Free NFL Picks For Today 10/2/2022
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Vikings at Saints—Minnesota healthy on offense with a linebacker questionable. New Orleans quarterback Winston, receiver Michael Thomas and left guard out with two backups on IR. Alvin Kamara questionable. On defense strong safety Maye out.
Minnesota goes 2-1 with their 28-24 home win to Detroit. Vikings fell behind by 10 after three quarters then outscored the Lions 14-0 in the final quarter. They did run for nearly five yards a carry. Cousins numbers down hitting 62.2% of his passes with 6.4 yards per attempt.
Red zone completion rate 13% is way down. New Orleans 1-2 after their 22-14 road defeat at Carolina. Saints were shut out for three quarters and had a -3 turnover margin.
Andy Dalton played in eight games with the Bears last season hitting 63.1%, 8 touchdowns, 9 picks and 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Vikings run game generating 4.9 per attempt. Saints averaging only 1.3 sacks a game. Too many injuries for New Orleans. Play Minnesota -3.
Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Browns at Falcons—Major injuries for Cleveland on defense with defensive end Garrett and defensive tackle Bryan out. Defensive end Clowney questionable. Patterson questionable with a report that he is expected to play. Other than Patterson the Falcons remaining starters and backups healthy.
Cleveland moves to 2-1 after their 29-17 home win to Pittsburgh. Browns ground game was key with 171 yards on 38 carries. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett completing 66.3% of his passes with 6.5 yards per pass attempt. He completed only 52% in his lone road game. Atlanta moves to 1-1 with their 27-23 road win at Seattle.
Falcons ground attack was vital in the victory with 179 yards on 31 carries. Mariota completing 63.3% with 8.1 per attempt and has mobility with two rushing touchdowns. Brissett road form and injuries on defense the concern. Play Atlanta +1.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Jaguars at Eagles—Jacksonville wide receiver Zay Jones questionable and on defense corner Shaquill Griffine questionable. Eagles starters are healthy. Jacksonville improved to 2-1 with their 38-10 road win at LA Chargers.
Strong offensive performance by the Jags moving the football for 383 yards successful running and throwing. They held the Chargers run game to 26 yards. Trevor Lawrence a completion rate of 69.4% with 7 yards per pass attempt.
Philadelphia is 3-0 after their 24-8 road win at Washington. Another strong offensive performance with 400 yards. Jags run defense good. Eagles giving up 5.4 yards per carry defensively. Jacksonville doing the better job in pass protection. Play Jacksonville +7.
LA Chargers vs. Houston Texans NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Chargers at Texans—Keenan Allen out for the Chargers. Center questionable and Herbert expected to play with injured ribs. On defense Joey Bosa out. Texans tight end Brown questionable. Chargers fell to 1-2 after their 38-10 home defeat to Jacksonville.
LAC a poor defensively game giving up 151 rushing and 262 passing in defeat. Run game produced 26 yards. Houston 0-2-1 after a 23-20 road defeat at the Bears. Late interception by Davis Mills was critical in defeat. Houston crushed on the ground giving up 281 rushing yards on 40 carries.
Mills put up decent numbers at home in their tie to Indianapolis. Run game too poor for the Chargers to exploit the Texans. Houston averaging 3.3 sacks per game. Play Houston +5.5.
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Titans at Colts—Titans healthy on offense. On defense linebacker and safety out with a corner questionable. Colts healthy on offense too. On defense a safety is out with tackle and linebacker questionable. Tennessee improved to 1-2 after their 23-22 home win to Las Vegas.
Titans successfully defended a two point conversion late to win. Strong offensive performance by the Titans run and pass. They were 3 of 3 in the red zone and held the Raiders to 2 of 6. Indianapolis 1-1-1 after their 20-17 home win to Kansas City. Colts held to under 300 yards of offense for the second straight game.
Defense stood on its head for the Colts stopping the Chiefs run game and giving up 315 yards overall. Tannehill averaging 8.1 yards per pass attempt which is up over the past two seasons.
Matt Ryan averaging 6.6 per attempt and completing 64.1% lowest since 2011. Prefer the Titans passing game here. Play Tennessee +4.
Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Commanders at Cowboys—Washington left tackle on offense questionable. Defensive end Chase Young out. For Dallas Prescott out with their tight end and guard questionable. On defense a safety out. Washington fell to 1-2 after their 24-8 home defeat to Philadelphia.
Commanders offense held to only 240 yards in defeat. Defensive gave up 328 yards passing. Quarterback Carson Wentz averaging 6.6 yards per attempt. Dallas 2-1 following their 23-16 road win at NY Giants. Cowboys offense produced 391 yards in victory. Run game came through with 176 rushing on 30 carries.
Backup QB Cooper Rush completing 62.7% of his passes with 6.9 yards per pass attempt. Dallas run game performing. Commander’s defense allowing 403 yards with 5.4 yards per rush and 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Washington allowing five sacks per game. Play Dallas -3.
Chicago Bears vs. NY Giants NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Bears at Giants—Running back David Montgomery out for Chicago. On defense a corner out, Defensive end questionable and linebacker doubtful. For the Giants they lose two receivers in Shepard and Johnson. Toney is out as is Robinson.
On defense and end is out. Chicago moves to 2-1 after their 23-20 home win. An interception late in the game set up the game winning field goal. A strong running performance with the Bears rushing for 281 yards on 40 carries. Defense limited the Texans to 329 yards. Herbert rushed for 157 yards and two touchdowns.
Giants quarterback Daniel Jones averaging a career low 6.1 yards per pass attempt and have a short week. Field completing only 51.1% of his passes, 2 touchdowns, 4 picks and 6.6 yards per attempt.
NYG giving up 5.3 yards per carry and Bears run for 5.4 per attempt. Giants receiving injuries the concern. Also, Field mobility helps the Bears cause. Play Chicago +3.
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Seattle Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Seahawks at Lions—Seahawks offense healthy. They have lost linebackers Alton Robinson, LJ Collier and Tyreke Smith. Safety Jamal Adams out. Lions running back Swift and fullback Cabinda out. Receivers Chark and Brown out with Reynolds questionable.
Left guard Jackson out. Seattle fell to 1-2 after their 27-23 home defeat to the Atlanta Falcons. Seahawks did move the football for 420 yards in defense. Seattle struggled in run defense in defeat. Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith completing 77.5% of his throws with 7 yards per attempt.
Detroit drops to 1-2 after their 28-24 road defeat at Minnesota. Lions blew a ten point lead after three quarters. Jared Goff completing a five season low 58.9% with 6.7 yards per pass attempt.
Lions defense playing poorly giving up 5 yards a carry and 265 passing. Detroit massive injuries in the receiving corps and running back a major concern. Play Seattle +3.5.
New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Jets at Steelers—NYJ healthy on offense. A linebacker is out. Steelers also healthy on offense with a corner out. New York fell to 1-2 with the 27-12 home win to Cincinnati. Jets offense held to 328 yards with the run game generating only 76 yards on 20 carries.
Jets committed four turnovers and were 0 of 2 in the red zone. Zach Wilson makes his 2022 debut returning from a knee injury. Last year he completed only 55.6% with 6.1 yards per attempt. Pittsburgh fell to 1-2 after their 29-17 road defeat at Cleveland. Steelers offense produced only 308 yards.
Defensively Pittsburgh surrendered 171 yards on the ground on 38 carries. Mitch Trubisky completing 60.2% of his passes with 5.5 yards per pass attempt.
NYJ giving up 3 sacks per game and Steelers defense despite the injury to Watt is averaging 3 sacks and 1.7 interceptions. Play NY Jets and Pittsburgh under 41.5.
Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Bills at Ravens—Bills receiver Davis, tight end Knox and center Morse questionable. Defensively a tackle, safety and corner questionable. Ravens left tackle questionable on offense. Defensively a linebacker questionable. Buffalo fell to 2-1 after their 21-19 road defeat at Miami.
Bills lose despite gaining 497 yards and holding the Dolphins to 212 yards plus dominating time of possession. Buffalo 2 of 4 in red zone and Dolphins 3 of 3. Quarterback Josh Allen is completing 71.2% of his passes with 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Baltimore improves to 2-1 with their 37-26 road win at New England.
Ravens strong rushing performance with 188 yards on 26 carries. They did give up 447 yards to the Patriots but forced four turnovers. Lamar Jackson is completing 63.6% of his passes with a career high 8.5 yards per attempt.
