Free College Football Picks For Today 10/6/2022
Liberty vs. UMASS College Football Pick Prediction 10/8/2022
Liberty at UMASS—Liberty improved to 4-1 with their 38-24 road win at Old Dominion. Flames put up 478 yards in the win with 210 rushing on 39 carries. They did surrender 297 passing yards on 46 attempts. Quarterback Kaidon Salter struggled hitting 52.6% of his passes, two touchdowns, two picks and 8.9 yards per pass attempt.
On the season Salter 54.9% completions with 8.5 per attempt. UMASS fell to 1-4 with their 20-13 road defeat at Eastern Michigan. Another poor offensive showing as the Minutemen gained only 255 yards with 168 rushing on 48 carries. A positive is UMASS limited EMU to only 339 yards and only 122 passing yardage on 24 attempts.
Quarterback Gino Campiotti completed only 44.4% of his passes with 4.8 per attempt. The Northern Arizona transfer completing only 47.8% of his throws, a touchdown, five picks and 3.8 yards per attempt.
Flames should exploit the UMASS run defense. Liberty is a high volume running team average 41 rushes per game with 4.8 per attempt. Minutemen will struggle to score here. Play Liberty and UMASS under 49.
Kent vs. Miami Ohio College Football Pick Prediction 10/8/2022
Kent at Miami Ohio—Kent improved to 2-3 following their 31-24 home overtime win to Ohio. Golden Flashes rolled up 736 yards in victory with 338 rushing on 59 carries. They did allow 450 yards to the Bobcats with 322 passing on 39 attempts.
Kent quarterback Collin Schlee completed 64.9% of his throws averaging 10.8 per attempt. His season wide numbers 62.8% completion rate and 9.6 per attempt. Schlee is a run threat with 47 rushes for 5.4 yards a carry.
Miami Ohio fell to 2-3 with their 24-20 road loss at Buffalo. They lose on a 15 yards touchdown pass allowed with 31 seconds remaining. Red Hawks held the Bulls to only 278 yards with only 90 rushing on 34 carries. Miami Ohio did run the football for 240 yards on 38 carries.
Quarterback Aveon Smith just 53.8% completions, a pick and only 4.6 per attempt. On the season the sophomore quarterback completing only 50% with 5.1 yards per attempt. Red Hawks running well and defending the run this season. But Miami Ohio has struggled on third down.
Offense and quarterback much better on the Golden Flashes side. They also have been battle tested with non-conference games on the road to Georgia, Oklahoma and Washington covering two of those three. Play Kent -5.5.
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma St College Football Pick Prediction 10/8/2022
Texas Tech at Oklahoma St—Texas Tech fell to 3-2 after their 37-28 road defeat at Kansas St. Red Raiders were hammered on the ground as the Wildcats ran for 343 yards on 39 carries. Texas Tech run game generated just over 3 yards per carry.
Red Raiders were marred by four turnovers. Quarterback Donovan Smith did complete 70.8% with 7.5 yards per rush but two interceptions and two picks. On the season Smith completing 66.8%, 11 touchdowns, 7 picks and 6.9 yards per attempt.
Oklahoma St 4-0 after their 36-25 road win at Baylor. Cowboys balanced offensive attack and held the Bears run game to 112 yards on 30 carries plus picking off two passes. Quarterback Spencer Sanders completed 69% in the win with 6.2 yards per attempt.
On the season Sanders 66.1% completions, 11 touchdowns, two picks with 8.8 yards per attempt. Cowboys the more balance on offense and Red Raiders quarterback Smith is mistake prone. Back to back road games for the Red Raiders with road losses at 13 at NC State and last week by 9 at Kansas St. Play Oklahoma St -9.
Toledo vs. Northern Illinois College Football Pick Prediction 10/8/2022
Toledo at Northern Illinois—Toledo improved to 3-2 after their 38-17 home win to Central Michigan. Rockets a strong run attack in the win with 261 yards on 50 carries. They stuffed the Chippewas run game to 33 yards on 26 carries.
Quarterback Dequan Finn completed 56.5% in the win with two touchdowns and 8.1 per attempt. Finn a run threat rushing for 84 yards on 12 carries. Northern Illinois fell to 1-4 after their 44-38 road overtime defeat at Ball St.
Huskies piled up 526 yards in defeat running for 332 yards on 57 carries. They did contain the Cardinals ground game but gave up 403 passing yards on 58 carries. Quarterback Ethan Hampton completed 58.6% with 6.7 yards per pass attempt.
On the season the sophomore completing 57.5%, 5 touchdowns, 2 picks and 7 yards per attempt. Rockets have lost both road games struggling offensively. NIU is defending the run but Finn not accurate to trust as a sizable favorite on the road. Play Northern Illinois +5.5.
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Virginia Tech vs. Pittsburgh College Football Pick Prediction 10/8/2022
Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh—Virginia Tech fell to 2-3 after their 41-10 road defeat at North Carolina. Hokies even against a bad defensive team could not get on track offensively finishing with 273 yards. The run game generated only 99 yards on 35 carries.
Hokies allowed 527 yards to the Tar Heels with 367 passing on 41 attempts. Marshall transfer quarterback Grant Wells was 16 of 26 with an interception but only 5.3 yards per pass attempt. On the season he has averaged no greater than 5.6 per attempt in his four FBS games.
