Free MLB Picks For Today 9/23/2022
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Cubs at Pirates—Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad in six starts has an ERA 3.86 with WHIP 1.54. The righthander is striking out 20% with 13.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.7% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.77 indicates a rise in ERA based on these results.
Bryse Wilson to start for Pittsburgh. Wilson in 22 appearances posts an ERA 6.07 with WHIP 1.48. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.1% strikeouts with 5.9% walks. Ground balls served at 43.4% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs win the opener of this series 3-2. Pirates held to two runs or fewer in five of seven. Past ten games Pirates hitting .204 against righthanders.
Chicago 35-24 to the under against a losing team. Cubs 41-23 to the under during the second half of this season. Play Chicago and Pittsburgh under eight.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Nationals at Marlins—Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in 26 starts has an ERA 5.14 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander a strikeout rate of 24.8% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls 32.1% with 2.44 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 5.96 suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Braxton Garrett the starter for Miami. Garrett has fourteen starts dealing an ERA 3.68 and WHIP 1.19. The lefthander fans 24.4% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.6% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Washington salvaged the finale of their three game series with the 3-2 win. Marlins lose two of three at home to the Cubs. Past ten games Marlins are hitting .323 against lefthanders but a bullpen ERA 4.96. Play Miami.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Brewers at Reds—Eric Lauer to start for Milwaukee. Lauer starts in 26 with an ERA 3.91 plus WHIP 1.25. The lefthander strikes out 22.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.5% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 4.74 an indicator of a rise in ERA with this form.
Mike Minor expected to start for Cincinnati. Minor has nineteen starts producing an ERA 6.06 with WHIP 1.63. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 16.7% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.3% with 2.20 home runs per nine innings.
Milwaukee wins the opener of this series 5-1. Reds have lost eight of eleven. Past ten games Reds hitting .209 against lefthanders and Brewers -300. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Red Sox at Yankees—Rich Hill to start for Boston. Hill has 23 starts posting an ERA 4.70 with WHIP 1.34. The veteran is striking out 19.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls 41.3% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.91 indicates a possible drop in ERA based on these numbers.
Gerrit Cole will start for NYY. Cole in 30 starts an ERA 3.41 with WHIP 1.03. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls 42.1% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Yankees win the opener of this series with their 5-4 win.
Past ten games NYY hitting .217 against lefthanders. Team record behind Cole 13-15 at home as a -150 or higher home favorite past two seasons. Cole in four starts against Boston allowed fourteen earned runs in 23 innings. Play Boston +180.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Braves at Phillies—Jake Odorizzi to start for Atlanta. Odorizzi in nineteen starts has an ERA 4.04 with WHIP 1.25. The righthander delivering 18.6% strikeouts with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.1% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola starts in 29 games producing an ERA 3.38 and WHIP 0.98. The righty is striking out 28.5% with 3.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.4% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Philadelphia wins the opener of this series with the 1-0 win.
Past ten games Atlanta hitting .295 against righthanders and a bullpen ERA 1.38. Team record behind Nola 0-8 when facing a good team with a .620 or higher win percentage. Play Atlanta +137.
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Astros at Orioles—Jose Urquidy to start for Houston. Urquidy in 27 starts has an ERA 3.96 with WHIP 1.17. The righthander is striking out 19.5% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls 35.8% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
Dean Kremer is the starter for the Orioles. Kremer in nineteen appearances an ERA 3.33 plus WHIP 1.27. The righty strikes out 17.3% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls 39% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings. Baltimore wins the opener of this series 2-0. Past ten games Astros bullpen an ERA 1.36.
Houston 47-26 to the under against an AL team allowing 4.4 runs or fewer on the season and 71-42 against a good bullpen team with WHIP of 1.35 or better. Kremer 10-1 to the under at night this season. Play Houston and Baltimore under 7.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Blue Jays at Rays—Alek Manoah will start for Toronto. Manoah in 29 starts produces an ERA 2.40 with WHIP 1.01. The righthander strikes out 22.7% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls served at 36.8% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.42 suggest a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Jeffery Springs to start for Tampa Bay. Springs has 30 appearances with an ERA 2.45 and WHIP 1.09. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 26.4% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.9% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Tampa Bay wins the opener of this series 10-5.
Blue Jays have lost three of four. Manoah 11-2 to the under facing teams hitting .265 or worse on the season. Springs 14-5 to the under facing a team that averages seven or greater strike outs per game. Play Toronto and Tampa Bay under.
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Guardians at Rangers—Cody Morris to start for Cleveland. Morris in four starts posts an ERA 2.30 and WHIP 1.53. The righthander a strikeout rate of 22.1% with 13.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.1% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.40 indicates a possible rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray starts in 21 games producing an ERA 3.80 plus WHIP 1.14. The righty a strikeout rate of 27.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls 44.1% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Cleveland sweeps their three game series at the White Sox with the 4-2 win. They have won seven of eight.
Texas win two of three at home to the Angels. Past ten games Cleveland hitting .274 with a bullpen ERA 2.62. Guardians 13-2 facing a bad team with a win percentage .380 to .460 second half of this season. Play Cleveland +100.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Tigers at White Sox—Eduardo Rodriguez the starter for Detroit. Rodriguez in fourteen starts posts an ERA 4.35 and WHIP 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 19% with 9% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.4% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito has 27 starts with an ERA 5.07 plus WHIP 1.49.
