Free MLB Picks For Today 10/5/2022
LA Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Angels at Athletics—Shohei Ohtani to start for the Angels. Ohtani in 27 starts carries an ERA 2.35 with WHIP 1.03. The righthander an elite 33.1% strikeout rate with 6.7% walks. Ground balls 41.7% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Ken Waldichuk the starter for Oakland. Waldichuk has six starts with an ERA 6.18 and WHIP 1.37. The lefthander fans 24% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.8% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.55 indicates a drop in ERA if form holds.
Oakland has won both games in this series with the 2-1 win. Past ten games Athletics hitting .204 against righthanders. Both bullpens in good form.
Ohtani 21-8 to the under facing AL teams that average 4.4 runs per game or less past two seasons. Athletics 21-12 to the under facing an AL starter with an ERA of 3.40 or better. Play LA Angels and Oakland under 7.
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Yankees at Rangers—Domingo German gets the start for NYY. German appeared in fourteen games posting an ERA 3.31 plus WHIP 1.12. The righthander is striking out 18.7% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls 37.9% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.27 an indicator of a rising ERA based on his numbers.
Glenn Otto to start for Texas. Otto starts in 26 games producing an ERA 4.72 and WHIP 1.35. The righty is fanning 18.1% with 10.6% walks. His ground balls 43.2% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Yankees have won two of three in this series as they split their doubleheader.
Rangers have lost eight of ten. Past ten games Rangers hitting .174 against righthanders. Texas 14-31 facing a winning team during the second half of this season. NYY 34-19 when lined as a -100 to -150 favorite. Play NY Yankees -135.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Cardinals at Pirates—Matthew Liberatore to start for St Louis. Liberatore in eight appearances posts an ERA of 5.46 with WHIP 1.69. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 18.1% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.7% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
Johan Oviedo will start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo in 20 appearances posts an ERA 3.12 plus WHIP 1.29. The righthander strikes out 23.7% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.78 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. St Louis has split the first two in this series with the 8-7 win.
Past ten games Cardinals hitting .228 against righthanders. Oviedo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Cardinals may opt to rest some starters with a travel home and hosting Game 1 of the Wildcard on Friday. Play Pittsburgh on run line +1.5 runs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Blue Jays at Orioles—With the rain out on Tuesday they play two on Wednesday. Game 1 matchups features the starters on Tuesday.
Mitch White to start for Toronto. White in 27 appearances producing an ERA 5.21 plus WHIP 1.44. The righthander is striking out 17.6% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.3% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.85 an indication of an ERA dropping based on these numbers.
Mike Baumann will start for Baltimore. Baumann has worked twelve games with an ERA 4.34 and WHIP 1.45. The righty pitches to contact with 15.2% strikeouts with 6.4% walks. Grounders 50.5% with limited home run damage.
Blue Jays win the opener of this series 5-1 and have won four straight. Orioles have dropped five of seven. Past ten games Orioles bullpen an ERA 6.30. White 12-4 to the over in night games this season. Both starters in poor form. Play Toronto and Baltimore over 7.5 in Game 1.
Casey Lawrence the primary starter for Toronto. The righthander appeared in five games with an ERA 8.04 with WHIP 1.47. Lawrence pitches to contact with 13.2% strikeouts and 9.4% walks. Ground balls 43.6% with 2.87 home runs per nine innings.
Spenser Watkins will start for Baltimore. Watkins has 22 appearances posting an ERA 4.76 plus WHIP 1.42. The righty a high contact pitcher at 13.5% strikeouts with 6.3% walks. Grounders 40.9% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays may opt to rest starters with Wildcard game on Friday. Lawrence form the concern. Play Baltimore in Game 2.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Braves at Marlins—Max Fried the starter for Atlanta. Fried in 30 starts carries an ERA 2.48 plus WHIP 1.01. The lefthander strikes out 23.2% with 4.4% walks. His ground balls 51.2% with limited home run damage.
Elieser Hernandez to start for Miami. Hernandez has nineteen appearances with an ERA 6.33 and WHIP 1.46. The righthander a strikeout rate of 21.8% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 27.7% with 2.93 home runs per nine innings.
Braves evened this series and win the NL East with their 2-1 win. They have won eight of ten. Past ten games Marlins hitting .172 against lefthanders and Braves bullpen ERA 0.42. Braves 31-16 to the under facing teams hitting .255 or worse during the second half of the season. Play Atlanta and Miami under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Phillies at Astros—Bailey Falter to start for Philadelphia. Falter in nineteen appearances an ERA 3.90 with WHIP 1.20. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 21.4% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls 31.9% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.66 and indicator of a rising ERA bases on his form.
Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in thirty starts carries an ERA 2.89 plus WHIP 1.17. The lefty fans 22.7% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 66.9% with limited home run damage. Astros evened this series with the 10-0 win.
Phillies have a road Wildcard game on Friday. Houston 35-19 to the run line in day games and starts the playoffs next Tuesday. Would expect some starters to see action for Houston with five days off coming up. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at +125.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Cubs at Reds—Adrian Sampson to start for Chicago. Sampson in 18 starts produces an ERA 3.10 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander is striking out 16.9% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls 40.3% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 3.80 suggests a rise in ERA with his form.
Graham Ashcraft start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft has starts in eighteen games with an ERA 4.52 and WHIP 1.40. The righty pitches to contact with 15.3% strikeouts with 5.7% walks. Ground balls 54.6% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Reds have won both games of this series with the 3-2 win.
