Free MLB Picks For Today 3/30/2023
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Giants at Yankees—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco in the opener. Webb worked 32 games in 2022 and put up an ERA of 2.90 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander posted a strikeout mark of 20.7% with walk rate of 6.2%. Ground balls were registered at 56.7% with limited home run damage.
Gerritt Cole the starter for NYY. The veteran started 33 games a season ago compiling an ERA of 3.50 and WHIP of 1.02. Cole achieved a 32.4% strikeout rate with 6.3% walks. He did surrender 1.48 home runs per nine innings with 42.4% ground balls.
Webb has been outstanding in these low total forecasted games with the team record 36-15 when totaled between 7 to 8.5 runs the past two seasons. Giants struck out a lot last year. Aces deliver for their time in this game. Cold weather also a factor. Play San Francisco and New York under 7.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Braves at Nationals—Max Fried to start for ATL. Fried in 2022 started 30 games with an ERA of 2.48 and WHIP 1.01. The lefty had a strikeout mark of 23.2% with only 4.4% walks. Home runs were limited and a 51.2% ground ball rate. Patrick Corbin to start for Washington.
Corbin started 31 games a season ago with an ERA of 6.31 and WHIP 1.70. The lefthander struck out only 18% with 6.9% walk rate. He surrendered 1.59 home runs per nine innings with a 44.2% ground ball rate. Braves offense strong with few weaknesses.
Nationals moved out some productive hitters during the trade deadline. Corbin in this run line price not good as team is 8-19 past 27. Don’t trust Nationals bullpen either. Take Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -140.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Orioles at Red Sox—Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson started 31 games for Philadelphia last season and had an ERA of 5.05 with WHIP 1.34. The veteran had a strikeout rate of 20.1% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls came in at 45.9% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Corey Kluber starts for Boston. Kluber started 31 games for Tampa Bay in 2022 and posted an ERA 4.34 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander saw his strikeout rate drop to 20.2% last season with only 3% walks. Ground balls down to 36.1% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox have been hammered against divisional opponents the past two seasons losing 50 of 76. Gibson +19 units career on the road. Bullpen was outstanding for the O’s in 2022. Play Baltimore +109.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Brewers at Cubs—Corbin Burnes the starter for Milwaukee. Burnes starts in 33 games in 2022 with an ERA of 2.94 and WHIP 0.97. The righthander saw his strikeout rate dip to 30.5% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls at 47% with home runs rising to 1.02 per nine innings.
Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman starts in 25 games producing an ERA 3.50 and WHIP 1.15. His strikeouts were at 20.9% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 51.7% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs have won 15 of 22 as a home dog in this price range. Brewers bullpen the massive concern after what we saw last year after the trading deadline. Cubs did upgrade the offense. Play Chicago +130.
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Tigers at Rays—Eduardo Rodriguez to get the start for Detroit. Rodriguez in 17 starts had an ERA of 4.05 with WHIP 1.33. The lefty saw his strikeout rate plummet to 18.4% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls were 43.4% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan a strikeout mark of 30.3% with 4.9% walks. The lefthander dealt 50.2% ground balls with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Detroit 25-8 to the underdog as a +200 or more underdog. Hitting the concern. McClanahan an elite pitcher and the Rays at home get great results from their bullpen over the years. Play Detroit and Tampa Bay under 7.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Phillies at Rangers—Aaron Nola gets the start for Philadelphia. Nola started 32 games in 2022 and posted an ERA of 3.25 with WHIP 0.96. The veteran had a strikeout rate of 29.1% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.6% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Jacob deGrom will go for Texas. deGrom had 11 starts with the Mets last season posting an ERA of 3.08 and WHIP 0.75. The righthander struck out 42.7% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls served at 39.4% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings a five year high.
Texas has lost 66 of 108 against righthanders the past two seasons. deGrom was dealing with ailments on the side of his body in the spring and is on a pitch count. Was limited in the spring. Texas bullpen also a concern here. Play Philadelphia +120.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Pirates at Reds—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller worked 31 games with an ERA of 3.91 and WHIP 1.40. The righty a strikeout rate of 20.1% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served 49% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Hunter Greene will start for Cincinnati. Green started 24 games in his rookie season with an ERA 4.44 and WHIP 1.21. Greene a strikeout mark of 30.9% with 9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 29.3% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
Pittsburgh offense struck out a lot last year and were near the bottom in hard contact. Keller past three starts against the Reds allowed 11 runs in 14 innings. Green in two starts against the Pirates last season surrendered one earned run in 13 1/3rd innings. Play Cincinnati -131.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 3/30/2023
Toronto Blue Jays vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Blue Jays at Cardinals—Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah in 31 starts has an ERA of 2.24 with WHIP 0.99. The righthander saw his strikeouts drop to 22.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.5% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
St Louis will start Miles Mikolas on opening Day. Mikolas in 33 games produced an ERA 3.29 with WHIP 1.03. The righty struck out 19% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls came in at 45% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Mikolas pitching to contact the concern against this Blue Jays lineup.
