Free MLB Picks For Today 10/7/2022
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 10/7/2022
Rays at Guardians—Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in 28 starts carries an ERA 2.54 with WHIP 0.93. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 30.3% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls 50.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.00 for the season which suggest a rising ERA based on his form.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber starts in 31 games producing an ERA 2.88 plus WHIP 1.04. The righthander a strikeout mark of 25% with 4.6% walks. His grounders 48.2% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Guardians 30-18 facing lefthanders this season.
Team record behind McClanahan 2-6 facing teams hitting .255 or below during the second half of the season. Rays 11 games under .500 on the road. Tampa Bay bullpen on the road an ERA 3.90. Guardians 36-15 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. Play Cleveland -118.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 10/7/2022
Phillies at Cardinals—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has 26 starts posting an ERA 2.82 with WHIP 1.04. The righty a strikeout rate of 26.9% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.9% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Quintana the starter for St Louis. Quintana in 32 starts an ERA 2.93 plus WHIP 1.21. The lefthander strikes out 20.2% with 6.9% walks. Grounders 46.4% with limited home runs damage. Since becoming a Cardinal Quintana an ERA 2.01 with WHIP 1.12 in 12 starts.
At home he has been better with an ERA 1.86, WHIP 0.86 and 0.3 home runs per nine innings. The glaring weakness with the Phillies here has been the performance of their bullpen on the road which sits with an ERA of 4.67. Both starters have good recent history against their opponent.
Wheeler missed a month of the season due to injury and averaged five innings per start since returning on September 21st. Cardinals 20-13 at home against winning teams. Phillies 23-20 when -100 to -150 this season. Cardinals 30-10 when lined between -100 and -150. Play St Louis -110.
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Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 10/7/2022
Mariners at Blue Jays—Luis Castillo the starter for Seattle. Castillo has 25 starts producing an ERA 2.99 with WHIP 1.08. The righthander strikes out 27.2% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt 46.9% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah in 31 starts has an ERA 2.24 plus WHIP 0.99. The righty a strikeout rate of 22.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls 37.5% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.34 an indicator of a rise ERA based on his numbers.
Manoah has allowed one earned run or fewer in seven of his past eight starts with exception being an outing where he allowed two runs. Castillo past four starts allowed sixteen runs thirteen earned in 21 2/3rd innings. Castillo had 11 starts with Seattle since being acquired in a trade.
In his road starts for Seattle, Castillo allowed 18 earned runs, four homers and 11 walks in 33 2/3rd innings. That equates to an ERA 4.81, WHIP 1.43 and 1.1 home runs per nine innings. Play Toronto -131.
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 10/7/2022
Padres at Mets—Yu Darvish the starter for San Diego. Darvish has 30 starts with an ERA 3.10 with WHIP 0.95. The righthander is striking out 25.6% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.9% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
Max Scherzer the starter for NYM. Scherzer starts in 23 games an ERA 2.29 and WHIP 0.91. The veteran an elite strikeout rate 30.6% with 4.2% walks. His grounders 31.1% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Padres 14-3 playing after an off day.
Darvish in two starts against the Mets this season allowed one run in fourteen innings in team wins in both games. Scherzer past two starts against San Diego allowed eight runs even earned in 11 1/3rd innings. Padres nine games over .500 on the road this season. Play San Diego +137.
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