Free MLB Picks For Today 9/21/2022
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Nationals at Braves—Josiah Gray to get the start for Washington. Gray in 26 starts carries an ERA 5.14 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander a strikeout mark of 24.8% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls 32.1% with 2.44 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.96 suggests a rise in his ERA based on form.
Bryce Elder the starter for Atlanta. Elder appeared in seven games with an ERA 3.67 and WHIP 1.37. The righthander strikes out 20.3% with 1.28% walks. Ground balls 46.3% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Braves have won both games of this series with their 3-2 win. They have won five straight.
Nationals have dropped eight of ten. Past ten games Braves hitting .284 against righthanders and Nationals .270. Play Washington and Atlanta over the total of 8.5 runs.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Mets at Brewers—Taijuan Walker the starter for NYM. Walker in 26 starts produces an ERA 3.42 with WHIP 1.18. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 19% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.8% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser in twenty appearances posts an ERA 4.85 and WHIP 1.49. The righthander fans 15.7% with 10.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.2% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Mets have won both games of this series after their 7-5 win.
Five straight wins for NYM. Past ten games Brewers bullpen ERA 4.50. Mets in this period hitting .273. But Walker 5-18 against winning teams past two seasons. Houston 35-19 to the over past three seasons. Play New York and Milwaukee over 8.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Cubs at Marlins—Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman in 22 starts produces an ERA 3.76 with WHIP 1.18. The righthander is striking out 20% with 6.5% walk rate. Ground balls served at 51.1% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo in fifteen starts has an ERA 3.75 and WHIP 1.09. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 27.7% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.7% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Cubs evened this series after their 2-1 win.
Past ten games Cubs hitting .209 against lefthanders and Marlins .223 against righthanders. Chicago 25-10 to the under facing an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Marlins 20-8 to the under facing a team hitting .250 or worse second half of the season. Play Chicago and Miami under 6.5.
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Red Sox at Reds—Connor Seabold will start for Boston. Seabold in three starts allowed fifteen earned runs with four homers and thirteen strikeouts in 11 1/3rd innings. The righty has nineteen starts in Triple A compiling an ERA 3.32 and WHIP 1.14.
Chase Anderson to start for Cincinnati. Anderson in five appearances produces an ERA 6.43 with WHIP 1.29. The righthander is striking out 24.1% with 19% walks. Grounders at 46.9% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings.
Boston wins the opener of this series 5-3. Reds have lost nine of eleven. Reds 30-19 to the over when an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Play Boston and Cincinnati over 9.5.
Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Astros at Rays—Lance McCullers the starter for the Astros. McCullers has six starts posting an ERA 2.34 plus WHIP 1.27. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 25.7% with 13.2% walks. Ground balls served at 43.7% with limited home run damage.
Corey Kluber will start for Tampa Bay. Kluber in 28 starts carries an ERA 4.44 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander strikes out 20.6% with 2.9% walks. Ground balls 35.9% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.59 an indication of an improvement in his ERA based on these numbers.
Houston has won both games of this series with their 5-0 win. Astros have won eight of nine. Rays have scored no runs in this series. Past ten games Astros bullpen an ERA 1.64. Houston 84-40 against teams hitting .255 or worse this season and 36-15 as a favorite of -100 to -150 this season. Play Houston -125.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Blue Jays at Phillies—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in 28 starts has an ERA 3.45 with WHIP 1.24. The righthander a strikeout rate of 28.1% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.6% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.40 suggests a lowering of his ERA based on these numbers.
Noah Syndergaard the primary pitcher for Philadelphia. Syngergaard starts in 23 games produces an ERA 4.18 plus WHIP 1.28. The veteran is striking out 16.8% with 5.4% walks. Grounders 41.2% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays win the opener of this series 18-11. Phillies losing streak now five straight. Past ten games Blue Jays hitting .284 against righthanders. Team record behind Gausman 13-3 on the road against winning teams past two seasons. Phillies 15-28 facing the NL East past three seasons. Play Toronto -105.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Pirates at Yankees—Roansy Contreras will start for Pittsburgh. Contreras in eighteen appearances posts an ERA 3.24 and WHP 1.27. The righthander is striking out 20.7% with 9.8% walks. Grounders 38.4% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.22 suggests a rise in ERA based on his form.
Luis Severino the starter for NYY. Severino in sixteen starts posts an ERA 3.45 plus WHIP 1.07. The righty a strikeout mark of 27.2% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 43% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees overcome a four run deficit in the ninth with the 9-8 win on Tuesday. Past ten games Yankees hitting .288 against righthanders. Severino 19-7 to the over facing a team getting outscored by 0.5 runs or greater on the season in his career. Play Pittsburgh and NYY over 8.