Also, Toronto went 18 games over .500 after the manager switch mid-season last year. These low totaled games of 7-7.5 with Manoah on the mound resulted in under in all eight situations. Play Toronto and St Louis under 7.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Twins at Royals—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez had 32 start for the Marlins last year posting an ERA of 3.75 and WHIP 1.17. Lopez struck out 23.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 46.1% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Zack Greinke to start for KC. Greinke in 26 starts posted an ERA 3.68 with WHIP 1.34. The veteran a career low 12.5% strikeout rate with 4.6% walks. Grounders sat at 41.3% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Twins looked to be the most improved team on paper adding quality arms to a team that produced good hitting numbers.
Greinke’s high contact against this lineup the massive concern. In his past three starts last year against the Twins the veteran allowed eight earned runs and 24 hits, 3 walks in 15 1/3rd innings. That is close to two runners allowed per innings. Play Minnesota run line -1.5 runs at +105.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Rockies at Padres—German Marquez to start for Colorado. Marquez in 31 starts carries an ERA 4.95 and WHIP 1.37. The righthander posted a strikeout mark of 19.3% with 8.1% walks. Home runs high at 1.49 per nine innings with 47.6% ground balls.
Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell in 24 starts produced an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP 1.20. The lefthander struck out 32% with 9.5% walk. Ground balls produced at 36.6% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. Rockies offensive problems on the road don’t figure to get any better with their new additions.
Past three seasons Snell at home an ERA of 3.01 with WHIP 1.11. He held the Rockies to one run over six innings last August at home in a 9-1 win. Play San Diego run line -1.5 runs +100.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Mets at Marlins—Max Scherzer will start for New York. Scherzer in 23 starts had an ERA of 2.29 with WHIP 0.91. The veteran had a strikeout mark of 30.6% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls served at 31.1% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara starts in 32 games produced an ERA 2.28 with WHIP 0.98. The righthander struck out 23.4% with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.4% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings.
Marlins struggled against the top teams in the division. Miami past two seasons 32-65 as an underdog. With the new shift rules also worried about the high contact given up by Alcantara. Play NY Mets -122.
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
White Sox at Astros—Chicago starts Dylan Cease on Opening Day. Cease starts in 32 games had an ERA of 2.20 and WHIP of 1.11 a season ago. The righty had a 30.4% strikeout mark with 10.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.8% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Framber Valdez the starter for Houston. Valdez in 2022 started 31 games with an ERA of 2.82 and WHIP 1.16. Lefthander fanned 23.5% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 66.5% with limited home run damage.
Astros have been king of the under the past two seasons with strong starting pitching and bullpen. White Sox trending under on the road in night games past two seasons. Play Chicago and Houston under 7 runs.
LA Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Angels at Athletics—LAA will start Shohei Ohtani. The righthander in 28 starts in 2022 had an ERA of 2.33 plus WHIP 1.01. Ohtani struck out 33.2% with 6.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 41.9% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Muller the starter for Oakland. Muller started three games in 2022 for Atlanta and had an ERA of 8.03 and WHIP 1.70. He has 12 career MLB appearances in two seasons with an ERA of 5.14 and WHIP 1.35. Career average of nine strikeouts per nine innings, 5.14 walks and 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
Oakland offense looks as bad as last season. Healthy Angels a team worth backing laying the run and a half with their ace on the mound. Play LA Angels -1.5 runs at -120.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen started 31 games in 2022 with an ERA 2.54 plus WHIP 0.91. The righthander struck out 26.9% with 6.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 46% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
Julio Urias to start for LAD. Urias starts in 31 games in 2022 had an ERA of 2.16 with WHIP 0.96. The lefty had a strike out mark of 24.1% with 6% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.7% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
LA utilized the shift more than any team last season. So more runners could get on base against them but don’t believe Arizona offense is good enough to exploit this. Gallen and Kelly carry this pitching staff with a steep drop downward in the rotation.
Dodgers back part of the line a concern. Gallen past three starts against LAD allowed two earned runs in 20 innings. Urias has been dominant as well against Arizona in his past three starts. Also, cold weather in LA will keep the ball in the park. Play Dodgers and Diamondbacks under 7.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 3/30/2022
Guardians at Mariners—Shane Bieber the starter for Cleveland. Bieber in 31 starts last season had an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP 1.04. The righthander saw his strikeout rate drop to 25% with 4.6% walks. He dealt 48.2% ground balls with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Castillo draws the opener night start for Seattle Castillo in 25 starts a season ago produced an ERA 2.99 and WHIP 1.08. The veteran saw an increase to 27.2% strikeouts with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.9% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Cleveland hits for high contact but lowest in the league in power. Mariners bullpen was outstanding last year. Bieber’s strikeout rate downward drop concerning. Play Seattle -130.
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