Free MLB Picks For Today 4/3/2023
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New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Mets at Brewers—Carlos Carrasco to start for NYM. Carrasco started 29 games in 2022 with an ERA 3.97 plus WHIP 1.33. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.6% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta worked 18 games last season producing an ERA 3.58 plus WHIP 1.04. The veteran saw his strikeouts plummet to 27.1% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. NYM win three of four at Miami after their 5-1 win. Brewers take two of three in Chicago after their 9-5 victory. Mets struggling at the plate hitting righthanders. Excellent bullpen performances from both sides. Play New York and Milwaukee under eight.
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Giants at White Sox—Anthony DeSclafani to start for San Francisco. DeSclafani in five starts last season produced an ERA 6.63 with WHIP 2.00. The righty struck out 18.1% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls 43.7% with 1.89 home runs per nine innings. DeSclafani underwent ankle surgery midway though last season. Michael Kopech to start for Chicago. Kopech had 25 starts in 2022 with an ERA 3.54 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander had a strikeout mark of 21.3% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Giants lost two of three at the Yankees after their 6-0 defeat. White Sox split their four games in Houston with their 6-3 victory. San Francisco struggled at the plate in their series in New York. White Sox the better hitting lineup though both bullpens struggled out of the gate. Play Chicago -130.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Cubs at Reds—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly in 22 starts a season ago had an ERA 3.47 plus WHIP 1.19. The lefty struck out 20.4% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sat at 40% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Connor Overton to start for Cincinnati. Overton appeared in six games in 2022 with an ERA 2.73 plus WHIP 0.97. The righty pitched to high contact with 11.3% strikeouts with 8.9% walks. Ground ball rate 41.4% with minimal home run damage. Cubs drop two of three at home to Milwaukee. Reds take two of three at home to the Pirates. Smyly allowed four earned runs in his past three starts against the Reds all last year working 13 2/3rd innings. Team record behind Smyly 13-2 when lined between -100 and -150. Reds struggled hitting the Pirates lefthanders. Play Cubs -119.
Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Twins at Marlins—Tyler Mahle will start for Minnesota. Mahle starts in 23 games last season posted an ERA 4.40 plus WHIP 1.22. The righty posted a strikeout rate of 25% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.6% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Johnny Cueto to start for Miami. Cueto in 25 appearances for the White Sox in 2022 had an ERA 3.35 with WHIP 1.23. The veteran pitched to high contact with 15.7% strikeouts with 5.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.6% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Twins sweep a three game series at Kansas City to begin the year. Marlins lost three of four at home to the Mets. Twins bullpen and hitting lineup started well. Miami struggled hitting the Mets righthanders. Team record behind Mahle 18-9 on the road. Play Minnesota -120.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Rays at Nationals—Drew Rasmussen to start for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen in 28 starts in 2022 had an ERA 2.84 plus WHIP 1.04. The lefty struck out 21.4% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls 46.6% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams in 30 appearances with the Mets last year had an ERA 3.21 plus WHIP 1.23. The righthander posted a strikeout mark of 22.6% with 6.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.2% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Rays sweep the Tigers at home in their three game series. Nationals salvaged the finale of their three games series home to Atlanta. Rays hitting the cover off the baseball and getting great work from their bullpen to start the season. Team record behind Rasmussen 14-4 in road night games. Nationals 10-36 as a home underdog of +125 to +175. Play Tampa Bay on Run Line -1.5 runs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Phillies at Yankees—Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in 29 starts in 2022 had an ERA 3.49 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran struck out 20.3% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Nestor Cortes to start for NYY. Cortes in 2022 posted an ERA 2.44 with WHIP 0.92. The lefthander fanned 26.5% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls 33.5% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Philadelphia is swept in a three game series at Texas to start the season. Yankees take two of three at home to San Francisco. Phillies bullpen massive concern facing this lineup. Play New York Yankees run line -1.5 runs at +125.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Pirates at Red Sox—Johan Oviedo will start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo worked 21 games in 2022 with an ERA 3.21 with WHIP 1.29. The righthander struck out 22.3% with 9.5% walks. His ground balls were 49.4% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Kutter Crawford will start for Boston. Crawford saw action 21 games last season with an ERA 5.47 with WHIP 1.42. The righty a strikeout mark of 23.1% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls were 31.3% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. Pirates lost two of three in Cincinnati. Red Sox win two of three at home to the Orioles in high scoring games. Oviedo showed improvement last season and showed well late in the spring. Crawford tough to back the Red Sox bullpen is concerning. Play Pittsburgh +135.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Blue Jays at Royals—Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios starts in 32 games last year produced an ERA 5.23 with WHIP 1.42. The veteran in 2022 struck out 19.8% with 6% walks. His ground ball rate was 40.3% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer worked 27 games last year with an ERA 3.23 and WHIP 1.14. The righthander struck out 24.2% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls were 49% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Blue Jays drop two of three in St Louis. Royals are swept in a three game home series to the Twins. In those three games KC hit just .133. Blue Jays betting .316 against righthanders. Play Toronto -134.
