Free MLB Picks For Today 9/25/2022
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Astros at Orioles—Cristian Javier will start for Houston. Javier in 28 appearances has an ERA 2.77 with WHIP 1.00. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.7% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls 26.1% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
Austin Voth to start for Baltimore. Voth appeared in 39 points producing an ERA 4.32 with WHIP 1.41. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.2% with 7.2% walks. Grounders 35.8% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
Houston has lost two of three in this series with the 11-10 road win on Saturday. Past ten games Astros hitting .192 against righthanders. Voth allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine of ten. Play Baltimore +144.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Braves at Phillies—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in 29 starts deals an ERA 4.09 with WHIP 1.18. The veteran strikes out 28.7% with 8.7% walks. His ground balls 8.7% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Gibson will start for Philadelphia. Gibson has 29 starts posting an ERA 4.71 plus WHIP 1.31. The righty a strikeout mark of 19.2% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls 45.5% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Braves have lost two of three in this series with the 6-3 road in on Saturday. Past ten games Braves bullpen an ERA 1.60 and Phillies 6.82. Atlanta 81-36 as a -110 favorite or higher this season. Play Atlanta -125.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Blue Jays at Rays—Ross Stripling gets the start for Toronto. Stripling in 30 appearances an ERA 3.21 plus WHIP 1.03. The righthander fans 21.3% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls 43.5% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
Shane McClanahan the starter for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in 26 starts produces an ERA 2.36 plus WHIP 0.90. The lefthander an elite strikeout mark of 31.7% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls 50.8% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays have lost two of three in this series with their 3-1 win on Sunday. McClanahan has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Rays 43-20 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. Play Tampa Bay -135.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Cubs at Pirates—Adrian Sampson the starter for Chicago. Sampson in eighteen appearances produces an ERA 3.35 with WHIP 1.29. The righthander is striking out 16.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls 40.7% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Ortiz will start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz has two starts allowed one earned run with ten strikeouts in 10 2/3rd innings. He worked 114 innings in Double A completing an ERA 4.41, WHIP 1.17 and 126 strikeouts.
Pirates have won two of three in this series with their 6-0 win on Saturday which broke a six game losing streak. Past ten games Pirates hitting .181 with bullpen ERA 7.64.
Cubs bullpen in this period an ERA 7.64. Team record behind Sampson 8-3 against teams that average 7 or greater strikeouts per game during the second half of the season. Play Chicago -102.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Nationals at Marlins—Anibal Sanchez the starter for Washington. Sanchez starts in 12 games producing an ERA 4.40 and WHIP 1.28. The veteran pitches to contact with 15.2% strikeouts and 11.2% walks. Grounders 37.9% with 1.97 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 6.29 suggests a major rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera in 12 starts an ERA 2.91 with WHIP 1.09. The righty strikes out 25.3% with 12.5% walks. Grounders 46.1% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.78 suggests a rise in ERA if this form holds.
Marlins have won both games of this series with the 4-1 win. Past ten games Nationals hitting .217 against righthanders. Miami 41-29 to the under the second half of this season. Play Washington and Miami under 7.5.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Brewers at Reds—Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in fifteen starts has an ERA 3.45 with WHIP 1.02. The righthander strikes out 26.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls 40.9% with limited home runs damage.
Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo in seventeen starts carries an ERA 3.90 and WHIP 1.27. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 30.3% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls 1.17 with 3.85 home runs per nine innings. Brewers have won all three in this series with their 10-3 win.
Reds have dropped six of eight. Past ten games Cincinnati hitting .193 against righthanders. Reds 4-13 at home against an NL team hitting at least .250 during the second half of this season. Play Milwaukee -145.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Tigers at White Sox—Tyler Alexander the starter for Detroit. Alexander appeared in 24 games with an ERA 4.91 plus WHIP 1.32. The lefthander pitches to contact with 12.6% strikeouts and 5.3% walks. Ground balls 34.8% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has 30 starts producing an ERA 2.13 and WHIP 1.09. The righty an elite strikeout mark of 31.1% with 10.2% walks. Grounders dished at 38.9% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Tigers have won both games of this series after their 7-2 win.
White Sox after getting swept at home to Cleveland in a huge series lose all two in this series against a last place team. Past ten games Tigers hitting .211 against righthanders and the White Sox .235 against lefty’s.
Detroit 42-25 to the under when an underdog of +150 or higher. Alexander 12-2 to the under in day games in his career. Play Detroit and Chicago under 8.
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LA Angels vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Angels at Twins—Jose Suarez will start for LAA. Suarez in 20 appearances an ERA 4.11 with WHIP 1.30. The lefthander is striking out 22% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.4% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Dylan Bundy the starter for Minnesota. Bundy has 27 starts posting an ERA 4.78 plus WHIP 1.25. The veteran pitches to 16% strikeouts with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.6% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Twins evened this series with the 8-4 win. Past ten games Twins hitting .189 against lefthanders. Bundy hammered past three games for thirteen earned runs with six homers in 17 1/3rd innings. Play LA Angels -105.
