Free MLB Picks For Today 4/1/2023
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Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
White Sox at Astros—Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in 30 starts last season posted an ERA of 4.90 with WHIP 1.44. The righthander had a strikeout rate of 25.4% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.5% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Jose Urquidy the starter for Houston. Urquidy in 29 appearances in 2022 had an ERA of 3.94 with WHIP 1.17. The righty struck out only 19.7% with 5.6% walks. He dished 36% ground balls with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Astros evened this series at 1-1 with their 6-3 win on Friday. Houston has pounded Giolito as in his past three starts against the Astros allowing 19 earned runs in 12 2/3rd innings. Play Houston -123.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Blue Jays at Cardinals—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman starts in 31 games last year produced an ERA 3.35 with WHIP 1.24. The righthander had a strikeout mark of 28.3% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.2% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. Jack Flaherty the starter for St Louis. Flaherty last season posted an ERA of 3.41 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander had a strikeout rate of 19.8% with 13.2% walks. Grounders at 41.7% with 1.00 home run per nine innings. Blue Jays win the opener of this series 10-9. Flaherty’s high contact the major concern against this Toronto lineup. Play Toronto -127.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Brewers at Cubs—Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in 27 starts carried an ERA in 2022 of 3.05 with WHIP 1.07. The veteran struck out 30.6% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.6% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Justin Steele will start for Chicago. Steele in 2022 started 24 times with an ERA 3.18 with WHIP 1.35. The lefty struck out 24.6% with 9.8% walks. Grounders at 51.2% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings. Cubs win the opener of this series 4-0. Steele pitched well against the Brewers allowing two earned runs in 18 innings in his past three starts last season. Play Chicago +106.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Braves at Nationals—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider worked 31 games in 2022 with an ERA 2.67 and WHIP 0.99. The young righthander posted 38.3% strikeout rate with 8.5% walks. Ground balls were 40.3% with minimal home run damage. Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray made 28 appearances in 2022 with an ERA 5.02 and WHIP 1.36. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.7% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33% with 2.30 home runs per nine innings. Braves win the opener of this series 7-2. Gray 3-14 against the run line when his games are totaled between 8.5 and 10 runs. Nationals bullpen also a concern. Play Atlanta run line -1.5 runs at -133.
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Giants at Yankees—Alex Cobb will start for San Francisco. Cobb in 28 starts a season ago had an ERA 3.73 with WHIP 1.30. The righty struck out 23.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 61.5% with limited home run damage. Clarke Schmidt to start for NYY. Schmidt in 29 appearances in 2022, 3 starts, posted an ERA 3.12 with WHIP 1.20. The righthander struck out 23.7% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.1% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Yankees win the opener 5-0. Cobb on the road past three seasons an ERA of 5.30 and WHIP 1.51. Play New York Yankees -136.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Phillies at Rangers—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 26 starts in 2022 posted an ERA of 2.82 with WHIP 1.04. The veteran a strikeout mark of 26.9% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.9% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi started 20 last season for Boston with an ERA of 3.87 with WHIP 1.23. The righthander struck out 22.4% with 4.3% walks. Grounders served at 47% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. Texas wins the opener 11-7 overcoming a 5-0 early deficit. Eovaldi has pitched well away from Fenway the past two seasons and had a good spring. Play Texas +106.
LA Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Angels at Athletics—Patrick Sandoval to start for LAA. Sandoval in 27 starts in 2022 posted an ERA of 2.91 with WHIP 1.34. The left had a strikeout mark of 23.7% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.4% with minimal home run damage. Shintaro Fujinami to start for Oakland. Fujinami debuts in Major League Baseball after pitching Japan. He pitched for Hanshin Tigers in Japan last season and had an ERA 3.38, 23.6% strikeout rate with 7.5% walks. His fastball clocks in the upper 90 mile per hour range. Oakland wins the opener 2-1. Angels 28-12 to the under when favored -125 to -175. Play LA and Oakland under 7.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Pirates at Reds—Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill in 26 starts for Boston last season produced an ERA 4.27 with WHIP 1.30. The veteran struck out 20.7% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.2% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo in his rookie campaign last year started 19 games with an ERA of 3.66 and WHIP 1.25. The lefthander struck out 29.7% with 8.8% walks. Grounders were at 46% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Pirates win the opener of this series 5-4. Lodolo strong plus Hill’s high contact and walks the concern. Play Cincinnati -146.
