Free MLB Picks For Today 5/12/2023
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Reds at Marlins—Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in seven starts carries an ERA of 3.82 with WHIP 1.33. The righthander fans 18.6% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.4% with limited home run damage.
Eury Perez to start for Miami. Perez will make his MLB debut on Friday. The righthander was a 2019 draft pick who did not attend college. The 20 year old spent 2022 in Single and Double A with good strikeout numbers. In six Double A starts he posted an ERA of 2.32 with WHIP 0.81 striking out 42 in 31 innings.
Marlins averaging just 2.9 runs per game at home and Reds 3.4 on the road. Cincinnati bullpen has performed well. Play Cincinnati and Miami under 8.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Mariners at Tigers—Marco Gonzales to start for Seattle. Gonzales has six starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.70 with WHIP 1.47. The lefthander has a K rate of 17.6% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.6% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
Matthew Boyd to start for Detroit. Boyd has six starts with an ERA 5.28 and WHIP 1.34. The lefty is dealing 20.9% strikeouts with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.6% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. Mariners hitting only .193 against lefthanders. Gonzales high contact a concern as well. Tigers have won seven of nine. Play Detroit +110.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Mets at Nationals—Tylor Megill to start for NYM. Megill in seven starts produces an ERA 4.33 with WHIP 1.50. The righthander fans 17.3% with 11.5% walks. Grounders sit at 40.2% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.40 suggests a rise in ERA based on his form.
MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has seven starts in 2023 posting an ERA 3.65 plus WHIP 1.43. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 30.4% with 12% walks. Ground ball rate of 50.6% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Megill high contact and Gore’s K rate a key. So is the Mets slump dropping seven of nine and hitting only .219 past ten games. Play Washington +120.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Pirates at Orioles—Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo has seven starts this season posting an ERA 5.59 plus WHIP 1.62. The righthander has a K rate of 19% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls served at 52% with limited home run damage.
Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in four starts in 2023 produces an ERA 5.95 with WHIP 1.73. The righty has a strikeout mark of 19.4% with 9.7% walks. Grounders sit at 51.6% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
Pirates have lost nine of ten batting only .179 and averaging 1.52 runs per games. Orioles bullpen has been outstanding. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at +135.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Rays at Yankees—Josh Fleming to start for Tampa Bay. Fleming has seven appearances on the campaign with an ERA of 4.55 plus WHIP 1.48. The lefty pitches to high contact with 12.5% strikeouts and 10.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 60.4% with limited home run damage.
Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole in eight starts in 2023 posts an ERA 2.09 with WHIP 1.01. The veteran fans 28.6% with 7.9% walks. Grounders served at 45.2% with minimal home run damage.
Cole’s home form outstanding allowing three earned runs in 33 innings. He is also backed by a good bullpen. Ray’s offense slowed in Baltimore. Play New York.
Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Braves at Blue Jays—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider in seven starts carries an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP 0.93. The righthander a K rate of 42.4% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32% with limited home run damage.
Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has seven starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.28 with WHIP 1.23. The righthander is striking out 19.6% with 11.9% walks. Grounders sit at 40% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP of 5.33 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds. Blue Jays sit 9-3 at home with a bullpen ERA of 1.98 in their home ballpark. Play Toronto on the run line +1.5 runs at -120.
LA Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Angels at Guardians—Tyler Anderson to start for LAA. Anderson in six starts produces an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP 1.64. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 16.3% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.3% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen has three starts on the campaign with an ERA of 2.70 and WHIP 1.26. The lefty deals 26.8% K’s with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.3% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians averaging 2.5 runs per game and batting .199 against lefthanders at home. Angels are hitting lefthanders and getting good work from their bullpen. Play LA Angels +118.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/12/2023
St Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Cardinals at Red Sox—Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright had 32 starts in 2022 with an ERA of 3.71 and WHIP 1.28. In his season opener the veteran allowed four earned runs with five strikeouts in five innings. He was pounded in his three rehab starts in the minors.