The righthander 25.3% strikeouts with 8.8% walks. Ground balls 38.4% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.15 indicates a drop in ERA based on these numbers. Tigers win two of three at Baltimore. White Sox get swept in a three game home series to the Guardians.
Past ten games Tigers hitting .190 against righthanders and White Sox .207 against lefty’s. Tigers 54-39 to the under against teams averaging 4.4 runs per game this season and 30-14 under as a road underdog of +150 or greater. White Sox 26-12 to the under against a lefthander at home past two seasons. Play Detroit and Chicago under 7.5.
LA Angels vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Angels at Twins—Shohei Ohtani the starter for the Angels. Ohtani starts in 25 games posts an ERA 2.43 and WHIP 1.04. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 33.1% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.6% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Louie Varland to start for Minnesota. Varland in two starts allowed six earned runs, two homers and ten strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings. He had four starts in Triple A compiling an ERA 1.69 and WHIP 0.85 striking out 27 in 21 1/3rd innings. Angels drop two of three at Texas with the 5-3 loss.
Twins return home after getting swept in a three game series at KC and losing seven of eight on the trip. Minnesota 14-33 against an AL starter with ERA of 2.90 or better past two seasons. Twins in free fall. Play LA Angels.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Padres at Rockies—Sean Manaea to get the start for San Diego. Manaea has worked 27 games with an ERA 5.18 and WHIP 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 23.5% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls 38.2% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings.
Ryan Feltner the starter for Colorado. Feltner in sixteen appearances has an ERA 6.05 plus WHIP 1.44. The righthander is striking out 20.2% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls 42% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.85 indicates a drop in ERA if this form holds.
San Diego wins two of three at home to St Louis despite the 5-4 loss on Thursday. Rockies get swept in a three game series at home to the Giants. Past ten games Rockies bullpen an ERA 5.08 and Padres 4.66.
Manaea has been hammered past three games allowing sixteen earned runs and six homers in 13 1/3rd innings. Play San Diego and Colorado over 11.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Mariners at Royals—Marco Gonzales will start for Seattle. Gonzales in 29 starts posts an ERA 4.01 and WHIP 1.32. The lefthander pitches to contact with 13% strikeouts with 6.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.5% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.09 indicates a rise in ERA based on his performances.
Brady Singer starts for KC. Singer in 25 appearances deals an ERA 3.07 with WHIP 1.14. The righthander strikes out 23.9% with 5.6% walks. Grounders 48.6% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Seattle salvaged the finale of their three game series at Oakland with the 9-5 win.
KC sweeps a three game series at home to Minnesota. Past ten games Mariners hitting .192 against righthanders and Royals .296 against lefthanders. Team record behind Singer 9-2 against teams averaging seven or greater strike outs per game during the second half of this season. Play Kansas City.
New York Mets vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Mets at Athletics—Chris Bassitt the starter for NYM. Bassitt has 28 starts with an ERA 3.32 and WHIP 1.14. The righthander is striking out 23.3% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate 48.8% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Cole Irvin to start for Oakland. Irvin in 27 starts posts an ERA 3.79 plus WHIP 1.10. The lefthander is striking out 17% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls 38.2% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. NYM take two of three in Milwaukee to start this trip.
Oakland takes two of three at home to the Mariners. Past ten games Athletics hitting .218 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 5.03. Team record behind Bassitt 21-7 to the run line against a losing team past two seasons.
Athletics 30-51 to the run line against a team with a good bullpen ERA of 1.25 or better past two seasons. Play NY Mets on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Giants at Diamondbacks—Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon in 29 starts produces an ERA 2.84 and WHIP 1.04. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.8% with 7.3% walks. Grounders 35.1% with limited home run damage.
Tommy Henry gets the start for Arizona. Henry has seven starts producing an ERA 5.50 with WHIP 1.54. The lefty a strikeout mark of 15.5% with 10.6% walks. Ground ball rate 41.2% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. Giants opened this trip sweeping the Rockies in a four game series.
Arizona lose three of five at the LA Dodgers with the 3-2 defeat. Past ten games Arizona batting .156 against lefthanders and Giants .198. Play San Francisco and Arizona under the total.
St Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2022
Cardinals at Dodgers—Jose Quintana will start for St Louis. Quintana in 29 starts deals an ERA 3.16 and WHIP 1.25. The lefthander fans 19.8% with 7% walks. Ground balls 46.7% with limited home run damage.
Andrew Heaney will start for LAD. Heaney in 13 starts produces an ERA 2.66 plus WHIP 1.05. The lefty an elite strikeout rate 35.7% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls 35.5% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.82 suggest his ERA will rise based on his advanced numbers.
Cardinals salvaged the finale of their three game series at San Diego with the 5-4 win. Dodgers win three of five at home to Arizona with the 3-2 win. Past ten games St Louis hitting .134 against lefthanders and LAD .159.
In this period LAD bullpen an ERA 1.72 and Cardinals .152. St Louis 41-27 to the under against lefthanders past two seasons. Play LA Dodgers and St Louis under the total.
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