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Tigers at Rays—Spencer Turnbull to start for Detroit. Turnbull had nine starts in 2021 posting an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP 0.98. He returns from Tommy John surgery missing the entire 2022 season. Career 8.49 strikeouts, 0.63 home runs and 2.16 walks per nine innings. Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin worked 20 games in 2022 with an ERA of 4.04 and WHIP 1.12. The righthander struck out 20.8% with 4.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. A tendon injury required surgery and he missed the second half of last season. Tigers win the opener of this series 4-0. Detroit under in 41 of 59 against the AL East. Rays bullpen always strong at home and Detroit hitting lineup a concern. Play Detroit and Tampa Bay under 7.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Twins at Royals—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in 24 starts last year posted an ERA 3.08 with WHIP 1.13. The veteran struck out 24% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sat at 44.5% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Lyles starts for KC. Lyles in 32 starts for Baltimore in 2022 had an ERA 4.42 with WHIP 1.39. The righty had a strikeout mark of 18.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sat 40.2% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Twins win the opener 2-0. Gray past three starts against KC, all last season, allowed one earned run in 19 innings winning by a combined score of 20-3. Play Minnesota run line -1.5 runs at +102.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Orioles at Red Sox—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer worked 22 games last season posting an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP 1.25. The righthander struck out 17% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.4% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale to start for Boston. Sale had two starts last season working 5 2/3rd innings and has suffered injuries the past few seasons including Tommy John surgery in 2020 with wrist, rib and finger injuries last season. Orioles win the opener 10-9. Red Sox 26-51 facing the AL East. Team record behind Kremer 14-7 past two seasons. Play Baltimore +140.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Mets at Marlins—Tylor Megill to start for NYM. Megill worked 15 games last season posting an ERA 5.13 with WHIP 1.25. The righthander had a strikeout rate of 25.5% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.9% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera had fourteen starts in 2022 with an ERA 3.01 with WHIP 1.07. The righty sported a strikeout mark of 25.8% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls at 45.3% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Marlins evened this series at 1-1 with their 2-1 on Friday. Miami 10-28 as a home underdog of +100 or higher past two seasons. Early on the Marlins have hit righthanders poorly. Play New York -116.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Rockies at Padres—Jose Urena to start for Colorado. Urena appeared in 21 games in 2022 posting an ERA 5.01 with WHIP 1.57. The veteran pitched to high contact with a 14.6% strikeout mark with 10% walks. Ground balls served at 49.7% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Michael Wacha to start for San Diego. Wacha in 2022 started 23 games posting an ERA 3.32 with WHIP 1.12. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.2% with 6% walks. Ground balls sat 41% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Rockies have won both games of this series with their 4-1 win on Friday. Padres 19-4 under past two April games at home. San Diego hitting poorly. Play Colorado and San Diego under 8.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Arizona to start Madison Bumgarner on Saturday night. Bumgarner in 2022 had 30 starts with an ERA 4.88 with WHIP 1.44. The lefthander pitched to high contact with 16% strikeouts with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.9% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw had 22 starts in 2022 with an ERA of 2.28 and WHIP 0.94. The veteran struck out 27.8% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 47.1% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Arizona evened this series with the 2-1 win. Team record behind Kershaw 13-2 at home when run line price is -100 or greater past three seasons. Play LAD on run line -1.5 runs at -119.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 4/1/2022
Guardians at Mariners—Aaron Civale to start for Cleveland. Civale started 20 games in 2022 posting an ERA 4.92 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander a strikeout mark of 24.1% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.2% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert starts in 32 games in 2022 produced an ERA 3.20 with WHIP 1.18. The righty a strikeout mark of 22.7% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.7% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Cleveland evened this series with their 9-4 win on Friday. Civale’s past two starts in Seattle the past two seasons allowed nine earned runs in 13 innings. Gilbert has pitched well past two appearances against the Guardians. Play Seattle -133.