Pittsburgh drops to 3-2 after their 26-21 home defeat to a down Georgia Tech team. Run game sputtered for the Panthers behind 106 yards on 31 carries. They committed three turnovers and surrendered 232 rushing yards on 44 carries.
Quarterback Kedon Slovis completed a season low 57.8% of his passes with 6.8 yards per attempt. Season numbers are 63.3% completions with 8.3 per attempt. Hokies held to ten points in two straight games. Their run game has not shown enough quality to back here. Play Pittsburgh -14.5.
Auburn vs. Georgia College Football Pick Prediction 10/8/2022
Auburn at Georgia—Auburn bell to 3-2 after their 21-17 home defeat to LSU. They blew an early 17-0 lead midway through the second quarter and a fumble recovery allowed for a touchdown swung the momentum. Tigers held scoreless in final 39 minutes.
Run game generated only 101 yards on 31 carries. Defense held the Tigers to only 270 yards. Quarterback Robby Ashford completed 50% of his throws with 8.9 yards per attempt. Georgia is 5-0 with their 26-22 road win at Missouri. Held to six first half points the Bulldogs outscored the Tigers 20-6 in the second half.
The team posted 481 yards running for about 4 yards a carry. They did limit Missouri to 294 yards. Quarterback Stetson Bennett season low 54.5% completion rate with 7.1 yards per attempt. Team relied on 4 of 4 field goals.
On the season Bennett 69% completions and 9.1 per attempt. First road game for the Tigers who have been held to 17 or fewer points past three games including a 29 point home loss to Penn St. Bulldogs have giving up 8 field goals past two games. Play Auburn +30.
Tulsa vs. Navy College Football Pick Prediction 10/8/2022
Tulsa at Navy—Tulsa fell to 2-3 with their 31-21 home defeat to Cincinnati. Offense generated only 285 yards in defeat. Golden Hurricane run game sputtered with 36 yards on 45 carries. Defensively they did allow 364 yards with 198 rushing on 32 carries.
Quarterback Davis Brin a season low 50% completions with 6.6 yards per attempt throwing two picks and one going for a Cincinnati touchdown. Brin questionable with an ankle injury and backup Braylon Braxton getting reps with first team.
Braxton just 48.3% completion rate in limited action this year with 4.2 per attempt. Navy fell to 1-3 with their 13-10 road defeat at Air Force. A poor offensive performance as the Midshipmen held to only 243 yards with 114 rushing on 36 attempts.
Defensively they did allow 358 yards to Air Force with nearly five yards a carry on the ground. Quarterback Tai Lavatai completed 55% of his throws for 6.5 per attempt and averaged only 2.8 yards per carry on the ground. He has averaged only 2.2 yards per carry in his two seasons with the school.
Lavatai completing 52% this season for 10.3 yards per attempt. Midshipmen has covered four of five against Tulsa including an outright win last year. Golden Hurricane lack of run game a major concern with Brin’s injury. Tulsa is giving up 198 yards rushing per game with 4.8 yards per attempt. Play Navy +6.
Utah vs. UCLA College Football Pick Prediction 10/8/2022
Utah at UCLA—Utah moves to 4-1 after their 42-16 home win to Oregon St. Utes ran successfully on the Beavers with 162 yards on 31 carries for nearly six yards per attempt.
Defensively they did surrender 411 yards at home with 246 passing on 30 attempts. They did benefit from a +4 turnover margin picking off four passes and took one in for a touchdown. Quarterback Cameron Rising completed 76% of his throws with 8 yards per attempt.
On the season Rising a career high 68.3% completion rate with 8.3 per attempt. UCLA is 5-0 following their 40-32 home win to Washington. Bruins produced 499 yards running for 184 on 39 carries. They did a good job of stopping the Huskies ground attack but allowed 345 yards passing on 49 attempts with two interceptions.
Quarterback Dorian Thompson Robinson completed 72.7% of his throws, three touchdowns and 9.5 yards per attempt. He is a threat to run and gained 53 yards a rushing touchdown on his ten attempts. Utes in their road loss at Florida surrendered 452 yards with 284 rushing on 38 carries.
They did move the football on offense. Thompson Robinson running ability a key asset for the Bruins along with his accuracy and downfield effectiveness. Play UCLA +3.5.
Duke vs. Georgia Tech College Football Pick Prediction 10/8/2022
Duke at Georgia Tech—Duke moved to 4-1 after their 38-17 home win to Virginia. Blue Devils had a strong game running the football with 248 yards on 48 carries for over five yards per attempt. They did defend the Cavaliers well limiting Virginia to 295 yards.
Quarterback Riley Leonard completed 75% of his throws with a season low 5.4 yards per attempt. A threat to run the football Leonard had 59 yards rushing and two touchdowns. On the year Leonard completing 72% of his passes with 9.4 yards per attempt a tremendous improvement over 2021.
Georgia Tech 2-3 after their 26-21 road win at Pittsburgh. Yellow Jackets win despite 334 yards. It was a run heavy approach of 232 yards rushing on 44 carries. They did limit the Panthers ground attack but surrendered 305 passing yards on 45 attempts.
Quarterback Jeff Sims a season low 42.3% completions with 3.9 yards per attempt. On the season Sims is completing 56.6% with 5.9 yards per attempt well below last years performance.
Duke is effectively defending the run this season and that is key now that we saw the approach of Georgia Tech under an interim coach. The passing game took a huge step back. Play Duke -3.5.
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