Atlanta Braves vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Braves at Cardinals—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in 31 starts in 2022 had an ERA 4.34 with WHIP 1.23. The veteran struck out 28.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls were 39.8% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. Jake Woodford to start for St Louis. Woodford in 26 relief appearances and a start had an ERA 2.23 with WHIP 1.12 in 2022. The righty pitched to contact with 12.8% strikeouts with 5.9% walks. His ground ball rate was 52% with minimal home run damage. Braves win two of three at Washington. Cardinals take two of three at home to Toronto. Morton road performance last season a concern. St Louis hitting well to start the season. Play St Louis +120.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Orioles at Rangers—Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in 23 starts carried an ERA 4.90 with WHIP 1.40 in 2022. The young righthander struck out 21.8% with 9% walks. Ground balls 45.6% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Jon Gray the starter for Texas. Gray in 24 starts in 2022 produced an ERA 3.96 with WHIP 1.13. The veteran delivered 25.7% strikeouts with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.1% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Baltimore drops two of three in Boston. Rangers sweep the Phillies in a three game series at home. Texas bullpen in the better form early this season. Both teams hitting. Play Baltimore and Texas over 8.5.
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Tigers at Astros—Matthew Boyd to start for Detroit. Boyd worked ten games in 2022 had an ERA 1.35 with WHIP 0.98. The lefthander struck out 24.5% with 15.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.4% with no homers allowed. He missed much of the season in 2022 due to a tendon surgery. Hunter Brown starts for Houston. Brown worked seven games with the big club last season allowing two earned runs with 22 strikeouts in 20 1/3rd innings. In 23 Triple A appearances he had an ERA 2.55 with WHIP 1.08. Tigers are swept in a three game series at Tampa Bay. Astros split their four game home series to the White Sox. Early on the Astros batting only .143 against lefty’s and Tigers .147 as a team. Play Detroit and Houston under 8.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Diamondbacks at Padres—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson started three games in 2022 allowing three earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. The righthander started 26 games in Triple A posting an ERA 5.43 with WHIP 1.39. Ryan Weathers to start for San Diego. Weathers started one game in 2022 allowing four earned runs in 3 2/3rd innings. He worked 31 games in Triple A posting an ERA 6.73 with WHIP 1.79 after an ineffective stint with the big club in 2021. Diamondbacks split their four game series with the Dodgers. Padres split their four game series against the Rockies. Weathers difficult to back. Nelson faced the Padres twice last season giving up three earned runs in 12 2/3rd innings. Play Arizona +125.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Guardians at Athletics—Zach Plesac to start for Cleveland. Plesac appeared in 25 games in 2022 posting an ERA 4.31 with WHIP 1.32. The righthander struck out 17.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 40% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. James Kaprielian to start for Oakland. Kaprielian in 26 starts in 2022 had an ERA 4.23 with WHIP 1.34. The righty struck out 17% with 10.1% walks. Grounders served at 37.7% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Both bullpens performed well in their opening series. Athletics hitting brutal against the righthanders they faced. Guardians as well. Play Cleveland and Oakland under 7.5.
LA Angels vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Angels at Mariners—Reid Detmers to start for LAA. Detmers had 25 starts a season ago producing an ERA 3.77 with WHIP 1.21. The lefthander stuck out 22.6% with 8.5% walks. His ground balls were 36% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. George Kirby starts for Seattle. Kirby in 25 starts carries an ERA 3.39 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander posted 24.5% strikeouts with 4.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.5% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Angels split their four game series in Oakland. Mariners drop three of four at home to the Guardians. Detmers in two starts against the Mariners last season allowed two earned runs in thirteen innings. Kirby pitched well against the Angels last season. Both bullpens were sharp to start the season. Play Angels and Mariners under 7.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/3/2022
Rockies at Dodgers—Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner appeared in 20 games in 2022 with an ERA 5.83 and WHIP 1.41. The Rockies righthander struck out 19.6% with 8.2% walks. Ground ball rate was 41.3% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. Michael Grove gets the start for LAD. Grove made 7 appearances with the big club in 2022 and had an ERA 4.60 with WHIP 1.43. Strikeouts were 18% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.2% with 1.84 home runs per nine innings. In his 14 appearances in Triple A an ERA of 4.07 with WHIP 1.30. Rockies split their four game series at San Diego. Dodgers split four at home to the Diamondbacks. Dodgers hit poorly in their opening series. Rockies hit well in San Diego. Don’t want to back LA’s fifth starter with this high price. Play Colorado +216.