Free NBA Picks For Today 1/28/2023
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Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Nuggets at 76ers—Gillespie and White out for Denver. Porter, Murray and Brown questionable. Jokic and Caldwell Pope are probable. Embiid questionable for Philadelphia. Denver drops to 34-15 with their 107-99 road defeat to Milwaukee. Nuggets shot just 39% with 32% from three. Nuggets sat Jokic, Murray, Porter and Pope in a back to back. Denver second in the league in shooting at 50.7% and tops from three at 39.5%. Top ten in defensive rebounding percentage and second in least amount of second chance points allowed to opponents. Philadelphia improved to 31-16 with their 137-133 home win to Brooklyn Nets. 76ers shot well in the win at 51% and 47% from three. They made 35 of 36 free throws. Philadelphia 8th in shooting at 48.2% and fourth from three at 38.2%. Weak on the glass sitting 28th in the league. 76ers sit seventh in defensive rating allowing 111.3 points per 100 possessions. Nuggets on this road trip sit 29th in offense efficiency by averaging 99.5 points per 100 possessions by allowing 104.6 per 100. Nuggets guard injuries the concern. Play Philadelphia -4.5.
New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Nets NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Knicks at Nets—Robinson out for NYK. Durant out for Brooklyn with Warrant doubtful. Simmons and Sharp questionable with Sumner probable. New York improved to 27-23 with their 120-117 road win at Boston Celtics. They shot 46% overall and limited the Celtics to 41%. Knicks blew a 12 point lead late allowing a 16-4 run to close regulation. Knicks a poor shooting team that converts only 45.7% and 34.5% from three. Third in the league on the glass and second best in the NBA in points allowed in paint. Brooklyn fell to 29-19 with their 130-122 home defeat to Detroit Pistons. On a back to back after a long road trip the Nets were outrebounded by eight. Pistons had two days rest so a bad spot for Brooklyn so throw out the stats here. Nets are top shooting team in the league making 51.1% and second from three at 39.5%. Brooklyn is eighth on the season in defensive rating by allowing 112 points per 100 possessions. Knicks have won five of eight road games by averaging 119.2 points per 100 possessions while allowing 117.4 per 100. Nets have dropped three of four at home scoring 115.5 points per 100 possessions while allowing 112.4 per 100. Line is everything here. Too short to take underdog. Play Brooklyn -1.
Houston Rockets vs. Detroit Pistons NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Rockets at Pistons—Green and Porter out for Houston. Bagley and Joseph out for Detroit. Houston drops to 11-38 after their 113-95 home defeat to Cleveland Cavaliers. They did pull down ten more boards than the Cavs and shot 51% overall. Rockets hit only 5 of 21 from three and committed 22 turnovers. Rockets sat Gordon, Porter and Tate. Houston worse shooting team in the NBA at 44.8% overall and second worse from three at 32.9%. They turn the ball over higher than any NBA team with 17 per 48 minutes. Third worse defensive rating by allowing 116.7 points per 100 possessions. Detroit improved to 13-37 with their 130-122 road win at Brooklyn. Schedule maker handed the Pistons a win as they had two days off. Nets a horrible spot playing a back to back after a long road trip west to east. Throw out stats here. Detroit 26th in shooting in the league at 45.4% and 29th in defensive rating by allowing 118.3 points per 100 possessions. Very poor in allowing paint points. Rockets past seven road games, all losses, sitting last in defensive efficiency by allowing 126.9 points per 100 possessions while scoring 111.3 per 100. Pistons have dropped four of six at home by allowing 118.4 points per 100 possessions while scoring 113.5 per 100. Play Houston and Detroit over 235.