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LA Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Angels at Rangers—Tucker Davidson to start for LAA. Davidson in ten appearances an ERA 6.96 with WHIP 1.78. The lefthander pitches to contact with 12.4% strikeouts and 14.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.3% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Dane Dunning the starter for Texas. Dunning has 28 starts producing an ERA 4.49 plus WHIP 1.46. The righthander strikes out 19.7% with 9.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.4% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Angels have won four of five with their 5-2 win. Rangers 30-15 as a -110 favorite or greater and 27-16 to the over against a lefthander. Play LA Angels and Texas over 8.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Twins at Royals—Bailey Ober the starter for Minnesota. Ober in eight starts carries an ERA 3.49 and WHIP 1.16. The righthander strikes out 21.1% with 5% walks. Ground balls dished at 25.9% with limited home run damage. Daniel
Lynch will start for KC. Lynch has 24 starts posting an ERA 5.15 with WHIP 1.59. The lefty is fanning 21.2% with 9% walks. His ground balls 41.3% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. KC wins the opener of this series 5-4. Twins have lost five of six.
Past four starts against the Twins this season Lynch allowed twelve earned runs in 20 innings. Lynch has been pounded in his past four overall starts. Ober allowed KC four earned runs in two starts working eight innings. Both bullpens past ten games an ERA over four. Play Minnesota and KC over 8.
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Guardians at White Sox—Tristan McKenzie to start for Cleveland. McKenzie in 28 appearances has an ERA 3.08 with WHIP 0.97. The righthander is striking out 24.9% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.9% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.81 suggests a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Lance Lynn will start for Chicago. Lynn has 18 starts producing an ERA 3.99 and WHIP 1.07. The righty fans 26.2% with 3.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.4% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Guardians win the opener of this series with the 10-7 win in extra innings for their eighth win in ten games.
Lynn has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six straight starts. Team record behind Lynn 45-18 as a -125-175 favorite in his career. Play Chicago -127.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Giants at Rockies—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 30 starts posts an ERA 3.02 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander a strikeout rate of 20.2% with 6.4% walks. Grounders 56.6% with limited home run damage.
German Marquez the starter for Colorado. Marquez starts in 28 games with an ERA 5.14 and WHIP 1.38. The veteran is striking out 18.4% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls are 47% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
Giants have won both games of this series with their 6-3 win. Team record behind Webb 30-9 as a favorite of -110 or higher past two seasons. Marquez at home an ERA 6.78 allowing 2.08 home runs per nine innings. Play San Francisco -130.
St Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Cardinals at Padres—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in thirty starts posts an ERA 3.46 and WHIP 1.05. The righthander a strikeout rate of 18.5% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.2% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has 21 starts producing an ERA 3.85 with WHIP 1.29. The lefthander an elite strikeout mark of 31.1% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.5% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.91 indicates a possible drop in ERA based on these numbers.
Padres have won four straight by winning the opener of this series 5-0. They have gone under in five of six. Past ten games St Louis hitting .182 against lefthanders. Mikolas on the road an ERA 4.56 and 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Play San Diego -118.
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Mariners at Athletics—Robbie Ray to start for Seattle. Ray in 29 starts has an ERA 3.72 with WHIP 1.17. The lefthander is striking out 27.7% with 7.7% walks. Grounders 39.3% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
James Kaprielian to start for Oakland. Kaprielian in 23 starts an ERA 4.70 and WHIP 1.43. The righthander pitches to 15.8% strikeouts and 10.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.8% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Oakland wins the opener of this series 4-1.
Mariners have lost five of six. Past ten games Seattle hitting .202 against righthanders and Oakland .211 against lefty’s. But team record behind Kaprielian 9-3 against AL teams averaging 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season. Play Oakland +180.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2022
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Madison Bumgarner to start for Arizona. Bumgarner in 29 starts carries an ERA 5.01 plus WHIP 1.48. The veteran strikes out 15.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls 37.2% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Dustin May will start for LAD. May has starts in five games producing an ERA 3.46 with WHIP 1.00. The righthander is striking out 23.8% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 50.8% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.53 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds.
LAD and Arizona split their doubleheader on Tuesday. Past ten games Arizona batting .183 against righthanders and Dodgers .188 against lefty’s. In this period LA bullpen ERA 1.51.
Diamondbacks 28-17 to the under facing a starter with a WHIP of 1.25 or better on the season. Arizona 42-24 to the under against the NL West this season. Play LA Dodgers and Arizona under 8.5.
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