The righthander had his season delayed with a groin injury. James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton returns from a groin injury. He has a career 137 starts in MLB with an ERA of 3.59 and WHIP 1.21. He was pounded in Spring Training.
In six Triple A appearances this season the veteran has an ERA of 6.23 and WHIP 1.60 with 16 walks in 21 2/3rd innings. Red Sox 17-6 to the over against righthanders. Cardinals hit well against lefthanders and averaging 5.20 runs per game against them. Play St Louis and Boston over ten.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Astros at White Sox—J.P. France to start for Houston. France was a 14th round draft pick in 2018. In his MLB debut the righthander allowed no runs with five strikeouts in five innings at Seattle.
France spent the past two seasons in Triple A with good numbers. He has five appearances in Triple A this year posting an ERA of 2.33 with WHIP of 1.05 striking out 26 in 19 1/3rd innings. Michael Kopech to start for Chicago.
Kopech has seven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 5.97 with WHIP 1.57. The righty a fan rate of 21.2% with 12.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.3% with 2.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 7.53 suggests even a worse ERA if form holds. Kopech walk and home run rate alarming as is the White Sox bullpen. Play Houston -150.
Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Cubs at Twins—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly in seven starts posts an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP 0.99. The lefthander has a strikeout rate of 22.4% with 5.9% walks. Grounders sit at 35.8% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 1.35 and WHIP 1.10. The veteran is fanning 29% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 48% with no homers allowed. Twins hitting only .202 against lefthanders. Team record behind Smyly 20-11 on the road. Play Chicago +134.
Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Royals at Brewers—Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch makes his 2023 debut after two minor league rehab starts after a shoulder injury. He had 27 starts last year with an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP 1.57. The lefthander struck out 20.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls were 41.5% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has seven starts with an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP 1.13. The veteran has seen his strikeout rate drop to 19.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.2% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Burnes 1-9 to the run line at home against losing teams. Brewers have lost eight of ten. Play KC on the run line +1.5 runs at -120.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Phillies at Rockies—Taijan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in seven starts in 2023 has an ERA of 5.97 with WHIP 1.41. The righthander a K rate of 23.6% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.1% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings.
Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has seven starts with an ERA of 6.75 plus WHIP 1.59. The lefty pitches to contact with 14.7% strikeouts and 10.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.4% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Rockies showing much improvement during May.
Walker walks and HR rate a concern as is the Phillies bullpen ERA of 7.61 on the road. Phillies average just 2.5 runs per game against lefthanded starters. Play Colorado +139.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Giants at Diamondbacks—Alex Wood will get the bulk of the innings for San Francisco. Wood in three starts carries an ERA of 1.80 with WHIP 1.40. The lefthander fans 23.4% with 12.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.3% with no homers allowed. The veteran returns from a hamstring injury.
Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in has seven starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 6.00 with WHIP 1.53. The righthander pitches to contact with 13.9% strikeouts and 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.7% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Nelson high contact the issue here. Play San Francisco -125.
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Rangers at Athletics—Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez in seven starts carries an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP 1.55. The lefthander fans 17.1% with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.3% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland.
Waldichuk has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 7.25 plus WHIP 1.75. The lefthander a K rate of 18.1% with 10.5% walks. Grounders sit at 33.1% with 3.00 home runs per nine innings. Starter and bullpen form massive concern for Oakland. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/12/2023
Padres at Dodgers—Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell in seven starts has an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP 1.57. The lefthander is striking out 24.8% with 13.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 33% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
Dustin May will start for LAD. May has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.68 and WHIP 0.94. The righthander fans 18.4% with 9.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.8% with minimal home run damage.
Padres offense struggling as in past ten games batting .209 against righthanders. Dodgers offense coming alive as in this period are averaging 7 runs and 1.7 home runs per game. Play LA Dodgers -143.
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