Free MLB Picks For Today 10/3/2022
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Royals at Guardians—Zack Greinke to get the start for the Royals. Greinke in 25 starts has an ERA of 3.78 with WHIP 1.34. The righthander pitches to contact with 12.9% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls 41.7% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Triston McKenzie gets the start for the Guardians. McKenzie has worked 30 games producing an ERA 2.99 with WHIP 0.96. The righty a strikeout mark of 25.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls 31.8% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
KC has lost three of four in this series with the 7-5 defeat. Guardians have now won eight of ten. Past ten games Guardians bullpen an ERA 2.45 past ten games.
Cleveland 37-19 to the run line against a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.70 or worse the past two seasons. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at +118.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Cardinals at Pirates—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas has 32 starts with an ERA 3.30 with WHIP 1.03. The righthander a strikeout rate of 19.3% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate 45.1% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Mitch Keller will start for Pittsburgh. Keller in 30 appearances has an ERA 3.92 plus WHIP 1.39. the righty is striking out 20.1% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls 48.8% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals have won two of three in this series after their 7-5 defeat at Sunday.
Past ten games Cardinals hitting .221 against righthanders. Keller past two starts against St Louis this season allowed three earned runs in 11 innings. Play Pittsburgh on run line +1.5 runs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Cubs at Reds—Hayden Wesneski to start for Chicago. Wesneski appeared in five games with an ERA 2.33 and WHIP 0.96. The righthander is striking out 25% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.2% with 1 home run per nine innings. A FIP 3.33 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Hunter Greene the starter for Cincinnati. Greene in 23 starts carries an ERA 4.66 and WHIP 1.25. The righty an elite strikeout rate of 30.6% with 9.2% walks. Grounders 29.4% with 3.53 home runs per nine innings. Cubs sweep the Reds in three at home with the 8-1 win.
Chicago has won nine of ten. Reds have dropped nine of ten. Past ten games Reds hitting .158 against righthanders with bullpen ERA 5.36. Chicago bullpen in this period an ERA 2.02. Play Chicago +115.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Braves at Marlins—Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder has nine appearances posting an ERA 2.76 plus WHIP 1.22. The righthander fans 20.5% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.3% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.72 an indicator of a rise in ERA based on his advanced numbers.
Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo starts in seventeen games posts an ERA 3.53 with WHIP 1.05. The lefthander is fanning 28.6% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate 40.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Braves sweep the Mets in their three game series with the 5-3 win.
Atlanta has won six of seven. Magic number is one to win NL East. Past ten games Braves hitting .298 against lefthanders with bullpen ERA 1.06. Play Atlanta -155.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Blue Jays at Orioles—Jose Berrios will start for Toronto. Berrios has 31 starts producing an ERA 5.37 and WHIP 1.43. The righthander is striking out 19.8% with 5.8% walks. Grounders 40.3% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.60 suggests a drop in ERA with this form.
Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer appeared in 21 games produces an ERA 3.17 plus WHIP 1.26. Strikeouts for the righthander at 17% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate 40.2% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Toronto sweeps their three game home series with Boston with their 6-3 win.
Orioles win two of three at the Yankees. Past two starts Berrios allowed eleven earned runs in 7 1/3rd innings. Team record behind Kremer 14-5 facing teams that average 7 or greater home runs or greater this season. Play Toronto +116.
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Yankees at Rangers—Luis Severino to start for NYY. Severino in eighteen starts posts an ERA 3.41 with WHIP 1.06. The righthander a strikeout mark of 27.3% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls 43.8% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez in 31 starts carries an ERA 2.93 with WHIP 1.25. The lefthander is striking out 20.9% with 8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 51.3% with 0.52 home runs per nine innings. NYY drops two of three at home to the Orioles with their 3-1 loss.
Rangers are swept in a three game series at the Angels and have lost eight of nine. Past ten games Texas hitting .189 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 4.46. Rangers 7-22 against the AL East this season. Play NY Yankees -145.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Rays at Red Sox—Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow in one startsallowed one earned run with three strikeouts over three innings. He returned from an elbow injury. A career ERA 3.00 with WHIP 1.00.
Rich Hill to start for Boston. Hill starts in 25 games produces an ERA 4.41 with WHIP 1.34. The lefthander is striking out 20.4% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate 39.9% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Rays drop two of three at Houston. Blue Jays are swept in a three game series at Toronto. Past ten games Red Sox bullpen ERA 6.75. Boston 3-25 against a good team with win rate of .540 to .620 the second half of this season. Play Tampa Bay -135.
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Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Nationals at Mets—Cory Abbott to for Washington. Abbott appeared in fifteen games with an ERA 5.11 with WHIP 1.36. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.1% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls 27.1% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.29 suggests a rising ERA with his numbers.
Carlos Carrasco to start for NYM. Carrasco has 28 starts posting an ERA 3.95 and WHIP 1.32. The veteran fans 23.8% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls 45.9% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Nationals lose three of four at home to the Phillies with the 8-1 defeat.
Mets are swept in a three game series at Atlanta with the 5-3 loss. A Braves win or Mets loss in the next three games and Atlanta wins the NL East. Past ten games Mets hitting .212 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 5.13.
