Free MLB Picks For Today 5/10/2023
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Rockies at Pirates—Antonio Senzatela to start for Colorado. Senzatela in 2022 carried an ERA of 5.07 with WHIP 1.68. The righthander in his 2023 season debut allowed one earned run with three strikeouts in five innings at the Mets. His season was delayed with an ACL tear in August of last year.
Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA 4.54 plus WHIP 1.46. The veteran is striking out 19.5% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.2% with 1.91 home runs per nine innings.
Tough to lay a big price on Hill with an offense that averages 3.9 runs per game at home. Senzatela opening start encouraging. Pirates have lost eight of nine struggling for runs. Play Colorado +130.
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Athletics at Yankees—Kyle Muller to start for Oakland. Muller has seven starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 6.62 plus WHIP 1.94. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 12.8% strikeouts and 11% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.5% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
Jhony Brito to start for NYY. Brito in seven starts produces an ERA 6.08 with WHIP 1.46. The righthander fans 16.2% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.2% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Muller and Athletics bullpen hard to back. Yankees pounding Athletics pitching. Play NYY on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Tigers at Guardians—Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez in seven starts carries an ERA 1.81 with WHIP 0.78. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 23.9% with 4.9% walks. Grounders served at 41.2% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Peyton Battenfield to start for Cleveland. Battenfield appeared in five games in 2023 with an ERA 4.07 plus WHIP 1.19. The righthander is striking out 21.2% with 11.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.3% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.11 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds.
Guardians trending under with an offense averaging 2.32 runs per game at home against lefthanders. Tigers do sit 28th in runs scored on the season and 26th in home runs. Play Detroit and Cleveland under 7.5.
LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Dodgers at Brewers—Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw has seven starts in 2023 posting an ERA 2.53 plus WHIP 0.98. The veteran has a K rate of 28.4% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.4% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.69 signaling a rise in ERA if form holds.
Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley has six stats on the campaign with an ERA 2.31 plus WHIP 1.06. The lefthander pitches to contact with 15% strikeouts and 4.3% walks.
Grounders sit at 40.9% with limited home run damage. Miley has performed well at home. Both lineups are struggling hitting lefthanders. In a bullpen game late will go with better pen. Play Milwaukee +147.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Rangers at Mariners—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in nine appearances carries an ERA 1.42 with WHIP 0.79. The righthander pitches to contact with 14.4% strikeouts and 6.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 52% with no homers allowed.
Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in seven starts has an ERA 2.38 with WHIP 0.91. The veteran fans 26.7% with 5.6% walks. Grounders sit at 44.4% with limited home run damage.
Dunning career struggles on the road landed him in the bullpen. But in a spot start at the Angels he held them scoreless in five innings. Mariners are batting only .222 at home. Play Texas on the run line +1.5 runs at +128.
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Marlins at Diamondbacks—Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera in seven starts has an ERA 4.78 with WHIP 1.66. The righthander a career high 29.7% strikeouts with 17.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.2% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly has seven starts in 2023 has an ERA 2.75 plus WHIP 1.19. The righty fans 25.5% with 12.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.4% with limited home run damage. Walk numbers concerning for Cabrera and his offense generates only 3.3 runs per game on the road.
Marlins bullpen an ERA of 5.02 on the road. Diamondbacks hit righthanders and put up 5.6 runs per game on them. Play Arizona -141.
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Nationals at Giants—Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in seven starts produces an ERA 3.03 plus WHIP 1.34. The righthander has a K rate of 22.4% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.5% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.43 suggests a rise in ERA based on his advanced numbers.
Sean Manaea to start for San Francisco. Manea appeared in seven games in 2023 with an ERA 7.33 plus WHIP 1.63. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 25% with 12% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.8% with 2.31 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals pound lefthanders. Team record behind Manaea 8-13 against losing teams. SF averaging only 3.7 runs per game at home plus Nats bullpen outperforming the Giants. Play Washington +132.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/10/2023
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Blue Jays at Phillies—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has seven starts with an ERA 3.86 plus WHIP 1.19. The veteran a career high 33.1% strikeouts with 4% walks. Ground balls sit at 44% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in seven starts carries an ERA 4.26 with WHIP 1.24. The righthander is striking out 27.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.8% with minimal home run damage.
