Free MLB Picks For Today 9/28/2022
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Reds at Pirates—Luis Cessa to start for Cincinnati. Cessa in 44 appearances has an ERA 4.78 with WHIP 1.35. The righthander is striking out 18.2% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls 48.8% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings.
Bryse Wilson to start for Pittsburgh. Wilson has worked 23 games carrying an ERA 5.95 and WHIP 1.49. The righty pitching to contact with 15.5% strikeouts and 6.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.5% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings.
Pirates have won both games of this series after their 4-1 win. Past ten games Reds batting .180 against righthanders. In three starts against the Reds this season Wilson allowed seven earned runs n 19 1/3rd innings. C
essa faced the Pirates over two weeks ago giving up five earned runs with three homers in 5 2/3rd innings. Reds 20-30 when lined between +125 and -155. Cincinnati has lost five of six. Play Pittsburgh -120.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Rays at Guardians—Garrett Cleavinger the primary starter for Tampa Bay as Tyler Glasnow the opener. Cleavinger in 13 appearances posts an ERA 4.74 with WHIP 0.95. The lefthander strikes out 35.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground ball rate 32.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.54 indicator of a drop in ERA if this form holds.
Triston McKenzie the starter for Cleveland. McKenzie has worked 29 games producing an ERA 3.04 plus WHIP 0.96. The righty strikes out 25.7% with 6.1% walks. Grounders 31.7% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Rays win the opener of this series 6-5. Past ten games Guardians hitting .312 against lefthanders. Cleveland 31-13 as a home favorite of -110 or higher. Play Cleveland -120.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Royals at Tigers—Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch has 25 starts with an ERA 5.06 and WHIP 1.58. The lefthander is striking out 21% with 8.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.6% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Matt Manning to start for Detroit. Manning in 12 starts has an ERA 3.43 plus WHIP 1.17. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.3% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 41% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers take the opener of this series 4-3. Detroit has won four straight. Past ten games Tigers hitting .317 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 3.09. KC bullpen in this period an ERA 4.79. Royals 13-39 on the road against a righthanded starter this season. Play Detroit -126.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Braves at Nationals—Jake Odorizzi to start for Atlanta. Odorizzi has 20 starts posting an ERA 4.61 plus WHIP 1.34. The veteran is fanning 18.9% with 7.4% walks. Ground ball rate 32% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray starts in 27 games with an ERA 5.17 and WHIP 1.39. The righthander a strikeout mark of 24.2% with 10.2% walks. Grounders 32.4% with 2.33 home runs per nine innings. Atlanta has won both games of this series after their 8-2 win.
Nationals have lost six of eight. Past ten games Washington hitting .221 against righthanders with the Braves bullpen an ERA 1.45.
Braves 67-39 to the run line against an NL team hitting .250 or worse the past two seasons. Nationals 16-31 to the run line at home against a righthanded starter this season. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -134.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Yankees at Blue Jays—Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole in 31 starts an ERA 3.49 and WHIP 1.03. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 32.6% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Mitch White to start for Toronto. White appeared 23 times carrying an ERA 5.12 plus WHIP 1.41. The righthander is striking out 18.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground ball rate 43.2% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 3.79 suggests a drop in ERA if this form holds.
NYY evened this series with the 5-2 win on Tuesday. Yankees have won seven of eight. Team record behind White 5-10 in night games this season. Blue Jays bullpen ERA 5.36 past ten games. Play NY Yankees -125.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Marlins at Mets—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo starts in sixteen games has an ERA 3.57 with WHIP 1.04. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 28.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls 39.8% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Taijuan Walker the starter for NYM. Walker in 27 starts produces an ERA 3.53 with WHIP 1.19. The veteran strikes out 18.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.8% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Miami wins the opener of this series 6-4. They have won five of seven.
Past ten games New York hitting .333 against lefthanders. Mets faced Luzardo on September 11th scoring five runs in 3 1/3rd innings. NYM 44-25 to the run line against the NL East this season. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Orioles at Red Sox—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in 20 appearances has an ERA 3.07 and WHIP 1.22. The righthander strikes out 17.4% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit 40.8% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings.
Rich Hill to start for Boston. Hill in 24 starts carries an ERA 4.56 plus WHIP 1.34. The veteran a strikeout rate 19.5% with 7.3% walks. Grounders 40.5% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.98 does suggest a drop in ERA possible based on his form.
Red Sox evened this series with the 13-9 win. This broke a six game losing streak for the Red Sox. Team record behind Kremer 14-4 against teams that average seven or greater strike outs per game. Boston 21-47 against the division this season. Play Baltimore +100.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 9/28/2022
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Phillies at Cubs—Aaron Nola will start for Philadelphia. Nola has 30 starts posts an ERA 3.28 and WHIP 0.99. The righthander strikes out 28.7% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.64 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his form.
Hayden Wesneski will start for Chicago. Wesneski in four appearances carries an ERA 2.45 with WHIP 0.82. The righthander a strikeout mark of 28.6% with 4.8% walks. Grounders 44.6% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.25 indicates a rise in ERA if this form holds.
