Free MLB Picks For Today 10/1/2022
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Phillies at Nationals—Kyle Gibson to start for the Phillies in Game 1. Gibson in 30 starts has an ERA 4.84 with WHIP 1.32. The veteran is striking out 19.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls 45.3% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Anibal Sanchez the starter for Washington. Sanchez in thirteen starts produces an ERA 4.06 plus WHIP 1.24. The righty pitches to 15.6% strikeouts with 11.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.9% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 6.02 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Phillies win the opener of this series 5-1 to break a five game losing streak. Nationals have lost seven of ten. Past ten games Nationals hitting .213 against righthanders.
Past five games Gibson allowed seventeen earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven straight. Play Washington +160 in Game 1.
Noah Syndergaard starts Game 2 for Philadelphia. Syndergaard in 24 appearances an ERA 4.12 with WHIP 1.28. The righthander strikes out 16.9% with 5.3% walks. Ground ball rate 41.5% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Tommy Romero to start for Washington. Romero appeared in three games allowing four earned runs, two homers and five walks in 4 1/3rd innings with Tampa Bay. He has put up good Triple A numbers in two spots this season allowing 31 earned runs in 86 innings striking out 72. Play Phillies on run line -1.5 runs in Game 2.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Orioles at Yankees—Austin Voth the starter for Baltimore. Voth has worked 40 games with an ERA 4.19 plus WHIP 1.38. The righthander is striking out 20.8% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.5% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
Nestor Cortes will start for NYY. Cortes in 27 starts posts an ERA 2.56 and WHIP 0.95. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 25.5% with 6.1% walks. Ground ball rate 33.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.24 suggests a rise in ERA based on this form.
Baltimore wins the opener of this series 2-1. Past ten games Orioles hitting .296 against lefthanders. Orioles 28-22 facing lefthander this season with a return of +13.1 units. Play Baltimore +184.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Reds at Cubs—Nick Lodolo will start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has eighteen starts with an ERA 3.75 with WHIP 1.24. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 30.1% with 8.1% walks. Grounders 45.8% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly in 21 starts an ERA 3.48 and WHIP 1.19. The lefty fans 20.5% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate 40.6% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.30 an indicator of a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Cubs have won five straight with the 5-1 win in the opener and have won eight of nine overall. Reds have lost seven of eight. Past ten games Cincinnati hitting .308 against lefthanders. Chicago 17-24 as a favorite of -100 to -150. Play Cincinnati +116.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in 12 appearances produces an ERA 4.39 with WHIP 1.69. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.8% with 10.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 56% with minimal home run damage. A FIP 2.96 suggests a drop in ERA with his advanced numbers.
Ross Stripling to start for Toronto. Stripling has 31 appearances with an ERA 4.82 and WHIP 1.04. The righty is striking out 21% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Blue Jays win the opener of this series with the 9-0 win. Past ten games Red Sox bullpen an ERA 6.00.
Red Sox 3-23 facing good teams with .540 to .620 win percentage during the second half of this season. Boston 23-48 against the AL East this season. Play Toronto -141.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Diamondbacks at Giants—Drey Jameson to start for Arizona. Jameson in three starts allowed two earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings striking out seventeen. The righthander in 114 Triple A innings an ERA 6.95 and WHIP 1.59.
Jakob Junis the starter for San Francisco. Junis appeared in 22 games with an ERA 4.28 with WHIP 1.26. The righty is striking out 20.7% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.1% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. San Francisco wins the opener of this series 10-4.
They have won nine straight and ten of eleven. Past ten games San Francisco batting .283 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 2.25 which is outperforming the Diamondbacks by far. Arizona 17-56 on the road against the NL West past two seasons. Play San Francisco.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Athletics at Mariners—JP Sears will get the start for Oakland. Sears in sixteen appearances has an ERA 4.22 with WHIP 1.34. The lefthander a 16.8% strikeout rate with 7.8% walks. Ground balls 39.4% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo has 24 starts posting an ERA 3.06 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander fans 26.8% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.7% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Oakland dropped the opener of this series 2-1 for their fifth straight defeat.
Mariners have won three straight. Athletics 30-19 to the under facing a team that allows 3.9 runs per game or fewer. Mariners 31-19 to the under facing teams hitting .255 or worse on the season. Play Oakland and Seattle under 6.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Twins at Tigers—Dylan Bundy the starter for the Twins. Bundy has 28 starts with an ERA 4.93 and WHIP 1.29. The veteran pitches to contact with 15.8% strikeouts and 4.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
Drew Hutchison to start for Detroit. Hutchison pitched in 27 games with an ERA 4.54 plus WHIP 1.46. The righthander a 15.2% strikeout mark with 9% walks. His ground balls 39.9% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Twins win the opener of this series 7-0.