Baltimore defense allowing more than double the yardage of the Bills. Teams run for 5 yards a carry and pass for 67.4% completion rate with 7.5 per attempt. Play Buffalo -3.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Cardinals at Panthers—Arizona receiver AJ Green out with Brown and Moore questionable but likely to play. Center Hudson is questionable. On defense their nose tackle out with defensive end and linebacker questionable. Panthers running back McCaffrey questionable and healthy starters on defense.
Arizona fell to 1-2 after their 20-12 home defeat to LA Rams. They lose despite holding LAR to 339 yards and only 1 of 3 inside the red zone. Cardinals 0 of 2 inside the red zone. Quarterback Kyler Murray threw 58 passes averaging only 5.4 yards per pass attempt.
On the season Murray career low 63.8% completion rate and 5.6 per attempt. Carolina is 1-2 with their 22-14 home win to New Orleans. Third straight game for the Panthers to average less than 300 offensive yards. They did averaging nearly five yards a carry on the ground but gave up 342 passing on 41 carries.
Baker Mayfield completing a career low 51.9% completions with 6.8 per attempt. Prefer Murray over Mayfield here. Play Arizona +1.
New England Patriots vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Patriots at Packers—New England quarterback Mac Jones and receiver Meyers out. On defense an end is out with nose tackle, safety and corner questionable. Packers starters healthy and on defense a corner questionable. New England fell to 1-2 with their 37-26 home defeat to the Baltimore Ravens.
Patriots struggled in run defense giving up 188 yards rushing on 26 carries. New England had four turnovers in the loss. Brian Hoyer steps in at quarterback. He has bounced around the league but struggled the past several seasons with yards per attempt. Green Bay 2-1 after their 14-12 road win at Tampa Bay.
Packers win despite gaining only 315 yards. The defense successfully defended a two point conversion in the closing seconds for the win. Aaron Rodgers is completing 72.3% of his throws with 7.3 yards per attempt.
Packers are allowing 4.9 yards per carry on the ground so expect a lot of running by the Patriots. Play New England and Green Bay under 40.
Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Broncos at Raiders—Broncos right guard and tackle out with a left guard questionable. On defense nose tackle questionable. Las Vegas receiver Renfrow out with a linebacker on defense questionable. Denver is 1-2 with their 11-10 home win to San Francisco.
Broncos held to 16 or fewer points in all three games and were held to just 261 yards in the win to the 49ers. Good defensive effort by the Broncos holding the 49ers to 267 yards. Quarterback Russell Wilson completing a career low 59.4% of passes and averaging 7 yards per attempt. A career low 2.4 yards per rush attempt.
Las Vegas drops to 0-3 following their 24-22 road defeat at Tennessee. A missed two point conversion in the final minute cost the Raiders a shot at overtime. Raiders allowed 24 first half points and shut out the Titans in the second half.
Quarterback Derek Carr completing a career low 60.8% of his passes with 7.1 per attempt. Raiders defending the run well and rushing for 4.5 yards a carry. Raiders offense better and a desparate 0-3 team. Play Las Vegas -2.5.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Chiefs at Buccaneers—Chiefs wide receiver Valdes-Scantling questionable but expected to play. Starters healthy on defense. Buccaneers wide receivers Godwin and Jones questionable but expected to play. Left tackle Smith questionable. On defense the Bucs have a defensive end questionable.
Kansas City fell to 2-1 with their 20-17 road defeat at Indianapolis. Chiefs offense held to only 315 yards with the run game only 58 yards on 23 carries. Team was 2 of 4 inside the red zone. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes completing 67.9% of his passes with 7.9 yards per attempt. Tampa Bay is 2-1 with their 14-12 home win to Green Bay.
Buccaneers were held to under 300 yards for the second straight games. Tampa Bay was decimated with injuries and a suspension at the receiver position. Tom Brady completing 65% of his passes with a career low 6.5 yards per pass attempt.
Bucs offense the concern and the run game generating only 3.4 per rush. Chiefs putting up good numbers on defense allowing 3.6 yards per rush and 5.5 yards per pass attempt. KC is protecting Mahomes. Play Kansas City +1.
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