great work from their bullpen. Tigers putting up only 3.5 runs per game against righthanders. Play Seattle and Detroit under 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Reds at Marlins—Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has seven starts on the campaign with an ERA of 6.29 and WHIP 1.75. The lefthander fans 27% with 28.3% strikeouts. Ground balls dished at 46% with 2.62 home runs per nine innings. Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara in seven starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.53 and WHIP 1.21. The righthander is striking out 22% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 46% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. Marlins are averaging only 2.9 runs per game at home. Lodolo numbers good on the road and Reds bullpen outperforming Miami. Play Cincinnati +154.
Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Cubs at Twins—Hayden Wesneski to start for Chicago. Wesneski in seven starts posts an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP 1.28. The righthander fans just 15.9% with 5.5% walks. Grounders come in at 39.4% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.93 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Joe Ryan will start for Minnesota. Ryan has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.45 plus WHIP of 0.84. The righty has a K rate of 27.8% with 3.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.8% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. Twins hitting only .218. Cubs are hitting .283, bullpen ERA of 2.45 with 5.1 runs per game all on the road. Play Chicago +148.
Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Braves at Blue Jays—Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder in seven starts carries an ERA of 1.74 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander fans 21.6% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.3% with limited home run damage. Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.91 and WHIP 1.24. The veteran is striking out 24.6% with 4.8% walks. Grounders served at 49.6% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.23 does suggest a dropping ERA if form holds. Berrios have pitched well at home. Both bullpens are in outstanding form. Play Atlanta and Toronto under 9.5.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Mets at Nationals—Joey Lucchesi to start for NYM. Lucchesi in four starts produces an ERA of 4.43 plus WHIP 1.23. The lefthander fans 20.5% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.7% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has seven starts in the season with an ERA of 4.25 and WHIP 1.33. The righthander is striking out 16.8% with 5.8% walks. Grounders sit at 37.9% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. Nationals are pounding lefthanders. The team record behind Lucchesi 1-9 when favored on the road by -110 or higher. Mets have been struggling for runs as this series started. Past ten games New York hitting .207 against righthanders. Play Washington +125.
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray in seven starts carries an ERA of 3.82 with WHIP 1.25. The veteran has a K rate of 17.3% with 9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.8% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.64 and indicator of a rising ERA based on his numbers. JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears has seven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 5.54 with WHIP 1.18. The lefthander is fanning 24.7% with 5.2% walks. Grounders served at 27.6% with 2.41 home runs per nine innings. Rangers pounding lefthanders averaging 7.4 runs per game. Texas bullpen ERA 3.74 and Athletics at 6.79 which is over 3 run discrepancy. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Cardinals at Red Sox—Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz in seven starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 5.70 with WHIP 1.60. The lefthander a K rate of 20.4% with 9.3% walks. Grounders served at 47.4% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale to start for Boston. Sale in seven starts has an ERA of 6.37 plus WHIP of 1.44. The veteran is striking out 28.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate is 41.2% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.95 an indicator of his ERA dropping based on his form. As this series opened the Cardinals were 4-14 against winning teams. Red Sox 10-4 against lefthanders on the season. Sale K rate encouraging. Play Boston -115.
LA Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Angels at Guardians—Reid Detmers to start for LAA. Detmers has six starts on the campaign with an ERA of 5.10 and WHIP 1.50. The lefthander is striking out 27.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.4% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill in seven starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.89 plus WHIP 1.32. The righthander pitches to high contact with 12.4% K’s and 7.1% walks. Grounders sit at 42.2% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Angels bullpen has performed well on the road. At home Guardians averaging just 2.5 runs per game and hitting .199 against lefthanders. Quantrill high contact a concern as well. Detmers strikeout rate adds added confidence. Play LA Angels -105.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Pirates at Orioles—Roansy Contreras to start for Pittsburgh. Contreras in seven starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP 1.55. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.7% with 11.4% walks. Grounders come in at 39.5% with limited home run damage. Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells in seven appearances carries an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 0.77. The righthander is striking out 20.7% with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.1% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.95 is an indication of a rise ERA based on his performance. Past ten games Pirates hitting only .174 against righthanders after their closed their series with the Rockies. Team record is 1-15 when the Pirates face an AL pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or greater. As this series opened the Orioles were 33-12 when favored by -110 or higher. Play Baltimore -150.
Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Royals at Brewers—Zack Greinke to start for Kansas City. Greinke in eight starts carries an ERA of 5.18 with WHIP 1.32. The veteran pitches to contact with a 15.3% strikeout rate with 4% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.3% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. Adrian Houser will start for Milwaukee. Houser had 22 appearances in 2022 with an ERA of 4.73 and WHIP 1.46. The righthander in his 2023 debut allowed two earned runs with five strikeouts in 4 2/3rd innings of work at San Francisco. His season was delayed by a groin injury. Greinke on the road allowed 14 earned runs in 13 2/3rd innings and six homers. Brewers bullpen has performed well at home. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Padres at Dodgers—Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove in three starts on the season posts an ERA of 6.75 and WHIP 1.43. The veteran is striking out 23.3% with 6.7% walks. Grounders dished at 41.5% with 2.70 home runs per nine innings. Julio Urias will start for LAD. Urias in eight starts has an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP 1.17. The lefthander has a K rate of 25.9% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.4% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Urias 40-11 when facing a team batting .250 or worse. San Diego bats .202 on the road. Dodgers have been hitting and scoring runs. Play LA -142.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Astros at White Sox—Brandon Bielak to start for Houston. Bielak in has two appearances in 2023 allowing four earned runs with five walks and 12 hits in 8 2/3rd innings. He was drafted in 2017 and has 47 lifetime appearances with an ERA of 5.07 and WHIP 1.52 striking out 90 in 103 innings. In five Triple A appearances the righthander has an ERA of 4.12 and WHIP 1.15 with 19 strikeouts in 19 2/3rd innings. Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease in eight starts posts an ERA of 5.58 with WHIP 1.51. The righthander fans 25.9% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.2% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Cease form and White Sox bullpen ERA of 7.63 at home the concern here. White Sox 2-6 against lefthanders this season. Play Houston +115.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Giants at Diamondbacks—Anthony DeSclafani to start for San Francisco. DeSclafani in seven starts has an ERA of 2.80 with WHIP 0.93. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 18.8% with 2.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.8% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.36 plus WHIP 0.85. The righty an elite strikeout mark of 33.9% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.2% with minimal home run damage. DeSclafani on the road allowed two earned runs in 20 2/3rd innings. Gallen at home allowed one earned run in 27 1/3rd innings. Play San Francisco and Arizona under 8.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2023
Phillies at Rockies—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in 29 starts in 2022 posted an ERA of 3.65 with WHIP 1.33. The lefthander fanned 19.5% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sat at 55.4% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. He returns from an elbow strain that kept him sidelined for six weeks. He pitched 9 innings in minor league rehab allowing one earned run with five strikeouts. Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner in seven starts posts an ERA of 5.08 with WHIP 1.60. The righty has a K rate of 21.7% with 13.8% walks. Grounders dealt at 43.3% with limited home run damage. Coming off an elbow injury would expect Suarez to be limited here. This exposes a bad Phillies bullpen with an ERA of 7.61 on the road. Play Colorado +143.