This broke a Tigers six game win streak. Past four games Bundy has allowed seventeen earned runs in 20 2/3rd innings. Twins 31-45 on the road this season. Play Detroit +116.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Royals at Guardians—Kris Bubic to start for KC. Bubic in 27 appearances has an ERA 5.81 plus WHIP 1.72. The lefthander is striking out 18% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls 40.8% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Plesac to start for Cleveland. Plesac has 23 starts producing an ERA 4.39 with WHIP 1.31. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 18.1% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.7% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Cleveland wins the opener of this series 6-3 and have won nine of ten. KC has lost all four on this road trip. Past ten games Guardians bullpen an ERA 1.57 and Royals 4.59. Team record behind Bubic on the run line 1-10 against a winning team past two seasons. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
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Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Marlins at Brewers—Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera in thirteen starts produces an ERA 3.15 with WHIP 1.12. The righty strikes out 24.8% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.8% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.80 indicates a rise in ERA based on his advanced numbers.
Freddy Peralta the starter for Milwaukee. Peralta appeared in seventeen games with an ERA 3.77 and WHIP 1.07. The righthander is fanning 27% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit 40.3% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Brewers win the opener of this series 1-0 and have won six of nine.
Brewers 16-6 to the under facing a team hitting .255 or worse during the second half of this season. Marlins 23-9 to the under facing teams hitting .250 or worse during the second half of this season. Both bullpens in good form past ten games. Play Miami and Milwaukee under 7.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Pirates at Cardinals—Luis Ortiz will start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz in his three starts an ERA 1.17 with WHIP 0.78. The righthander strike out mark 27.9% with 11.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.4% with no homers allowed. He worked 124 1/3rd minor league innings giving up 60 earned runs, 20 homers striking out 128.
Jordan Montgomery the starter for St Louis. Montgomery has 31 starts posting an ERA 3.50 plus WHIP 1.10. The lefthander deals 21.8% strikeouts with 5% walks. Grounders 47.6% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. St Louis wins the opener of this series 2-1.
Past ten games Cardinals hitting .189 against righthanders. Team record behind Montgomery on the run line 6-15 when his run line odds +130 to -190 this season. Play Pittsburgh on run line +1.5 runs at -110.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Rays at Astros—Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in 27 starts carries an ERA 2.51 with WHIP 0.92. The lefthander an elite 31% strikeout rate with 6% walks. Ground balls dished at 50.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Cristian Javier the starter for Houston. Javier has worked 29 games with an ERA 2.65 and WHIP 0.96. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 33.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls 26.3% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Rays win the opener of this series 7-3.
Past ten games Rays hitting .203 against righthanders. McClanahan 13-2 to the under facing teams outscoring opponents by .5 runs or greater past two seasons. Astros 31-13 to the under against teams with a good bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better on the season. Play Tampa Bay and Houston under 6.5.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Mets at Braves—Max Scherzer will start for NYM. Scherzer in 22 starts carries an ERA 2.13 plus WHIP 0.88. The veteran an elite strikeout mark of 31.3% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls 29.7% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Wright the starter for Atlanta. Wright has 29 starts posting an ERA 3.18 and WHIP 1.15. The righthander is striking out 23.9% with 7.3% walks. His ground balls 55.7% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Atlanta wins the opener of this series 5-2 and have won five of six overall.
Past ten games Braves bullpen an ERA 1.09. Braves 21-8 at home against good teams outscoring teams by 1 or greater runs per game the past two seasons. Team record behind Wright 22-6 against teams that strike out seven or greater times per game this season. Play Atlanta +110.
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
White Sox at Padres—Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has 31 starts with an ERA 2.06 and WHIP 1.09. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 30.7% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 39% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.94 an indicator of a rise in ERA if this form holds.
Mike Clevinger to start for San Diego. Clevinger in 22 appearances has an ERA 4.49 with WHIP 1.24. The righty is striking out 19% with 7.5% walks. Grounders 35% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.01 suggests a rising ERA with these numbers. White Sox win the opener of this series 3-1.
Padres have lost three straight scoring a total of three runs. Cease has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his past five starts. Clevinger past four games allowed fourteen earned runs in 18 innings. Play White Sox +102.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Rangers at Angels—Cole Ragans starts for the Rangers. Ragans in eight starts posts an ERA 5.40 with WHIP 1.54. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 16.2% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 36% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Suarez will start for the Angels. Suarez in 21 appearances carries an ERA 4.06 with WHIP 1.31. The lefty fans 22.1% and walks 7.5%. Ground ball rate 40.3% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Angels take the first game of this series with the 4-1 win for their fifth straight win.
Rangers have lost six of seven. Past ten games Texas hitting .217 and Angels .285. In this period LAA bullpen ERA 2.73. Rangers 30-51 the second half of this season. Play LA Angels -145.
Colorado Rockies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2022
Rockies at Dodgers—Kyle Freeland will start for Colorado. Freeland starts in 30 games produces an ERA 4.63 with WHIP 1.40. The lefthander is fanning 16.6% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls 41.9% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Grove to start for LAD. Grove in six appearances has an ERA 4.07 and WHIP 1.40. The righthander strikes out 18.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground ball rate 38.8% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. LAD wins the opener of this series 10-1. Rockies have lost six straight and nine of ten with all losses by two runs or greater.
Past ten games LAD hitting .169 against lefthanders. Team record behind Freeland 25-8 to the run line working on 5-6 days rest in his career and 33-20 on the road past two seasons. Dodgers have clinched home field advantage for the entire playoffs after Houston lost earlier on Friday night. Play Colorado on run line +1.5 runs +100.
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