Nationals in this period an ERA 1.80. Washington 18-11 +21.7 units facing good teams with .620 win percentage of better during the second half of the season. Play Washington +245.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Diamondbacks at Brewers—Tommy Henry the starter for the Diamondbacks. Henry in eight starts has an ERA 5.98 plus WHIP 1.57. The lefthander is fanning 16.9% with 10.9% walks. His ground balls 40.5% with 1.99 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff starts in 26 games with an ERA 3.05 and WHIP 1.09. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 30.6% with 6.8% walks. Arizona loses two of three at San Francisco. Brewers drop three of four at home to Miami with their 4-3 loss.
Past ten games Brewers hitting .284 against lefthanders. Diamondbacks 13-26 to the run line against an NL starter whose WHIP 1.15 or better past two seasons. Team record behind Woodruff 22-12 to the run line at home in night games. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Phillies at Astros—Aaron Nola will start for Philadelphia. Nola in 31 starts carries an ERA 3.36 with WHIP 0.98. The righthander strikes out 28.8% with 3.7% walks. Grounders 43.9% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.65 suggests a decline in ERA based on these numbers.
Lance McCullers to start for Houston. McCullers in seven starts posts an ERA 2.38 with WHIP 1.25. The righty is striking out 26% with 12.1% walks. Ground ball rate 48.1% with limited home run damage. Phillies win three of four at Washington with the 8-1 win.
Astros win two of three at home to the Rays. Team record behind Nola 1-8 against a good team with .620 or greater win percentage. Play Houston.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Twins at White Sox—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in ten starts carries an ERA 3.18 with WHIP 1.10. The righthander is striking out 22.6% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 26.4% with limited home runs damage.
Johnny Cueto the starter for Chicago. Cueto has worked 24 games posting an ERA 3.39 plus WHIP 1.24. The veteran pitches to contact with 15.7% strikeouts and 5.3% walks. Ground balls served at 43.5% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Twins lose two of three at Detroit after their 5-2 defeat.
White Sox win two of three in San Diego. Team record behind Cueto 8-15 when -110 favorite or higher past two seasons. Ober in his past three starts against the White Sox allowed one earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings. Cueto in poor form past three starts giving up 17 runs 14 earned in 16 1/3rd innings. Play Minnesota +108.
LA Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Angels at Athletics—Patrick Sandoval to start for LAA. Sandoval in 26 starts produces an ERA 3.03 and WHIP 1.35. The lefthander is striking out 23.7% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit 46.9% with 0.50 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Martinez the starter for Oakland. Martinez has eleven starts with an ERA 6.08 plus WHIP 1.48. The righthander is fanning 20.2% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate 42.4% with 2.19 home runs per nine innings. LAA sweep the Rangers at home in a three game series and has won seven straight.
Oakland loses two of three at Seattle and had lost eight of nine prior to that victory. Past ten games Oakland hitting .197 against lefthanders and Angels .286 against righty’s.
Oakland 10-27 to the run line facing losing teams this season and 5-16 at home against lefty starters. Play LA Angels on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Tigers at Mariners—Bryan Garcia to start for Detroit. Garcia in three starts has an ERA 3.29 plus WHIP 1.24. The righthander a strikeout mark of 19.3% with 14% walks.
Ground balls 41.7% with 1.98 home runs per nine innings. He has worked 75 games in four MLB seasons with a career ERA 5.64 with WHIP 1.62 and 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
George Kirby the starter for the Mariners. Kirby has 24 starts producing an ERA 3.21 and WHIP 1.17. The righty fans 24.5% with 3.6% walks. His ground balls 45.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Tigers win two of three at home to Minnesota with the 5-2 win for their eighth win in nine games.
Mariners win two of three at home to Oakland with their 10-3 home loss on Sunday. Tigers 21-10 to the under against good teams with .540 to .620 win percentage.
Mariners 9-1 to the under against weak power hitting teams that average 0.9 home runs per nine innings during the second half of this season. Play Detroit and Seattle under 7.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Giants at Padres—Shelby Miller to start for San Francisco. Miller appeared in two games allowing no earned runs with 12 strikeouts in 4 2/3rd innings. The righthander in 53 1/3rd minor league innings allowed 18 earned runs with 52 strikeouts.
Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove has 29 starts posting an ERA 3.03 plus WHIP 1.10. The veteran a strikeout mark of 24.7% with 5.6% walks. Grounders 45% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Giants win two of three at home to Arizona with the 4-3 win. They have won eight of ten.
Padres lose two of three at home to the White Sox with the 2-1 defeat and have dropped four of five. Past ten games San Francisco hitting .274 against righthanders. Play San Francisco.
Colorado Rockies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 10/3/2022
Rockies at Dodgers—Jose Urena to start for Colorado. Urena has 20 appearances with an ERA 5.24 plus WHIP 1.62. The righthander pitching to contact with 14.4% strikeouts with 10.5% walks. Grounders 49.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin in 23 starts produces an ERA 2.10 and WHIP 0.86. The righty strikes out 23.7% with 7.2% walks. Ground ball rate 43.2% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.33 indicator of a rising ERA if form holds.
Rockies have lost two of three in this series with the 4-1 win on Sunday to break a seven game losing streak. Past ten games Rockies hitting .219 against righthanders with bullpen ERA 7.75. Urena was crushed by the Dodgers the second time they saw him this year for 10 runs seven earned in three innings.
Past ten games LAD 56-37 to the run line against losing teams this season. Team record behind Gonsolin 15-7 to the run line facing a team that averages 7 strikeouts per game or greater. Play LA Dodgers on alternate run line -2 at -121.
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