Free MLB Picks For Today 5/7/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/7/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/7/2023

Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Orioles at Braves—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells in six appearances has an ERA 3.34 with WHIP 0.77. The righthander is striking out 20.8% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls served at 35.4% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.01 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds.

 

Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder in six starts in 2023 carries an ERA 1.75 with WHIP 1.06. The righty fans 22.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 57.6% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.

 

Orioles putting up six runs a game on the road and their bullpen outperforming the Braves. Play Baltimore on run line +1.5 runs at -135.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Blue Jays vs. Pirates—Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in six starts this season carries an ERA 4.02 with WHIP 1.24. The lefthander deals 23.4% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.6% with 2.30 home runs per nine innings.

 

Roansy Contreras to start for Pittsburgh. Contreras has six starts in 2023 posting an ERA 4.09 with WHIP 1.42. The righthander is striking out 19.3% with 11.4% walks. Grounders sit at 37.9% with minimal home run damage. Blue Jays offense too much here. Play Toronto -127.

Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Red Sox at Phillies—Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck in six starts on the season has an ERA 5.34 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander fans 21% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.5% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.

 

Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker has six starts in 2023 with an ERA 6.91 with WHIP 1.60. The veteran a K rate of 22.5% with 13.2% walks. Ground ball rate 54.2% with 2.20 home runs per nine innings.

 

Team record behind Walker 3-16 facing teams that outscore opponents by a ½ run or greater on the season. Red Sox 12-2 against the NL East. Play Boston +110.

Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Rockies at Mets—Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner in six starts produces an ERA 4.45 with WHIP 1.45. The righty has a strikeout rate of 22.7% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.8% with limited home run damage.

 

Joey Lucchesi to start for NYM. Lucchesi in three starts in 2023 carries an ERA 3.86 with WHIP 1.10. The lefty is fanning 20.3% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.4% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.88 suggests a rising ERA if form holds. Mets offense a massive concern. Play Colorado on run line +1.5 runs at -120.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Twins at Guardians—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan has six starts with an ERA 2.37 and WHIP 0.76. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 30.1% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.

 

Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill in six starts in 2023 has an ERA 4.73 with WHIP 1.48. The righty has seen his strikeouts plummet to 11.7% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Quantrill’s high contact and Guardians averaging just 2.7 runs at home the issue. Play Minnesota -126.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Yankees at Rays—Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole in seven starts has an ERA of 1.35 with WHIP 0.90. The veteran is striking out 29.4% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.5% with no homers allowed. Josh Fleming expected to be primary pitcher for Tampa Bay.

 

Fleming appeared in six games in 2023 with an ERA 6.13 with WHIP 1.32. The lefthander pitches to contact with 14.9% strikeouts and 9.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 61.4% with no homers allowed. Fleming’s contact the concern. Play NY Yankees -118.

Oakland Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Athletics at Royals—Mason Miller to start for Oakland. Miller in three starts produces an ERA 3.52 with WHIP 0.98. The righthander a K rate of 28.3% with 10% walks. Ground balls dealt at 22.2% with no homers allowed. Ryan Yarbrough to start for KC.

 

Yarbrough in nine appearances carries an ERA 7.40 with WHIP 1.50. The lefthander pitches to contact with 12.9% strikeouts and 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.8% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Both bullpen’s in poor form. Athletics do hit lefthanders and Miller in the better form. Play Oakland -108.

 

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Detroit Tigers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Tigers at Cardinals—Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo in his rookie campaign had 12 starts in 2022 with an ERA 5.53 with WHIP 1.64. The righthander has five Triple A starts this season with an ERA of 2.50 and WHIP 0.89. He has 19 strikeouts in 18 innings.

 

Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz in six starts posts an ERA 6.39 with WHIP 1.71. The lefthander fans 22% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.4% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals 7-20 against righthanded starters. St Louis 0-6 in Matz’ six starts. Play Detroit on run line +1.5 runs at -123.

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Marlins at Cubs—Sandy Alcantara to start for Miam. Alcantara in six starts has an ERA 5.09 with WHIP 1.25. The righty is striking out 20.7% with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.2% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Hayden Wesneski to start for Chicago.