Chicago Bulls vs. Orlando Magic NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Bulls at Magic—Ball and Green out for Chicago with Dragic probable. Isaac and Okeke out for Orlando. Chicago fell to 22-26 with their 111-96 road defeat at Charlotte. They were outrebounded by 9 boards. Miserable shooting game making 41% and 4 of 25 from three. Chicago fifth in shooting making 48.8% and do a good job with ball security. Orlando fell to 19-29 after their 110-105 road defeat to Miami Heat. Magic 48% with 35% from three but committed 20 turnovers. Teams sits about league average in shooting. They sit 23rd in turnovers and are 24th in defensive rating by allowing 114.7 points per 100 possessions. Magic has covered seven of eight averaging 115.8 points per 100 possessions while allowing 114.6 per 100. Bulls have dropped five of seven on the road by allowing 112.9 points per 100 possessions while scoring 111 per 100. Magic have lost eight of nine in back to backs getting outscored by eight. Play Chicago -2.5.
LA Clippers vs. Atlanta Hawks NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Clippers at Hawks—Wall and Covington out for LA with Morris questionable. ATL has a clean injury report. LAC improved to 27-24 with their 138-100 home win to San Antonio Spurs. Clippers shot 58% in the win with 47% from three. Clips caught Spurs on the back to back and LA was at full strength. LAC is fifth in the league from three hitting 37.8%. Tenth in defensive rating allowing 112.2 points per 100 possessions. Atlanta is 25-24 after their 137-132 road win at Oklahoma City Thunder. They did outrebound OKC by nine boards. Strong shooting performance by the Hawks who shot 60%. They did give up 52% shooting to the Thunder with 44% from three. ATL has struggled making threes this season by hitting 34.6%. They are 19th in defensive rating allowing 113.7 points per 100 possessions. Clippers with their core players healthy has won four straight averaging 138.5 points per 100 possessions while allowing 118 per 100. Atlanta has lost four of six at home by allowing and scoring nearly 119 points per 100 possessions. Play LA Clippers at pick.
Sacramento Kings vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Kings at Timberwolves—Sacramento has a clean injury report. Towns, Prince and McLaughlin out for Minnesota. Sacramento is 27-20 after their 113-95 home defeat to Toronto Raptors. They grabbed seven fewer boards than the Raptors. Kings gave up a 20-4 third quarter run by Toronto to fall behind by 20. Team had won seven of eight prior to the loss. Kings third best shooting team in the league making 49.5%. They hit 37.2% from three. Kings struggled with points allowed in the paint sitting third worse. Minnesota improved to 26-25 with their 111-100 home win to Memphis Grizzlies. T’Wolves shot 51% with 37% from three but had 19 turnovers. They held the Grizzlies to 41% shooting and only 8 of 33 from three. Timberwolves are the fourth best shooting team in the league by making 49.2% with struggles from three. Team is 28th in turnovers. Timberwolves have won eight of ten at home by averaging 117 points per 100 possessions while allowing 111.8 per 100. Kings have won three of four on the road by averaging 120.4 points per 100 possessions and allowing 117.2 per 100. T’Wolves get outscored by one in back to backs. Play Minnesota -3.5.
Washington Wizards vs. New Orleans Pelicans NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Wizards at Pelicans—Porzingis doubtful for Washington. Daniels, Liddell and Williamson out for NOP. Washington moves to 22-26 after their 108-103 road win at Houston Rockets. They win despite pulling down nine fewer rebounds. Team shot only 40% with 32% from three. They held the Rockets to 5 of 28 from three. Wizards overcame a deficit of 19 points. Washington has struggled from three this season making 34.9%. New Orleans fell to 26-23 with their 111-102 home defeat to Minnesota Timberwolves. NOP shot only 44% and 32% from three. They did allow 49% shooting to the Timberwolves with 38% from three. Pelicans have been strong on the glass this year and making 47.8%. They do six sixth in defensive rating allowing 111.3 points per 100 possessions. Four straight wins for Washington sitting fifth in offensive efficiency by scoring 123.2 points per 100 possessions while allowing 114.1 per 100. It is six straight losses for the Pelicans sitting last in offensive efficiency by scoring 104.8 points per 100 possessions and allowing 115.5 per 100. Play Washington +4.5.
Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Suns at Spurs—Booker, Crowder, Payne and Shamet out for Phoenix. Vassell out for SAS with Sochan, Richardson and Langford questionable. Phoenix fell to 25-25 with their 99-95 home loss to Dallas Stars. Suns shot just 41% overall but 41% from three. Mavs lost Luca Doncic in the first quarter due to injury. Phoenix 22nd in the league in shooting at 46.2% but third from three where they connect 38.8%. San Antonio falls to 14-35 after their 138-100 road loss at the LA Clippers. They were on a back to back facing a rested LAC team. More of the same bad defense from the Spurs as they allowed 58% shooting and 47% from three. Below par shooting performance. SAS has shot poorly from three on the campaign at 34.5%. Spurs are last in defensive rating on the year by allowing 119.9 points per 100 possessions and last in opponents points in the paint. San Antonio has lost five of eight at home allowing 121.2 points per 100 possessions while scoring 117.5 per 100. Suns past eight road games, seven losses, team sits last in offensive efficiency by scoring 105.3 points per 100 possessions while allowing 118.7 per 100. Play San Antonio +6.
LA Lakers vs. Boston Celtics NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Lakers at Celtics—Reaves out for Los Angeles with Walker and James questionable. Davis probable. Smart and Gallinari out for Boston. LAL improved to 23-26 after their 113-104 home win to San Antonio. Lakers did pull down eight more boards than SAS. LA shot poorly and had 19 turnovers. They held the Spurs to 38% shooting along with 8 of 34 from three. Lakers have shot well overall at 48.3% but near the bottom of the league from three at 33.7%. Strong rebounding team despite sitting 25th in defensive rating by allowing 114.3 points per 100 possessions and high points in the paints. Boston fell to 35-15 with their 120-117 home overtime loss to the NY Knicks. Boston shot only 41% and 35% from three. Celtics did overcome a 12 point deficit in the final two minutes to force the overtime. Boston league average in shooting and ninth from three. Team is fourth in defensive rating on the season by allowing 110.8 points per 100 possessions. LA has won four of six on the road by averaging and allowing 116 points per 100 possessions. Celtics have failed to cover six straight scoring and allowing nearly 111 points per 100 possessions. Davis recent return boosts LA. Play Lakers +7.5.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Mavericks at Jazz—Doncic, Kleber and Wood out for Dallas. Potter out for Utah with Olynyk questionable. Dallas improves to 26-24 with their 99-95 road win at Phoenix Suns. Mavs win despite losing Luca Doncic in the first quarter to injury. Mavericks shot 38% from three in the win and held the Suns to 41% shooting overall. Dallas league average shooting team. Worse rebounding team in the league that is 25th in defensive rating by allowing 115.1 points per 100 possessions. Utah fell to 25-26 after their 134-124 road defeat to the Portland Trailblazers. Great shooting night for Utah. They couldn’t match the 57% overall shooting and 47% from three to Portland. Jazz tenth in three point shooting at 36.8% and in rebounding. Mavericks past eight road games allowing 121.5 points per 100 possessions while scoring 115.4. Jazz have split their past eight home games by scoring 117.3 points per 100 possessions and allowing 113.7 per 100. Play Dallas +8.
Toronto Raptors vs. Portland Trailblazers NBA Pick Prediction 1/28/2023
Raptors at Trailblazers—Banton out for Toronto with Anunoby probable. Winslow and Badji out for Portland. Nurkic and Hart questionable. Toronto fell to 22-28 with their 129-117 road defeat at Golden St. Raptors shot 46% and 36% from three. They gave up 56% shooting to the Warriors and 42% from three. Raptors 28th in the league in shooting at 45.2% and from three making 33.4%. Best in the league in ball security. Team is 19th in defensive rating allowing 113.7 points per 100 possessions. Portland improves to 23-25 after their 134-124 home win to Utah Jazz. Monster shooting night for Portland hitting 57% and 47% from three. Trailblazers sit seventh from three on the campaign making 37.6% from three. Team is 22nd in defensive rating by allowing 114.6 points per 100 possessions. Raptors over in seven of eight on the road. Past six road games Raptors averaging 119.8 points per 100 possessions while allowing 121 per 100. Portland over in five of six at home against losing teams. Past ten home games Trailblazers averaging 123 points per 100 possessions while allowing 116 per 100. Play Toronto and Portland over 235.