New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds 5/11/2023 Picks Predictions

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds 5/11/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The Cincinnati Reds are hosting the New York Mets at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati on Thursday, May 11, 2023, at 12:35 ET in Game 3 of this series.

Both teams split their previous two games and are now tied 1-1 wins in this series.

The Reds have a 15-21 record so far this season and are 21-15 on the runline and 19-17 in over/under. They are sitting on the second to last place of the Central Division.

Spencer Steer leads the team in home runs this season with 4, while TJ Friedl leads the team in batting average with .314.

The Reds rank among the bottom half of the league both offensively with 4.35 runs and defensively, allowing 5.38 runs per game. They have a .243 hitting percentage and their bullpen has a 3.69 ERA.

On the mound for the Reds today will be Derek Law who has a 2-4 record, 3.00 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. He has been struggling lately as he has a 7.88 ERA in his last 3 games.

Reds Betting Trends:

Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Under is 7-1 in their last 8 Thursday games.
Over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 6-1 in their last 7 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Under is 5-1 in Lodolo’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

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New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions 5/11/2023

The Mets have a 18-19 record so far this season and are 15-22 on the runline and 16-19-2 in over/under. They are sitting on the third place of the East Division, tied with the Philadelphia Phillies.

Pete Alonso leads the team in home runs this season with 13, while Brandon Nimno leads the team in batting average with .311.

The Mets average 4.46 runs offensively while allowing 4.74 runs per game defensively. They have a .237 hitting percentage and their bullpen has a 3.97 ERA.

On the mound for the Mets today will be Kodai Senga who has a 4-1 record, 3.38 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.

He is coming off a perfect game where he allowed no runs in 6 innings pitched on May 5th in a 1-0 Mets win against the Colorado Rockies.

Mets Betting Trends:

Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Over is 8-1 in their last 9 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

In their previous meeting yesterday, the Mets won on the road with a 2-1 score.

Justin Verlander allowed just one run and two hits over seven dominant innings for the visiting New York Mets and their scorers were Pete Alonso and Luis Guillorme with one run each.

Jonathan India score the only run for the Reds in the bottom of the first inning.

Head-to-Head Trends:

Mets are 39-16 in the last 55 meetings.
Mets are 20-9 in the last 29 meetings in Cincinnati.

Prediction:

This looks like a bullpen game for the Reds, so I’m going to take the Mets runline on the F5 innings and take advantage of the pitching mismatch.

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