Both starters roughed up last outing against the Red Sox. Blue Jays bullpen an ERA near five on the road and Phillies at 5.19 overall. Play Toronto and Philadelphia over 8.5.
Houston Astros vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Astros at Angels—Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in seven starts produces an ERA 3.54 with WHIP 1.06. The righthander a K rate of 26.1% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.3% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Griffin Canning to start for LAA. Canning has four starts posting an ERA 5.31 with WHIP 1.33. The righty deals 20.9% strikeouts with 9.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.6% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Astros just 9-13 as a favorite of -110 or higher. Prefer the Angels bats now. Play LAA +105.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Rays at Orioles—Yonny Chironos to start for Tampa Bay. Chironos in five appearances in 2023 has an ERA of 1.86 with WHIP 0.78. The righthander pitches to high contact with 11.1% strikeouts with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.1% with no homers allowed.
Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has five starts posts an ERA 5.80 plus WHIP 1.54. The righty fans 17.9% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.4% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. Kremer’s form tough to back as Ray’s can grab a lead and keep it with their solid bullpen. Play Tampa Bay -119.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Mets at Reds—Justin Verlander to start for NYM. Verlander had 28 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 1.75 and WHIP 0.83 with Houston. The veteran missed five weeks with a strained shoulder. In his opening start the righthander allowed two homers and five strikeouts in five innings.
Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene in seven starts produces an ERA 3.74 plus WHIP 1.43. The righty fans 31.3% with 8% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.2% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Reds bullpen at home an ERA of 3.07 and Greene’s form encouraging. NYM have lost eight of ten. Play Cincinnati +143.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Red Sox at Braves—Bryan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in four starts on the season produces an ERA 5.71 plus WHIP 1.73. The righthander fans 23.2% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 56.4% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings.
Jared Shuster to start for ATL. Shuster spent 2022 in Double and Triple A with good results. He has two starts in 2023 allowing eight earned runs with five walks in 8 2/3rd innings.
Red Sox 16-5 to the over against winning teams this season. Red Sox averaging 5.6 runs per game against lefthanders and Bello’s form a concern. Play Boston and Atlanta over 10.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Cardinals at Cubs—Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery has seven starts with an ERA 3.29 plus WHIP 1.22. The lefthander has a K rate of 21.7% with 5.1% walks. Grounders sit at 47.6% with limited home run damage.
Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in seven starts produces an ERA 1.45 with WHIP 0.95. The lefty is striking out 21.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.2% with limited home run damage. Cubs are hitting lefthanded starters at .299 and pushing across 5.8 runs per game. Steele’s form is outstanding. Play Chicago Cubs -105.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
White Sox at Royals—Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn has seven starts on the campaign with an ERA 6.86 and WHIP 1.53. The veteran is striking out 28.6% with 8.6% walks. Grounders come in at 38.9% with 2.06 home runs per nine innings.
Brad Keller to start for KC. Keller in six starts posts an ERA 4.67 with WHIP 1.82. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.8% K’s and 17.7% walks. Grounders sit at 55.3% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Lots of runs scored in this series with bad bullpens. White Sox 9-1 to the over when favored by -100 to -150 on the year. Play Chicago and KC over 9.
San Diego Padres vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/10/2023
Padres at Twins—Seth Lugo is the starter for SD. Lugo in six starts has an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP 1.34. The righthander fans 21.7% with 5.6% walks. Grounders sit at 49% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez has seven starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP 1.09. The righty is dealing an elite 30.7% strikeouts and 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.6% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Padres trending under behind solid pitching. Twins past ten games batting .191. Bullpens in this period are in outstanding form. Play San Diego and Minnesota under 8.5.
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