 

Wesneski in six starts produces an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander pitches to contact with a 13.8% strikeout rate and 6.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.8% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.

 

Marlins offense struggling averaging 3.3 runs per game on the road and their bullpen ERA 5.75 on the road. Play Cubs +111.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Brewers at Giants—Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser in 22 appearances in 2022 had an ERA 4.73 with WHIP 1.46. The righthander pitched to contact with 15.2% strikeouts and 10.3% walks.

 

Ground balls sat at 46.7% with 0.70 home run damage. He missed the start of the season with a groin injury and compiled an ERA of 3.07 in four minor league starts logging 14 2/3rd innings with twelve strikeouts. Ross Stripling to start for SF.

 

Stripling in six starts produces an ERA of 6.10 with WHIP 1.45. The righthander fans 20.7% with 5.4% walks. Grounders served at 41.8% with 2.61 home runs per nine innings. Brewers do a better job hitting righthanders and have better bullpen. Stripling form is a concern. Play Milwaukee +125.

Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Rangers at Angels—Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez in six starts has an ERA 2.41 with WHIP 1.40. The lefthander is striking out 10.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.1% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.15 indicates a rising ERA based on his numbers.

 

Jose Suarez to start for LAA. Suarez in five starts in 2023 has an ERA of 7.89 with WHIP 1.98. The lefty fans 17.1% with 11.4% walks. Grounders sit at 32.4% with 2.91 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Perez 14-6 on the road. Suarez has been pounded at home. Rangers averaging six rounds per game against lefty starters. Play Texas +102.

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Nationals at Diamondbacks—Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has six starts in 2023 posting an ERA 3.41 plus WHIP 1.23. The righthander has a career low 15.7% strikeout mark with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.8% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.42 signaling a possible rise in ERA if form holds.

 

Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in six starts has an ERA 6.39 with WHIP 1.52. The righty pitches to high contact with 13.9% strikeouts and 6.6% walks. His ground balls come in at 43.9% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Nelson form and high contact the concern here to lay such a high price. Play Washington +152.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Astros at Mariners—Brandon Bielak to start for Houston. Bielak had five appearances in 2022 with an ERA 3.65 with WHIP 1.25. He has one appearance in relief this season allowing two earned runs with six strikeouts but three walks in four innings. A career ERA of 5.13 with WHIP 1.47 in 49 2/3rd MLB innings.

 

Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller in his MLB debut allowed one earned run with ten strikeouts in six innings at Oakland.

 

A fourth round pick in 2021 with a fast track to the Majors with good work in the minor leagues. He did struggle in four Double A starts posting an ERA 6.41 and WHIP 1.35 in 19 2/3rd innings striking out eighteen. Bullpens and hitting close with these teams. Put the checkmark on the Mariners at starter. Play Seattle -116.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

White Sox at Reds—Michael Kopech to start for Chicago. Kopech in six starts carries an ERA 5.97 with WHIP 1.58. The righthander fans 23.9% with 14.8% walks. Ground ball rate 38.1% with 2.27 home runs per nine innings. Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati.

 

Ashcraft in six starts this season posts an ERA 2.00 with WHIP 1.17. The righty a K rate of 18.2% with 10.8% walks. Ground ball rate 54.4% with minimal home run damage. Kopech walks and home run rate a concern as is the White Sox bullpen. Play Cincinnati -120.

LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2023

Dodgers at Padres—Julio Urias to start for LAD. Urias has seven starts on the campaign with an ERA 3.86 plus WHIP 1.11. The lefthander a career high 28.1% strikeouts with 5% walks. Ground ball rate 39.2% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. J

 

oe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove in two starts in 2023 allowed ten earned runs with four homers in 8 1/3rd innings. He was pounded in his Mexico City start against the Giants for seven earned runs in 3 1/3rd innings. He was sidelined to start the season with a toe and shoulder injury.

 

Team record behind Musgrove 15-2 against an NL team hitting .245 or worse. Padres hit lefthanders and is getting better work from their pen. Urias home run rate a concern. Play San Diego -102.

 

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