Cubs win the opener of this series 2-1 and have won five of six. Phillies have dropped seven of ten. Past ten games Phillies bullpen an ERA 6.31 and Cubs 2.70. Nola 8-14 in night games this season. Cubs 19-10 against the NL East and 13-7 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Play Chicago +155.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
White Sox at Twins—Johnny Cueto the starter for Chicago. Cueto in 23 appearances deals an ERA 3.15 with WHIP 1.22. The veteran fans 15.2% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.89 indicates a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Josh Winder starts for Minnesota. Winder has appeared in thirteen games produces an ERA 4.20 and WHIP 1.25. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.5% strikeouts and 6.7% walks. Grounders 35.8% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.19 an indicator or a rising ERA with his form.
Twins win the opener of this series 4-0. White Sox have lost seven straight and have been held to three runs or fewer in six straight. Team record behind Cueto 2-8 as a road favorite of -110 or higher the past two seasons. Play Minnesota -105.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Cardinals at Brewers—Jose Quintana will start for St Louis Quintana in 30 starts has an ERA 3.03 plus WHIP 1.22. The lefthander is striking out 20% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate 46.7% with limited home run damage.
Brandon Woodruff the starter for Milwaukee. Woodruff starts in 25 games with an ERA 3.18 and WHIP 1.09. The righthander strikes out an elite 30.1% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.3% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals win the opener of this series 6-2. Past ten games St Louis hitting .186 against righthanders but a bullpen ERA 0.90. Woodruff 16-4 to the under as a home favorite of -125 to -175 in his career. Cardinals 64-46 to the under facing teams hitting .250 or worse this season. Play St Louis and Milwaukee under seven.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Diamondbacks at Astros—Zac Gallen will start for Arizona. Gallen in 29 starts has an ERA 2.46 with WHIP 0.89. The righthander a strikeout mark of 27.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls 46.8% with limited home run damage.
Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in 26 starts produces an ERA 1.82 with WHIP 0.84. The veteran is striking out 26.9% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.3% with limited home run damage. A FIP 2.61 indicates a rise in ERA if this form holds.
Houston wins the opener of this series with the 10-2 win. Astros have won six of eight. Past ten games Diamondbacks hitting .212 against righthanders.
Both bullpens in good form. Verlander 19-5 to the under against teams that average seven or more strikeouts per game this season and 12-2 to the under in night games. Play Arizona and Houston under 6.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Athletics at Angels—Adrian Martinez the starter for the Athletics. Martinez has ten starts posting an ERA 6.10 plus WHIP 1.52. The righthander strikes out 20.2% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls 40.9% with 2.22 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Lorenzen will start for LAA. Lorenzen in sixteen starts has an ERA 4.78 and WHIP 1.30. the righty fans 19.1% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls 50.2% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
Angels win the opener of this series 4-3. Athletics have lost four of five. Both pitchers in poor form. Athletics 22-9 on the road against losing teams. Play Oakland +160.
LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Dodgers at Padres—Julio Urias will start for LAD. Urias starting in 29 games an ERA 2.25 with WHIP 0.95. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 24.4% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls 39.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 3.65 suggests a rise in ERA based on this form.
Joe Musgrove the starter for the Padres. Musgrove in 28 starts carries an ERA 3.12 plus WHIP 1.08. The righthander fanning 24.4% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls served at 45.4% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Padres win the opener of this series 4-3. They have won eight of ten.
Urias has pitched well against the Padres past two seasons. Dodgers in two meetings against Musgrove scored seven earned runs with four homers in 12 1/3rd innings.
Team record behind Urias 36-11 against an NL team hitting .250 or worse past two seasons. Team record behind Urias 27-7 as a road favorite of -110 or higher past two seasons. Play LA Dodgers -135.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Rangers at Mariners—Martin Perez the starter for the Rangers. Perez in 30 starts has an ERA 2.90 with WHIP 1.25. The lefthander is striking out 21.3% with 7.9% walks. His ground balls 51.3% with limited home run damage.
George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby starts in 23 games posting an ERA 3.30 and WHIP 1.18. The righthander a strikeout mark of 24.8% with 3.6% walks. Ground ball rate 45.4% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Texas wins the opener of this series 5-0. Mariners have lost eight of eleven. Past ten games Mariners hitting .216 against lefthanders. Team record behind Perez 7-0 facing an AL team on the road that averages 4.4 runs or fewer on the season. Play Texas +144.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2022
Rockies at Giants—Jose Urena the starter for Colorado. Urena in nineteen games an ERA 5.34 plus WHIP 1.62. The righthander pitches to contact with 13.7% strikeouts and 10.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 50.5% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Sean Hjelle to start for San Francisco. Hjelle has six appearances with an ERA 8.44 and WHIP 2.00. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 57.1% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.61 an indicator of a significant drop in ERA based on his advanced numbers.
Giants have won seven of eight winning the opener of this series 5-2. Rockies have lost seven of eight. Past ten games Rockies bullpen an ERA 5.77 and Giants 2.50. Rockies 28-73 on the road against righthanded starters the past two seasons. Play San Francisco.
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