Past ten games Reds hitting .167 against righthanders and Cubs .222. Chicago 46-25 to the under facing teams averaging 7 or more strikeouts per game during the second half of this season. Sampson 8-0 to the under when lined between -100 to -150. Play Chicago and Cincinnati under 8.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 10/5/2022
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Rays at Red Sox—Yonny Chirinos to start for Tampa Bay. Chirinos worked in two games allowing no earned runs and six strikeouts in seven innings. He returned from Tommy John surgery and had some rehab work in the minors. In 49 appearances a career MLB ERA of 3.54 with WHIP 1.14.
Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in 32 starts carries an ERA 4.56 plus WHIP 1.37. The righthander a 22.5% strikeout rate with 9.3% walks. Grounders 38.5% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox have won both games in this series with the 6-0 win. Past ten games Rays hitting .183 against righthanders. Tampa Bay 35-45 on the road this season. Play Boston.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Royals at Guardians—Jonathan Heasley to start for KC. Heasley in 20 starts an ERA 5.00 with WHIP 1.45. The righthander pitches to contact with 15% strikeouts and 10.3% walks. Ground balls served at 37% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.78 could trigger a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Aaron Civale will start for Cleveland. Civale has nineteen starts posting an ERA 5.04 plus WHIP 1.20. The righthander a K rate of 23.2% with 5.5% walks. Grounders served at 40% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 3.79 could trigger a drop in ERA if form holds.
Guardians evened this series with the 5-3 win. Past ten games Guardians bullpen ERA 2.68. Cleveland 19-4 facing a bad team with a .380 to .460 win percentage during the second half of this season. Play Cleveland.
Washington Nationals vs. NY Mets MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Nationals at Mets—Erick Fedde to start for Washington. Fedde has 26 starts with an ERA 5.27 and WHIP 1.57. The righthander is striking out 16.8% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls 42.3% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
Mets will scratch deGrom from this game and use him for Game 1 of the Wildcard so they likely will go with bullpen game with prospects. Mets swept both games of their doubleheader with the Nationals but was eliminated from the NL East with the Atlanta win.
Mets will host a Wildcard Series on Friday. Past ten games Nationals bullpen an ERA of 1.70. Would expect NYM to sit some starters here. Play Washington and NY Mets under the total.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Twins at White Sox—Louie Varland expected to start for Minnesota. Varland in four starts carries an ERA 4.71 with WHIP 1.33. The righty an 18.4% strikeout rate with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.3% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings.
Davis Martin to throw for Chicago. Martin in thirteen appearances has an ERA 3.65 with WHIP 1.18. The righthander has a K rate of 18.4% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 37.8% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. White Sox have won both games in this series after their 8-3 win.
Chicago has won five of six. Four straight losses for Minnesota. Twins 21-41 facing a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or better on the season. Minnesota 19-45 as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play White Sox -135.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Diamondbacks at Brewers—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in 32 starts an ERA 3.43 and WHIP 1.14. The righthander deals 21.7% strikeouts with 7.5% walks. His grounders 42.7% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Corbin Burnes expected to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has 32 starts with an ERA 2.98 and WHIP 0.98. The righty an elite 30.2% strikeout rate with 6.5% walks. Grounders 47% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Brewers have won both games of this series with the 3-0 win.
Past ten games Brewers hitting .216 against righthanders. Kelly 14-4 to the under facing winning teams this season. Brewers 28-17 to the under facing teams hitting .255 or worse second half of this season. Play Arizona and Milwaukee under 7.
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Tigers at Mariners—Tyler Alexander to start for Detroit. Alexander in 26 appearances posts an ERA 4.72 with WHIP 1.31. The lefthander pitches to contact with 13.9% strikeouts and 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.8% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Marco Gonzales expected to throw for Seattle. Gonzales has 31 starts with an ERA 4.14 and WHIP 1.33. The lefty a contact pitcher with 13% strikeouts and 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate 42.4% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. Mariners sweep their doubleheader with the Tigers in two high scoring games.
Seattle has a long flight to Toronto on Thursday to start the AL Wildcard round on Friday so will expect starters to rest here. Past ten games Tigers hitting .203 against lefthanders. Seattle 4-15 on the run line when their odds are -120 to +115 this season. Play Detroit on run line +1.5 runs at -125.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Giants at Padres—Luis Ortiz expected to start for San Francisco. Ortiz in four appearances allowed one earned run with three strikeouts in 6 1/3rd innings. He has seven lifetime MLB appearances allowing nine earned runs with ten walks in 12 innings of work.
Luis Morejon will be the primary pitcher for San Diego. Morejon has 26 appearances with an ERA 4.24 with WHIP 1.18. The lefty a strikeout mark of 19.9% with 6.4% walks. Grounders 32.4% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Padres have won both games of this series with their 6-2 win. Would expect starters to rest for San Diego as they have a long flight to New York on Thursday to start the Wildcard round on Friday. Play San Francisco.
Colorado Rockies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2022
Rockies at Dodgers—Noah Davis to start for Colorado. Davis makes his MLB debut. He spent the bulk of his time in Double A and had an ERA 5.54 and WHIP 1.45 in 26 starts striking out 152 in 133 1/3rd innings.
Clayton Kershaw listed pitcher for LAD. Kershaw in 21 starts carries an ERA 2.30 and WHIP 0.96. The veteran is striking out 26.9% with 4.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.9% with limited home run damage. This will be an abbreviated start. Rockies have won three of five in this series with their 5-2 win.
Three game losing streak for LAD. Past ten games Dodgers bullpen an ERA 1.41. LAD still playing starters with a five day layoff coming after Wednesday. Play LA Dodgers on alternate run line -2 runs.
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