Free MLB Picks For Today 9/29/2022
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
Royals at Tigers—Jonathan Heasley to start for KC. Heasley in nineteen starts has an ERA 4.87 with WHIP 1.45. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.6% strikeouts with 10.6% walks. Ground balls 37.1% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.60 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Eduardo Rodriguez the starter for the Tigers. Rodriguez has starts in fifteen games producing an ERA 4.37 and WHIP 1.34. The lefty a strikeout mark of 18.4% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.9% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers have won both games of this series with the 2-1 win. Detroit has won five straight. Past ten games Detroit a bullpen ERA 2.41. Team record behind Rodriguez 55-19 against a losing team in his career. Play Detroit -130.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
White Sox at Twins—Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in 28 starts posts an ERA 5.05 with WHIP 1.48. The righthander a strikeout mark of 25.7% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls 38.1% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 4.12 indicates a drop in ERA based on his form.
Louie Varland to start for Minnesota. Varland in three starts carries an ERA 5.06 plus WHIP 1.44. The righty is fanning 19.1% with 5.9% walks. Grounders 33.3% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings.
White Sox have won both games of this series with their 8-4 win. Twins have lost eight straight. Minnesota 19-44 as an underdog of +100 or greater this season. Play Chicago -120.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
Orioles at Red Sox—Mike Baumann the starter for the Orioles. Baumann has worked eleven games posting an ERA 4.32 and WHIP 1.44. The righthander strikes out 15.9% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dealt 48.1% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings.
Nathan Eovaldi to start for Boston. Eovaldi has eighteen starts carrying an ERA 4.15 plus WHIp 1.26. The veteran fans 22.7% with 4.3% walks. Ground ball rate 48.4% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings. Eovaldi returns from a shoulder injury having last pitched on August 12th.
Red Sox have won two of three in this series with the 3-1 win. Past ten games Orioles are hitting .294 against righthanders. Boston 34-52 against winning teams this season. Play Baltimore +136.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
Phillies at Cubs—Ranger Suarez the starter for Philadelphia. Suarez has starts in 27 games posting an ERA 3.38 and WHIP 1.30. The lefthander strikes out 19.7% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls served 56.3% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad in seven appearances has an ERA 4.28 plus WHIP 1.57. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.4% with 13.6% walks. Ground balls dealt 41.2% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.19 indicator of a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Cubs have won both games of this series with the 4-2 win and have own six of seven. Phillies have dropped four straight and seven of ten. Past ten games Chicago hitting .188 against lefthanders.
Cubs are 33-44 at home. Assad at home an ERA 6.35, WHIP 1.76 and 2.38 home runs per nine innings. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
Rays at Guardians—Jeffrey Springs to start for Tampa Bay. Springs worked 31 games with an ERA 2.56 and WHIP 1.10. The lefthander strikes out 26.4% with 5.8% walks. Grounders 40.7% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill in 30 starts produces an ERA 3.40 plus WHIP 1.24. The righthander pitches to 16.5% strikeouts and 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate 42.2% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 4.26 indicates a possible rise in ERA if this form holds.
Guardians split the first two in this series after their 2-1 win. Past ten games Guardians hitting .303 against lefthanders. Team record behind Quantrill 11-2 facing teams hitting .255 or worse this season and 14-1 facing teams striking out seven or greater times per game during the second half of the season. Play Cleveland -105.
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Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
Marlins at Brewers—Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in fifteen starts has an ERA 3.52 with WHIP 1.16. The lefthander is striking out 24.5% with 5.7% walks. Grounders 47.1% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
Eric Lauer to start for Milwaukee. Lauer in 27 starts carries an ERA 3.96 and WHIP 1.28. The lefty a strikeout mark of 22.7% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.4% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.73 suggest a rise in ERA if form holds.
Marlins split a two games series with the Mets. Brewers split a two game series at home with the Cardinals. Past ten games Miami hitting .333 against lefthanders. Lauer past four starts allowed fifteen earned runs in 17 innings of work. Garrett has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of eight starts. Play Miami +158.
Oakland Athletics vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
Athletics at Angels—Cole Irvin to start for Oakland. Irvin in 28 starts deals an ERA 4.05 with WHIP 1.15. The lefty a strikeout mark of 16.8% with 5% walks. Ground balls 38.3% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani will start for LAA. Ohtani starts in 26 games with an ERA 2.47 and WHIP 1.07. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.1% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. LAA has won both games of this series with the 4-1 win.
Athletics have lost five of six. Irvin 10-0 to the under against a bad team with a .380 to .460 win percentage. Ohtani 20-8 to the under facing AL teams averaging 4.4 runs or fewer per game the past two seasons. Play Oakland and LA Angels under seven.
LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
Dodgers at Padres—Andrew Heaney the primary pitchers for the Dodgers. Heaney in fourteen starts has an ERA 3.06 with WHIP 1.08. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 35% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.9% with 1.81 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.97 an indicator of a possible rise in ERA with his numbers.
Sean Manea gets the start for San Diego. Manaea in 28 appearances posts an ERA 5.23 with WHIP 1.36. The lefty strikes out 23.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls 37.9% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings.
LAD split the first two in this series with the 1-0 win. Manaea past three starts against the Dodgers, all this season, allowed 22 earned runs with five homers in 12 2/3rd innings. Dodgers 35-11 facing a team hitting .245 or worse the second half of this season. Play LA Dodgers.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
Rockies at Giants—Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner in eighteen appearances an ERA 5.91 with WHIP 1.43. The righthander is fanning 19.8% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.2% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.71 suggests a drop in ERB based on his numbers.
Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon starts in 30 games produces an ERA 2.98 plus WHIP 1.05. The lefthander an elite strikeout mark of 32.9% with 7.5% walks. Grounders 34.5% with limited home run damage.
Giants have won both games in this series with their 6-3 win. SF has won eight of nine and Rockies lost eight of nine. Past ten games Giants bullpen an ERA 1.72 and Rockies 6.46. Play San Francisco on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2022
Rangers at Mariners—Jon Gray the starter for Texas. Gray in 22 starts posts an ERA 3.64 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander a strikeout rate of 26.5% with 7.6% walks. Grounders 44.6% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Marco Gonzales to start for Seattle. Gonzales has 30 starts with an ERA 4.05 and WHIP 1.33. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 12.9% strikeouts with 6.4% walks. Grounders 42.7% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.01 an indicator of a rising ERA based on his advanced numbers.
Texas evened this series with the 3-1 win. Past ten games Mariners hitting .213 against righthanders. Rangers 18-7 to the under in road games against AL teams allowing 4.4 runs or fewer this season. Gonzales 22-9 to the under when facing a bad team with win percentage .380 to .460 this season. Play Texas and Seattle under seven.
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