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Mariners at Royals—Luis Castillo will start for Seattle. Castillo in 23 starts produces an ERA 2.85 and WHIP 1.08. The righthander a strikeout mark of 27.1% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.7% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Max Castillo to start for KC. Castillo has worked eleven games with an ERA 2.97 plus WHIP 0.99. The righty fans 23.5% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 51.2% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.65 suggests a rise in ERA based on his performance.
Mariners evened this series with their 6-5 win on Saturday. Past ten games Mariners bullpen an ERA 1.99. Seattle 16-7 to the run line as a road favorite when their odds on the run line is -255 to +130. Play Seattle on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Guardians at Rangers—Aaron Civale to start for Cleveland. Civale in seventeen starts posts an ERA 5.29 and WHIP 1.29. The righthander is fanning 22.4% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 40.8% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.85 indicates a drop in ERA if form holds.
Cole Ragans the starter for the Rangers. Ragans starts in seven games with an ERA 5.40 plus WHIP 1.57. The lefthander strikes out 16.5% with 10.5% walks. Grounders 36.1% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
Cleveland has won both games of this series after their 4-2 win. They have won nine of ten. Past ten games Rangers hitting .223 against righthanders and Guardians .340 against lefthanders. In this period Cleveland bullpen an ERA 2.88.
Guardians 14-2 facing a bad team with a .380 to .460 win percentage the second half of this season. Texas 8-18 at home against a team allowing 4.4 runs or fewer the second half of this season. Play Cleveland -135.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Padres at Rockies—Mike Clevinger to start for San Diego. Clevinger in 21 appearances has an ERA 4.23 with WHIP 1.20. The righthander fans 19.4% with 77% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.3% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland has 29 starts producing an ERA 4.38 with WHIP 1.36. The lefthander pitches to 16.8% strikeouts and 6.9% walks. Ground balls 41.6% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Padres split the first two in their series with the Rockies winning 9-3. Colorado has lost five of six. Past ten games San Diego bullpen an ERA 2.81. But Freeland has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts.
Team record behind Freeland 11-5 facing a winning team this season and 15-8 in day games past three seasons. Play Colorado +130.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Giants at Diamondbacks—Jakob Junis is starting for San Francisco. Junis in 21 appearances posts an ERA 4.41 and WHIP 1.27. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.1% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls 43.4% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Drey Jameson the starter for Arizona. Jameson in two starts allowed two earned runs with twelve strikeouts in 13 innings of work. The righty worked 114 innings in Triple A compiling an ERA 6.95 with WHIP 1.59 striking out 109 and 42 walks.
Arizona split the first two in this series after their 5-2 win. Past ten games Giants bullpen an ERA 2.30. Jameson minor league form scary bad. Play San Francisco -105.
New York Mets vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Mets at Athletics—Max Scherzer the starter for NYM. Scherzer has starts in 21 games posting an ERA 2.15 plus WHIP 0.88. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 31.3% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 29.1% with limited home run damage.
JP Sears the starter for Oakland. Sears in fifteen appearances an ERA 3.58 and WHIP 1.26. The lefthander strikes out 17.4% with 7.7% walks. Grounders 40.9% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Oakland evened this series with the 10-4 win. Past ten games NYM hitting .276 against lefthanders. Athletics bullpen has struggled. Oakland 29-48 to the run line at home this season. Play New York on alternate run line -2 at -124.
St Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Cardinals at Dodgers—Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright in 30 starts posts an ERA 3.38 and WHIP 1.24. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.1% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.6% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Grove the starter for LAD. Grove appeared in five games with an ERA 4.66 with WHIP 1.55. The righty is striking out 19.6% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 41.5% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings. LAD evened this series after their 6-2 win. Grove has allowed four homers past ten innings.
Hot weather is forecasted Sunday so the ball will carry. Wainwright 9-1 to the over facing a team outscoring their opponents by 1 or greater runs over the past three seasons. Also, he is 40-19 to the over when a road underdog of +100 to +150 in his career. Play LA Dodgers and St Louis over 9.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2022
Red Sox at Yankees—Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in eleven appearances an ERA 4.75 with WHIP 1.73. The righthander fanning 21.6% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 56.6% with minimal home run damage. A FIP 2.98 an indicator of a drop in ERA if form holds.
Nestor Cortes will start for NYY. Cortes has 26 starts produces an ERA 2.67 plus WHIP 0.97. The lefthander is striking out 25.6% with 6% walks. Ground balls 33% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Yankees have won all three in this series after their 7-5 win.
Past ten games Red Sox hitting .289 against lefthanders. Boston 14-4 to the over facing teams that average 1.5 home runs or greater per game this season.
New York 18-8 to the over facing teams hitting up to .265 this season in the second half of the season. On the road Bello an ERA 5.68 and WHIP 1.95. Play NY and Boston over 8.5.
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